Why would anyone want to hold a grudge against me? It’s much more fun to be my friend and go beat up on someone else! :)
Okay, I’ve put together one of my lengthy EOGs. I won’t be hurt if anyone skips the details, but it seems like at least some people like my chronicled thought processes.
This game had ups and downs for me. The worst was in 1909 after my first solo attempt failed and I thought the game was going to end in a 4wd or 5wd. It’s so hard (for me, at least) to solo as Italy it was going to be crushing to come that close and fall short. I enjoyed my communications game-long with Austria and France. I had relatively little press with Germany and Turkey. I had good interaction early and late with Russia, not so much in the middle when he concluded that I left him to fend for himself against Austria. Of course I credit England with enabling my solo.
SPRING 1901
Standard initial press, except for T. T proposes an unusual IT alliance. I’m potentially interested, but the details seem a little nebulous and dependent on what happens in the spring. In the meantime, I’m supposed to act normal which suits me fine. I like my initial press with R. We discuss dogpiling 3 on 1 against A or T. He favors A, I favor T, but neither of us is pushy.
In the end, I open Lepanto without upsetting anyone (since T wants it as a prelude to a surprise IT alliance). Everyone else’s moves look pretty normal except for an English move to EC and Wal. I like that, as EF fighting should benefit Italy and buy time for things to resolve in the east before I have to deal with a western threat.
AUTUMN 1901
Austria and I discuss the possibility of an ATI alliance, and I try to shoot it down. I leak to R that this is being raised, and exchange substantive press with R. At this point, I consider myself most aligned with R. I tell both A and T that I don’t want an ATI, and they both quickly drop the idea. A is fine falling back to the original RAI vs.T/Lepanto plan and T is fine falling back to the original IT plan. R wants to go RTI vs. A and I agree but obtain his approval for my not bypassing Tun and leaving an attack on Tri to my discretion. I ask T for support to Gre, and he declines. I figure if Vie were committed to a bounce in Gal (which R confirms), then if T were willing to support me into Gre, I could take a shot at Tri and likely end up with one or the other of them. When T says no, that makes it easy and I take Tun without attacking Tri.
Strangely, Turkey goes after Gre himself without support, which of course fails. He also moves to Bla, which aggravates R. Now T has been hostile to both R and A without me tipping my hand. Well, except for my non-attack on Tri. T decides that means AI are solidly allied and he will have to react accordingly. I am surprised he does not try to salvage an IT. He seems to think that he can rely on an RT but I feel my relationship with R is probably better than his. Indeed, T’s move to Bla switches R from RTI vs. A to RAI vs. T, which is what I originally wanted. A is happy I did not take a shot at Tri (which would have succeeded) and agrees not to build any fleets.
Meanwhile, G’s support of Wal-Bel makes F feel the walls are closing in. He asks me to attack G, which I am in no position to do. Instead, I am very reasonable about accepting that he needs to build F Mar to defend himself and give him no grief about it. I plant the idea that maybe down the road, I could send one of my fleets west to help him, but only at his request.
SPRING 1902
F Nap build is a no-brainer. E builds two fleets including Lvp, which helps keep F feeling under siege. E asks for Ven-Pie, but I decline. AI discuss my taking Gre while he takes Bul. My press with A is getting more involved. It’s still good with R, but now I rank them about even in my feeling of who my chief ally is. RA start planning their joint attack on G. R thinks A moving out of his home centers will leave A open to an Italian stab. That may be, but for now I’m just happy with my slow steady growth at T’s expense with nobody attacking me. EF fully engage. G penetrates Bur, but now faces the RA onrush.
AUTUMN 1902
T sees his ship going down and pledges to give me his centers. I keep alive his hope for Tun-Alb, but it’s not happening.
F is enthusiastic about me moving my armies in Tun and Ven west (A wants a DMZ of Ven/Tri). It may be that I’ll use that Pie army to attack him at some point, but I like his blessing. I can also sell it to E as potentially anti-French since E has been asking for Ven-Pie.
Everyone does what they’re supposed to, and G is in trouble. R picks up a northern fleet build, which will pull E back and let up the pressure on F. F and I are bonding well, I’m not worried he’ll head east. A’s press with me this phase is better than R’s, probably due to R on a road trip.
SPRING 1903
T is still begging me to attack A so he can help in his dying throes. R and I write a lot trying to figure out how we would go about attacking A, either with or without T. We can’t reach a good compromise. R feels like my proposal makes him stab first unilaterally, and I feel the same about his proposal. Meanwhile, I’m exploring with A where he sees my next build coming from so I can weigh which way to go. Ultimately, I take a conservative course and get my African army back on the boot and ready for action.
F was supposed to support Mar-Spa, but instead bounced himself. He says he biffed the order, but also asks me to pull back from Pie. I think he is feeling more confident with E pulling back, and it makes me a little wary.
AUGUST 1903
This is a critical turn. A says R has outlived his usefulness. R is ready to pull the trigger against A with my assistance. R says A intends to attack one of us this turn, but says it is unclear who. I feel pretty confident that it’s R and not me.
I get A to agree I can support myself into Alb and destroy his one fleet to cement a long-term AI alliance. I tell R I will attack A in Alb as a show of my anti-Austrian intent.
Boom. A stabs R, both feel like I’m on their side, and I’m about to have the only fleets east of Spain. A gets three army builds, which makes everyone view him as a threat. G is under serious duress. E looks like he’s reloading for a fight with F. It’s all good in the Italian ‘hood.
SPRING 1904
Right around now, my kids go on Spring Break and I head to Utah for vacation. I’m hiking in Zion and Bryce Canyon National Parks all day with no phone access, and wiped out when I get back to the hotel at night. I don’t talk to anyone at all on April 2. R is worried I’ve abandoned him too, but that’s not necessarily the case.
Everyone is worried about A, so he needs to slow down his growth. I get him to agree that I can take Tri from him to offset his gain of Mos. Not only does it give me an easy build, it further ensures that he won’t be building a fleet and I can show the other powers I’m attacking him. And maybe I really am, but if I can take a center unopposed that’s the best. Additionally, A is okay with me moving to Tyr, which also looks anti-Austrian
Although I’m playing at anti-Austrian moves, I’m at the point where I have to really commit. R asks for my help to hold his position and I either have to do it or not do it. I decided my big picture strategy is better off letting A kill R, so I do not help R as requested. I did not promise the help, but its absence clearly will be harmful to R.
AUTUMN 1904
EF are fighting, RA are fighting, GT are hanging on. A starts realizing that even though I did what I said and he approved, he is a little vulnerable. We agree to bounce in Vie, which continues to look anti-Austrian.
R is not convinced, and is upset that I have not done more to help him against A. I made a diplomatic error in S04, not devoting enough time for press with R. My excuse is that I was on vacation. I’m happy with my actual move orders, but I did not do a good enough job handling R. I had meant to spend more time trying to do so, but the phase end got away from me. R is upset with me, and I have a lot of damage control to do. I’m not going to need him anytime soon, but I don’t want to burn my bridges for later in the game.
1905
System crash issues, additional time added, E locked out of entering moves but allowed to do so with mod intervention. The game stalls for a long time while we get this straightened out. R tells me he was locked out of changing his moves, but he doesn’t seem to be lobbying the mods for the opportunity to change them.
R and I are working together again to finish off T. He doesn’t like that he isn’t getting a build, but this eliminates an enemy and simplifies things.
1906
AI drop all pretense of hostility. We take out R in the south, which I think he knew was inevitable. A lets me have all of the Turkish home centers, which is great. A wants me to attack F, F wants me to attack A. I’m definitely going after one of them.
This is perhaps the trickiest year so far diplomatically. F wants to feint into the Med so he can trick E into thinking FI are fighting. I want to A to think FI are fighting and F to think AI are fighting. We’re all being super-sneaky and who knows how it will turn out. I have had good relations with both A and F, but I think I am going after A because he is more vulnerable. I can take Austrian centers and crank out armies to get more, whereas an attack on France will just result in a stalemate at Iberia.
1907
Setting up the attack on Austria... then executing. I make sure F is still friendly, and talk to A about keeping him alive if he’ll help me.
Right after my stab of Austria, the site implements the self-press/notes tab. I try it out, writing this note to myself: “This is the crucial point. I am trying to convince France that I cannot solo, to encourage him to continue fighting England. I will need at least one French center. My best chance of getting it is Mar or Iberia, so I need to delay his entry into the Med.
Meanwhile, I'm trying to get Austria to be my advance vanguard against France in the mid-board. The idea is to push him west, leaving his vacant centers close to me to grab when I am ready.”
1908
A wants to fight rather than be my pawn, which is understandable. F sounds like he is still solid with me. We’re both trying to work on R to attack E to loosen things up. R is very wary of increasing my solo chances, but there’s still a tiny sliver of a chance if he feels he can get back into the game, starting with StP-Mos. I can live with that if he is builds a fleet to go after E (rather than an army to challenge me by land). F also is trying to encourage me to support StP-Mos, so I feel like it has a legitimate shot.
We do it in autumn, and A stops fighting me. He says he will help my solo to punish R. Meanwhile, E says he will help my solo to punish F. This all sounds good, and I start getting excited that I might be able to pull it off.
1909
I make my move on F and it goes perfectly. A is helping me against R. F takes the stab well and says he expected it a week earlier, feeling my solo was inevitable. That’s great news to me, because I think it’s a long way from a sure thing even now. E lambasts F on global and swears it’s game over, which is helpful for me diplomatically. E promises he will support me into MAO, which will be a death blow to Iberia for my win.
***Unfortunately, E reneges on the autumn turn and tells me it was just a ploy to help him make the draw. I think this is an important point that has not been raised yet in this thread when people have been critical of E. Although E eventually did throw the game to me in 1917, I don’t think he sincerely intended to in 1909 despite his posturing.
I’m extremely disappointed because I think my window of opportunity just closed. Even with E reneging, I might have been able to pull off the solo if I had taken out War because I could get to 18 with Mar and Mos. Instead, R’s failure to cover StP shocks me. A takes StP... which gives him a build in Vie! Now A can slow down my advance long enough for the other powers to establish a stalemate line and deny me War/Mos. It’s over.
1910-1911
But maybe not. I mean, who wants a 5wd? It will be particularly crushing if I can’t convert this solo because I just had to settle for a 5wd in my Round 1 game after getting up to 12-13 centers as Turkey and leading for most of that game. I thought I might come out of both of the first two rounds of the tournament with solos, and now it is looking like I might take two zeroes.
So I pull back. F still hates E, so I fan that flame. I feed anti-E propaganda to R, hoping some of it will come back to F in the RF press. I give Mar back to F and pull way back so he has room to operate. And I start laying the groundwork to get R back into the game via StP-Mos again. All the while, I keep my units one turn’s moves away from establishing a stalemate line to protect all my holdings. At this point, I know that the worst I can do is a 5wd and there’s no way I can be cut out of the endgame.
1912
Down goes Austria. Fan the flame of hatred against E. Keep FR thinking about 3wd and cutting E out. Keep open the possibility of an F solo.
1913-1915
The attack against E is on. Rather than defend the home island in a losing fight, E shifts east to take out R, which I think is a strategically sound move. These are slow turns for me since my units are just sitting and support holding. 1915 ends with the destruction of a Russian fleet such that his only option is a build of A Mos. That’s terrible for me.
1916
F and I have been bouncing for a while, but I realize that he actually has a chance to lock his own solo. On the autumn turn, if I do nothing and he orders Liv S Sil-War, Ber-Pru, Mun-Sil, Hol-Ruh, Kie-Ber, Bur-Mun for a full-scale assault eastward I’m not sure that I will be able to take War back from him. If he can hold War, then his solo is unstoppable as he eventually finishes off Edi and England. So I move in response to take Mos and surround War.
F accepts my explanation, realizing that his prior orders did pose a threat, which appears to have been unintentional. Surprisingly, on the autumn turn he pulled back from Mun and Ber (maybe to show emphatically that he was not trying to solo?) which makes me think I have a solo chance again. If I rush Mar/Iberia, he will need to use his army in Bur to protect his western centers. I think that means that he will only have four armies with which to defend Mun/Ber if I keep his two eastern armies in Liv and War. The key is going to be inserting my own armies into the strip between Pru and Tyr, which F wants to DMZ. He does not insist upon a DMZ and we do not block out specific moves, which really is necessary here to prevent a solo.
1917
FI are still friendly. I offer to support him into StP under the rationale that if StP is blue, he doesn’t need to worry about E throwing the game to me. Meanwhile, E is promising again that he will indeed throw the game by supporting me into StP if F doesn’t do exactly what E requires. E won’t tell me what he required of F (which I want to know so I can blow it up). Whatever E is asking for, I’m sure it isn’t F taking StP. I support F into StP and am set up for the win *IF* E supports me into StP.
But I have no idea whether he will or not. He is vitriolic on global. At the same time, he already reneged in 1909. If I take War and attack StP and E does *not* support me into StP then this time I think F will give up on the 2wd dream and settle for a 4wd. It’s too much to ask that F ignore my solo threat again and go back to attacking E after I stabbed him twice.
The thing is, I feel I still have a slight chance at a solo if E does not support me into StP, but only if I don’t take War. So this is the million dollar choice, whether or not to follow E’s plan.
The other problem is that E is so vocal on global that it is a done deal he will help me into StP, it has F uncomfortable. F can still stop the solo if he has StP S War-Mos. Even if E supports me into StP, F will take Mos and I will be held at 17. At that point, I think there is a chance EF could reconcile enough for them to kick me out of StP and deny me the solo. I wish E would stop crowing on global about throwing me the game. I try to do what I can via private press to assure F that E is just trying to push buttons. In my view, F *should* attack Mos. Even if it was a false alarm and I don’t go after War or a solo, what am I going to do about it? It would just be a faux pas and we would keep calm and carry on with the purported 2wd. However, it may well be that F doesn’t even care anymore, his animosity toward E is so great.
In the end, I decide to trust both that E will support me into StP and that F will not support War-Mos. It turned out to be the right call.
Thanks all for an enjoyable game!