Well then, good game. Obviously it was mine to lose for a while, and lose it I did. Not to take anything away from the Czech, who did take advantage quite well... but I definitely lost this. Not to be overdramatic. Lulz.
I'd say my biggest mistake, as far as overall strategy, was to take a shot at Tunis early on before England and Germany were totally dead. England put up a hell of a fight... I don't know why I thought it would go easier. My underlying assumption after I had Germany secured was that I could count on Scandinavia -- which seems hilarious now that we see the final map. But I figured the whole time that once I finished off England I was guaranteed Norway, Sweden, and St. Petersburg. The way Russia and Germany had fragmented there would make it easy.
Which leads to the two things that happened that did annoy me, and make me believe there's enough blame to go around for the lack of a draw... I'm at least not 100% responsible, hooray?
1. Germany abandoning an easily defensible position in Scandinavia to try and take the German homeland back. I'm sorry, but this was insanely transparent, and I had always made sure I had enough armies nearby to combat the possibility. I figured it would be obvious that it would only hand more centers to Turkey, but I guess you figured that you going for your homeland would force me to defend Scandinavia from the Turks instead?
2. It's been said, but yeah... Tyrrhenian Sea. I could not believe Italy supported Turkey into it when my only Mediterranean fleet was -- I thought -- fairly obviously there to stop Turkey's advance. Maybe I hadn't actually clicked "Draw" yet, I can't remember, but still... come on.
Anyway, all in all it was still a good game... and definitely a learning experience.