I haven't played many games, but maybe my thoughts are better than nothing. I don't have a complete answer, but three things come to mind.
First, talk to everyone. For example, a player at the other side of the board might be willing to pass you information, for various reasons [0]. Even if they don't give information, it's good to talk: in my first game, I openly asked the other players for advice, because I figured six untrustworthy ideas probably have some grain of truth between them.
Second, keep in mind that a smart player will only attack you if it's good for them. Try to find out whether they'll benefit from attacking you. This is no easy task, but think about things like: if this player attacks me, where can they go next? Who might their allies be? Would they really be better off attacking me than joining in?
Third, it's probably a bad idea to be too trusting at the start. For example, some players would say that Turkey and Russia should *always* bounce in the black sea in the first turn, and if they have respect for each other's intelligence, they won't try to pretend they won't. Of course, some others would disagree, but it's worth keeping it in mind. If you want to work together with another player, try to come up with plans that don't require too much trust.
[0] Example reasons: to keep your neighbors from growing too strong by defeating you, or just to get on your good side.