Cultafia Game Thread

[Jamiet99uk]

Masons arent confident scums under duress

I don't understand this. Can you explain it better?

[damo666]

As yoyo not being modkilled do we consider him for a lynch or do we just assume he would have made more effort if he were scum thereby townreading the sub before (s)he starts? Though of course the sub could get converted tonight!

It's pretty hard to reach any conclusion. Yozo would now be a poor lynch.

What about my suggestion of switching from Bozo to Yav?

If Bozo is scum he ain't gonna die in whether a switch or not. If Yav scum he ain't gonna die UNLESS switch (probably). I think it's a no brainer. Also might out a partner(s).

[Squigs44]

Jamie can you stop blending names togehter. It's hard to tell if yozo is supposed to be Bozo, yoyo, or yav.

[damo666]

Jamie can you stop blending names togehter. It's hard to tell if yozo is supposed to be Bozo, yoyo, or yav.

i believe yozo is yoyozoavic

[Nephthys]

Neph hard assumes Bozo is town here. Also looks like is trying to set up a trap Lynch here. Lynch Yav (likely town), then end hammer me (town).

Same logic could be used on you, Neph.

Not at all, I just see this as the best way forwards. As I said ONE scum was on the bozo wagon. Bozo was not on his own fucking wagon which means there is still a chance he is scum. It's bold, but possible.

I am fully aware that the same logic could be used on me. I also know that I am town and that lynching me pretty much hands the game to scum. If I was scum why in the world would I declare a plan that gives ME a 50/50 chance of being lynched.

This game is infuriating me beyond what I thought possible. EVERY. SINGLE. FUCKING. POST. I. HAVE. MADE. has been only used to read me. No one seems to give a shit about engaging in a reasonable conversation and move forwards together. I honestly wish I was scum at this stage, this is probably the most disorganised fuckfest I could have dreamt to witness. I genuinely think you guys have taken more in from yoyo's post that all of mine.

So you are arguing that regardless of Bozos alignment, one cult is on Bozo? You think if he is cult his teammate busses him D1?

Yes. The probability that at least one cult was on bozo is 1-(7/11*6/10) (Pretty sure). This gives us a 0.62 chance that the above is true. That means that to me, it seems like the best way forwards.

As I said, bold, but possible.

I'm sorry but I'm getting a headache from this and so am logging off now until EOD. My vote sits on yav.

[Squigs44]

Also, people need to stop using statistics in Mafia where they assume a random probability when the probability is not random at all. Who people vote is a decision made, and probability does not apply.

[Squigs44]

Not at all, I just see this as the best way forwards. As I said ONE scum was on the bozo wagon. Bozo was not on his own fucking wagon which means there is still a chance he is scum. It's bold, but possible.

I am fully aware that the same logic could be used on me. I also know that I am town and that lynching me pretty much hands the game to scum. If I was scum why in the world would I declare a plan that gives ME a 50/50 chance of being lynched.

This game is infuriating me beyond what I thought possible. EVERY. SINGLE. FUCKING. POST. I. HAVE. MADE. has been only used to read me. No one seems to give a shit about engaging in a reasonable conversation and move forwards together. I honestly wish I was scum at this stage, this is probably the most disorganised fuckfest I could have dreamt to witness. I genuinely think you guys have taken more in from yoyo's post that all of mine.

So you are arguing that regardless of Bozos alignment, one cult is on Bozo? You think if he is cult his teammate busses him D1?

Yes. The probability that at least one cult was on bozo is 1-(7/11*6/10) (Pretty sure). This gives us a 0.62 chance that the above is true. That means that to me, it seems like the best way forwards.

As I said, bold, but possible.

I'm sorry but I'm getting a headache from this and so am logging off now until EOD. My vote sits on yav.

Although I don't agree with Neph, I see how he put this together and his emotion is townie.

[Jamiet99uk]

As I said ONE scum was on the bozo wagon.

Wait.

How could you know that?

You're stating it as though you know it is a fact.

Neph please answer this.

[Jamiet99uk]

Okay Damo

##VOTE YAVUZOVIC

[damo666]

As it stands a town lynch looks inevitable due to the curse. We need a 7 vote wagon to have any chance of a scumlynch. If its a mislynch so be it but at the moment it looks like a guaranteed townlynch.

[damo666]

Yav 5 Bozo 2

[damo666]

As it stands Yav deffo for the chop

[DrCJG]

Alright, I am here till EOD. Just finished rereading.

I have been reading Yav pretty townie and I think avoiding a mislynch is number 1 here... so make the yav argument again while I reread if you want me to jump there to get us to 7.

[bozotheclown]

As it stands a town lynch looks inevitable due to the curse. We need a 7 vote wagon to have any chance of a scumlynch. If its a mislynch so be it but at the moment it looks like a guaranteed townlynch.

The top wagon need to be 3 larger than the next wagon to avoid the curse altering the lynch, 7 voted guarantees as it leaves only 4 votes for another wagon.

[damo666]

As it stands a town lynch looks inevitable due to the curse. We need a 7 vote wagon to have any chance of a scumlynch. If its a mislynch so be it but at the moment it looks like a guaranteed townlynch.

The top wagon need to be 3 larger than the next wagon to avoid the curse altering the lynch, 7 voted guarantees as it leaves only 4 votes for another wagon.

Correct

[bozotheclown]

I still think yavuzovic is town, but I could be wrong, and I do not think there is much chance of lynching anyone else besides me at this point, so I will move my vote.

##VOTE yavuzovic

[brainbomb]

Masons arent confident scums under duress

I don't understand this. Can you explain it better?

The Masons are not certain claiming is valuable because the current wagons may not be scum so claiming is not worth the risk.

[brainbomb]

If yav is a mason with anyone. Their partner should probably claim now to save his life

[Squigs44]

This is like when y'all lynched ghug when he went camping. I hope I'm wrong and Yav is scum.

[damo666]

Yav 6 Bozo 2 Jamie 1 Squigs 1