Mini-Mafia M1012

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summit_fever
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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#61 Post by summit_fever » Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:49 am

Hamilton Brian wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:43 am
e.m.c^42 wrote:
Wed Jun 17, 2020 11:22 pm
Glad to see MOSW (you've been getting active recently forum-wise, lol), and Hamilton - welcome :)
Thank you. Pleasure to be here. So ch a lovely town. When’s dinner?
I imagine we're expected to show up at our convenience. And welcome to the game, Hamilton :)

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#62 Post by summit_fever » Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:50 am

summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:49 am
Hamilton Brian wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:43 am
e.m.c^42 wrote:
Wed Jun 17, 2020 11:22 pm
Glad to see MOSW (you've been getting active recently forum-wise, lol), and Hamilton - welcome :)
Thank you. Pleasure to be here. So ch a lovely town. When’s dinner?
I imagine we're expected to show up at our convenience. And welcome to the game, Hamilton :)
Or would you prefer Brian? I so hate acronyms, and I'd hate to name you after a pencil shade.

Minister of Silly Walks
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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#63 Post by Minister of Silly Walks » Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:51 am

Hi all!

To GM: thanks for posting the guide, though I found and read it as soon as I signed up :-)

Is a lynch on the first day even a thing? Last and only time I played Mafia it was FTF, about five years ago, but I think the killings weren't starting until Mafia's pick on the first night.

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#64 Post by summit_fever » Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:57 am

Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:51 am
Hi all!

To GM: thanks for posting the guide, though I found and read it as soon as I signed up :-)

Is a lynch on the first day even a thing? Last and only time I played Mafia it was FTF, about five years ago, but I think the killings weren't starting until Mafia's pick on the first night.
I'm certainly not a go-to source around here, but there is no n0 and it's almost guaranteed someone will not return from the dinner party.

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#65 Post by Minister of Silly Walks » Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:12 am

summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:57 am
Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:51 am
Hi all!

To GM: thanks for posting the guide, though I found and read it as soon as I signed up :-)

Is a lynch on the first day even a thing? Last and only time I played Mafia it was FTF, about five years ago, but I think the killings weren't starting until Mafia's pick on the first night.
I'm certainly not a go-to source around here, but there is no n0 and it's almost guaranteed someone will not return from the dinner party.
Thanks :)

##vote NoLynch for today, I'm still too worried about making a mistake.

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#66 Post by summit_fever » Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:20 am

Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:12 am
summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:57 am
Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:51 am
Hi all!

To GM: thanks for posting the guide, though I found and read it as soon as I signed up :-)

Is a lynch on the first day even a thing? Last and only time I played Mafia it was FTF, about five years ago, but I think the killings weren't starting until Mafia's pick on the first night.
I'm certainly not a go-to source around here, but there is no n0 and it's almost guaranteed someone will not return from the dinner party.
Thanks :)

##vote NoLynch for today, I'm still too worried about making a mistake.
What kind of mistake could you make?

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#67 Post by Minister of Silly Walks » Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:31 am

summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:20 am
Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:12 am
summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:57 am


I'm certainly not a go-to source around here, but there is no n0 and it's almost guaranteed someone will not return from the dinner party.
Thanks :)

##vote NoLynch for today, I'm still too worried about making a mistake.
What kind of mistake could you make?
Voting for a fellow townie ;)
I haven't deduced any useful information yet, so my decision would be simply random and thus the chance of voting for a mafioso would be 25%. I could wait for longer and vote for someone I am reasonably sure will not be elected, but this vote would make no more impact than a no-lynch one.
If I start having any serious suspicions. I will change my vote. If not, this turn I will stick to no-lynch as the best alternative to "kill everyone else right away and you will probably win".

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#68 Post by summit_fever » Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:38 am

Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:31 am
summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:20 am
Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:12 am


Thanks :)

##vote NoLynch for today, I'm still too worried about making a mistake.
What kind of mistake could you make?
Voting for a fellow townie ;)
I haven't deduced any useful information yet, so my decision would be simply random and thus the chance of voting for a mafioso would be 25%. I could wait for longer and vote for someone I am reasonably sure will not be elected, but this vote would make no more impact than a no-lynch one.
If I start having any serious suspicions. I will change my vote. If not, this turn I will stick to no-lynch as the best alternative to "kill everyone else right away and you will probably win".
Right now I'm the main wagon. What do you think of me, and those voting for me?

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#69 Post by Hamilton Brian » Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:46 am

summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:50 am
[

Or would you prefer Brian? I so hate acronyms, and I'd hate to name you after a pencil shade.
Hah. I would probably respond better to Brian but I kind of like the off-the-cuff pencil grade.

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#70 Post by Hamilton Brian » Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:49 am

Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:12 am


Thanks :)

##vote NoLynch for today, I'm still too worried about making a mistake.
Yes, you and I, both. Mistakes, mistakes, mistakes. I’d hate to be party to the lynching of an innocent.

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#71 Post by bozotheclown » Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:17 am

Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:12 am
summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:57 am
Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:51 am
Hi all!

To GM: thanks for posting the guide, though I found and read it as soon as I signed up :-)

Is a lynch on the first day even a thing? Last and only time I played Mafia it was FTF, about five years ago, but I think the killings weren't starting until Mafia's pick on the first night.
I'm certainly not a go-to source around here, but there is no n0 and it's almost guaranteed someone will not return from the dinner party.
Thanks :)

##vote NoLynch for today, I'm still too worried about making a mistake.
Worse case if we do not kill someone today:
D2: 6-2
D3: 4-2 = mylo

Worse case if we kill someone today:
D2: 5-2
D3: 3-2 = lylo

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#72 Post by Hamilton Brian » Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:17 am

summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:38 am

Right now I'm the main wagon. What do you think of me, and those voting for me?

I feel like you're a pretty amiable person. It's like you'd welcome newcomers to the town with a freshly baked pie. Nothing wrong with that. Do you bake pies?

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#73 Post by bozotheclown » Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:19 am

Hamilton Brian wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:49 am
Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:12 am


Thanks :)

##vote NoLynch for today, I'm still too worried about making a mistake.
Yes, you and I, both. Mistakes, mistakes, mistakes. I’d hate to be party to the lynching of an innocent.
We only have a limited number of chances to kill mafia before they kill enough of the town to win.

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#74 Post by Minister of Silly Walks » Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:24 am

summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:38 am

Right now I'm the main wagon. What do you think of me, and those voting for me?
I don't know who you or anyone else is. I have not seen any evidence pointing at you or at anyone else, and not much if any reasoning behind voting for you or anyone else. With what little experience I lack I cannot imagine how such evidence can appear on the first day short of someone posting a screenshot of their role, and the latter seems to be prohibited by the rules.
From my perspective, you are 50% townie, 12.5% doctor, 12.5% policeman and 25% mafioso, and thus more probably a friend than not. The same goes for everyone else.
I know there are two people who are against me, and you might or might not be one of them with a 25% chance, but I don't want to make any unwarranted accusations.

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#75 Post by Minister of Silly Walks » Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:28 am

Hamilton Brian wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:17 am
summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 1:38 am

Right now I'm the main wagon. What do you think of me, and those voting for me?

I feel like you're a pretty amiable person. It's like you'd welcome newcomers to the town with a freshly baked pie. Nothing wrong with that. Do you bake pies?
Roll a d4 for whether the pie was poisoned, and then a Constitution saving throw :-D

Sorry, I think I should cut down on paranoia... Though I probably won't, especially if anyone advises me to.

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#76 Post by Hamilton Brian » Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:38 am

Minister of Silly Walks wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:28 am


Roll a d4 for whether the pie was poisoned, and then a Constitution saving throw :-D

Sorry, I think I should cut down on paranoia... Though I probably won't, especially if anyone advises me to.
That’s just so cynical!

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#77 Post by Hamilton Brian » Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:42 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:19 am

We only have a limited number of chances to kill mafia before they kill enough of the town to win.
So the favourable outcomes are against us, I guess. Theoretical probability of choosing a townie ( sorry, is that too crass?) the first night is 7/9? That’s not so good.

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#78 Post by flash2015 » Thu Jun 18, 2020 4:03 am

Hamilton Brian wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:42 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:19 am

We only have a limited number of chances to kill mafia before they kill enough of the town to win.
So the favourable outcomes are against us, I guess. Theoretical probability of choosing a townie ( sorry, is that too crass?) the first night is 7/9? That’s not so good.
Let's put it another way though - if we lynch tonight and choose wrongly we get up to two more wrong guesses, if we don't lynch tonight we get up to two more wrong guesses. Why would you throw away a chance to guess today?

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#79 Post by bozotheclown » Thu Jun 18, 2020 6:14 am

summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:41 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:36 am
summit_fever wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 12:33 am


If flash wants to scumread me for "Boo!" he's more than welcome to. I don't believe I've seen an early vote from you on such shaky pretenses before. It's rather interesting.
That seems to imply you do not think my reason for voting for you was real, is that the case?
I wouldn't go that far. You very well may have not liked what you've seen, but it's the first I've seen you exit the gate with a vote.
I do not think this is accurate, I voted early D1 in M55 also.

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Re: Mini-Mafia M1012

#80 Post by bozotheclown » Thu Jun 18, 2020 6:24 am

Hamilton Brian wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:42 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Thu Jun 18, 2020 2:19 am

We only have a limited number of chances to kill mafia before they kill enough of the town to win.
So the favourable outcomes are against us, I guess. Theoretical probability of choosing a townie ( sorry, is that too crass?) the first night is 7/9? That’s not so good.
We could choose not to day kill anyone until there are 3 town and 2 mafia, but then we would have to vote out mafia 2 days in a row while the mafia have maximum influence over the vote.

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