@Philcore
'' I take every opportunity I can to compare AGW with creationism. To me they're the same. They start with a conclusion that cannot be questioned, and use hand-waving arguments to explain why the data doesn't fit the predictions.''
Have you seen the stasis reported in the last 15 years GST (Global Surface Temperature) data and, if so, how do you explain it?
Here is one clue for you, amongst several possibilities - how much soot are we pumping up into the atmosphere now compared to 150 years ago, and how might that affect the albedo effect at high latitudes/over glaciars? I am afraid that all of those beavering computer programmers doing their scientific work at the stroke of the keyboard have largely forgotten to incorporate this in their modelling.
That is not to say that pumping CO2 into the atmosphere will necessarily have a zero effect GST. It is just that I am not yet convinced, given the very complicated Global climatic system with its intrinsic positive and negative feedback loops, that we can be anywhere near certain what these will be. @Philcore
'' I take every opportunity I can to compare AGW with creationism. To me they're the same. They start with a conclusion that cannot be questioned, and use hand-waving arguments to explain why the data doesn't fit the predictions.''
Have you seen the last 15 years GST (Global Surface Temperature) data and, if so, how do you explain them?
Here is one clue for you - how much soot are we pumping up into the atmosphere now compared to 150 years ago, and how might that affect the albedo effect at high latitudes. I am afraid that all of those beavering computer programmers, doing their scientific work at the stroke of the keyboard, have largely forgotten to incorporate this in their modelling. I predict that none of them will be remotely near in their predictions.
That is not to say that pumping CO2 into the atmosphere will necessarily have no effect GST, it is just that I am not yet convinced, given the very complicated Global climatic system with its intrinsic positive and negative feedback loops that we can be anywhere near certain what these will be.
In my view, if we want to get anywhere near to the answer research must be primarily focussed on good practical observational/experimental science. Computational modelling may be cheap in comparison, but particularly when used in isolation; it will invariably give you the answer confirming not an empirical real world, but the prejudices of the programmer. You know the guys who largely input and select which data they choose and, where necessary, apply left field constants/fudge factors when things start to look problematical in terms of their next grant application.