Not sure about stats on php but this site has some stats (and I am pretty sure I have seen some other figures out there too).
http://www.badpets.net/Diplomacy/AtoZ/C.html#CompletedGames
I would say based on the figures from the above site that the countires most likely to win are Russia, France and Germany, while poor Italy is the least likely.
From my own experience I find France the easiest to play.
Facebook phpdiplomacy had a thread a while back where someone calculated the ratios on the games played there but that thread would be gone by now.

It would be interesting to see whether PPSC games have different figures than WTA games. Russia would seem to be more of an all or nothing kind of power than, say, France.

All the statistical reports here on countries are distorted by the high number of Drops (CD) and No Moves Received (NMR).
Further there is the HORRIBLE tendency for games to be made here where there is no Italy or German player at the start.

What you would need to do is to look at games where there are NO CD/NMR's or replacement players and then break them down by Win Only and Points Per Center games.

Historically in postal/email games where there are drops Russia jumps to the lead because it has the most effective neighbors and anyone of them that drops gives a big increase in favorable outcomes. This causes an aggressive Russia to gain even more when in a normal game the aggressive Russian winds up causing his own demise.

Additionally the play styles encouraged here by the different scoring systems and the high influx of new players who ignore it while there is a core of experienced players that are focused on it/them.

So statistical analysis is a mine field here.

Turkey Russia and France are usually the winners.

It shall be very interesting to see the statistics from the league when it is completed.

Turkey has disproportionate success here compared to postal play statistics.

yes , i remember some guy (who? he came,did it, then left! ) had a good hard long look at the phpdip stats (with the cds and nmrs, sorry edi) and turkey came out tops. followed by france or russia i think. austria wasnt so bad actually, it had a decent record, if it survived beyond the first few years it had a real good winning record i think.

Nonsense! Italy wins the most. =)

Austria is actually pretty superbly plaeced once it gets a bunch of armies. Its just the not getting crushed early part that is difficult. I'm always surprised how England ranks so low, I have won a couple times with them.

please ban ██████████

League games will have distorted data. When you play the league games you are actually playing 2 games at once, the immediate game of Diplomacy and the league game.

Winning in one is not the same as winning in the other.

Why should ██████████ be banned?

i think alamothe has a problem with the name

¡uǝɥʇ 'ʇxǝʇ pǝddılɟ ʇnoqɐ pɐǝɹɥʇ ɹǝɥʇo ǝɥʇ oʇ ɹǝʍsuɐ llıʍ ǝɥ ʇɐɥʍ ǝǝs oʇ snoıɹnɔ ɯɐ ı ˙˙˙lol

Personally I do the best with Turkey and France, but it`s still too early for that to be any indication of which country suits me because I`ve only played 16 or 17 games so far. Also, it`s evident that Russia has the potential to expand very far, very quickly, but I think it`s a psychological thing to attack Russia just to get the obvious threat out of the way before focusing on other countries. Russia`s so big that it just looks like it`s a huge threat from the get-go, but really it`s not at all that much of an advantage because of the fact that there`s so much more territory to defend and only one more supply centre (than the other powers) to do it.

PS what sort of code do you have to write to get the inverted text? Or is it just a font on a word-processing program you have mac?

it's not me, it's my computer it hangs for a 20 seconds or so whenever it has to render ██████████