We are witnessing huge game of diplomacy IRL. Lots of talk about freedom, law, order and other usual stuff. None of that really being objective or truth. Why is that? Because if people are protesting for interests of great power A, then they are called freedom fighters, innocent democratic citizens, and protesters (even when they carry guns are are killing police officers). But, if protesters are protesting for something that is in the interest of the power B, then they are called separatist, terrorist and such. In truth they are just pawns. None of those people will live better in any case. If west wins and take Ukraine out of Russian sphere of influence, those people will remain poor, mistreated, and backyard of Europe. If Russia wins, the same will happen. What is the worst is the the way it happened. We are accustomed seeing great power to overthrow governments in Africa, South America or Asia. But to overthrow a government of European nation with million population is warning to us all. What is the next, taking down government in Madrid, Rome if they sign a deal that is not in the interest of some western or eastern power group?
This is not about freedom, democracy, or people. This is about power, resources, money.
Who is involved and what are their interest, is the main question:
Ukraine, Belarus: They are just pawns and victims. Tools for great powers to play with.
Poland: Economically revived Poland see its chance to get in Ukraine. Not long ago Poland ruled western Ukraine and Lvov was considered polish city. Poland wants part of this cake again.
Germany: Not really much to say here, from ancient times German tribes looked for expansion to the east, and today is not much different. Lots of space with little population and lots of resources. Ideal for great power to poses.
Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia: All of them have large Russian minority, and rusophob population. They all remember old times when Lithuanian-polish commonwealth was the largest state in Europe, from Baltic to the Black Sea.
Turkey: Is in great expansion. Powerful economy, rising power. It want to expand, and the best way is to take control of the Syria, and weaken Russia to dominate Caucasus.
USA: Russia without Ukraine is paper tiger. All Russian big cities are in near vicinity of Ukraine border. If west controls Ukraine, Belarus will follow and the result, Russia is power no more.
Russia: Wants to control Ukraine in order to have safe heaven in Black Sea, to have block of states between its core and the west (Ukraine and Belarus would be that buffer). Remember the World War One. USA did not liked the idea to see German Empire being friend and ally of Mexico, so USA reacted with interventionh. The same is here. If Russia are to remain a power, it cannot let NATO to control Ukraine. It will react.
Time: Recent studies show that western power is declining and that at the moment it is on its zenith. In 20-30 years center of power would be in the triangle China-India-South East Asia-plus Brazil. USA will not be able to afford money to keep as large army as it have now, and the same goes with Europe, while eastern power will boom. That means that time is working for eastern powers. If west wants to have domination it has to act now, while it has the lead. This is what we are seeing now.
The final note. USA had its own civil war. Terrible thing that ruined many cities, states. USA did not let secession of its states, but recently USA pressed for secession of Kosovo. If I am not mistaken, for example Texas volunteer joined USA, and thus it would be logical to assume that Texas have the right to leave the union. IRL this was not the case. On the other hand, Kosovo was province, autonomous province, never state, or nation, or republic, and still it got right to seceded. Double standards?