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wjessop (100 DX)
06 Nov 15 UTC
The Fermi Paradox -- Where Are All The Aliens?
1. Estimates of stars with habitable planets range into the high billions.
2. The Sun is a typical star and there is a high probability that many other stars will have Earth-like planets, some of which have already been observed.
3. If Earth is typical, other Earth-like planets should have developed intelligent life.
4. Based on this, there should be lots of opportunities for life in the Milky Way galaxy. Where are all the aliens?
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Espi (338 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
@gold civilizations evolve
Espi (338 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
*espi

@wj we are like children seeking answers, so maybe we can get some of those answers from a higher developed life, or maybe that life unites people on earth simply by existing and we actually get into space. The only bad thing from alien contact is if the aliens want to control us.
ssorenn (0 DX)
06 Nov 15 UTC
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nearest_terrestrial_exoplanet_candidates

many generation will have come and gone, before we get to any of these
ssorenn (0 DX)
06 Nov 15 UTC
the milky way is one of the newer galaxy's known. If thats true, we are definitely not on the top of anything, as others would have had millions of years to develop further
@ssorenn - I agree with you there. My grandkids probably won't see it, but it'll happen. I think you'll find this link pretty cool, if you haven't gone through it already.
https://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/3psmom/we_are_nasa_scientists_looking_for_habitable/
ssorenn (0 DX)
06 Nov 15 UTC
Goldy, i fully believe its all out there. The OP asked why we have not seen anything substantial yet. The day will come, whether its breaking the speed of light barrier, or wormhole tech, or something else
@wj and Espi - Maybe I'm more pessimistic than that. Better safe than sorry. Especially since we only have one planet we all live on. Once we start creating colonies, we can get a bit more risky.
ssorenn (0 DX)
06 Nov 15 UTC
"4. Based on this, there should be lots of opportunities for life in the Milky Way galaxy. Where are all the aliens?"

well we got #fuckghug :))
haha, I know ssorenn. I just tend to get distracted from the OP.

I believe we're in one of three scenarios.

1) There's some "boundary" where most civilizations ultimately fail. Perhaps multiple boundaries, the first of which being the evolution of intelligent life. The second of which could be some unknown, where most civilizations destroy themselves (question is, have we passed it already?). This could lead to very few lifeforms capable of interstellar travel.

2) Similar to above, but we're the first one (or will be the first one) to pass said boundary. We are alone in our technological capabilities.

3) We don't hear anyone because there is some other civilization out there which destroys other forms of life that begin to approach its technological abilities. 1 master race watching all life in the galaxy and stomping it out when they raise above a certain threshold. I hope its not this one.
Gobbledydook (1389 D(B))
06 Nov 15 UTC
I believe that the fact that we sit in, as one would put it in Star Wars terms, the 'outer rim' of the galaxy, might have an impact on why we haven't seen any aliens yet.
For all intents and purposes our area might as well be the Wild West.
Randomizer (722 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
http://www.foxnews.com/science/2015/10/15/could-this-star-signal-that-alien-is-out-there.html

We may have seen alien life, but we can't be certain with current instruments.

You have to factor in that if there is a space faring civilization living in our time period that they also are headed in our direction. It's more likely that it's heading towards our galaxy's core, then out here.
wjessop (100 DX)
06 Nov 15 UTC
Every time I reas about it, I find that story really intriguing, Randomizer.

The main 'debunk answer' seems to be comets -- but why would the comets not be absorbed/destroyed into the star. It's a good question.

It'll be exciting to hear about the SETI radio results from the system.
@wj and Random - in the AMA I linked a Goddard scientist answers a question about that. Its near the top, I think. In short, the possibility that its alien-made isn't all that high, in their view.
wjessop (100 DX)
06 Nov 15 UTC
AMA? What's the definition please?
Ask-Me-Anything. There's a whole subreddit for it where they get notable people/teams to come and answer questions from the general public. The one I linked was done by a team of NASA scientists.
wjessop (100 DX)
06 Nov 15 UTC
Oh ok, cool, will take a proper look.

It's alien megastructures though. Don't ruin it :p
Actually, the team that found the star in question is doing an AMA on the 11th at 9am.

https://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/
thorfi (1023 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
I saw an article which suggests we may actually be one of the older planets out there - which if true means it's possible the aliens *will* be out there, but we happen to be some of the earliest. Don't have the link handy, sorry.
Chumbles (791 D(S))
06 Nov 15 UTC
They're here! Some of them even play dip. ;¬)
thorfi (1023 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
Soylent aliens are made of people! Wake up sheeple
Maniac (189 D(B))
06 Nov 15 UTC
Aliens either exist or they don't. People seem to think that the size of the universe and the billions of planets somehow affects the chances of alien life existing: it doesn't. Aliens either exist or they don't.

Let us imagine that we could collect together every playing card every made and shuffle them up and ask someone to pick a card. There will be billions and billions of cards but the chances of someone picking the 32 of Helmets is entirely dependent on whether or not the 32 of Helmets exists.

Aliens either exist or they don't - just accept it.
ssorenn (0 DX)
06 Nov 15 UTC
"Aliens either exist or they don't"

want proof? #FUCKGHUG
Evil Minion (467 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
The answer to the original question is most likely:
"In their own solar systems minding their own business just as we do."
Yoyoyozo (65 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
(+1)
"Aliens either exist or they don't"
Oversimplification. We exist, but life on earth didn't just pop into existence out of some new type of matter. No, we are an arrangement of matter that already existed in the world.

Your card trick also is false.
Let's say you have a deck or cards labeled after the periodic table, a HUGE deck with quadrillions of copies of each element. cards are arranged so you may draw any number of cards, but once you draw a certain sequence of Carbon, Nitrogen, Oxygen, and Hydrogen, life happens. Now it's very unlikely to occur during the first few hours of drawing, but given 15 billion years and trillions are decks to draw from, it will happen many many many times.
orathaic (1009 D(B))
06 Nov 15 UTC
So many comments... Natural wormholes may exist and be exploitable, but we don't have any 'exotic matter' to exploit them - even if we did we'd have to move them to other star system by sub light means, which wouldake expansion slowly and painful.

Looking only at earth, why is there no other intelligent life here?

Well maybe there is but we don't recognise it. But certainly our growth and potential destruction of our own habitat makes many question or own intelligence. It the 'intelligence' that we value important does it make us better than dolphins/whales/ elephants?

The galaxy is only 100,000 ligth years across and 10,000 light years thick ( at the bulge ) so nothing like the hundreds of millions (to the nearest next galaxy) someone quoted.

@Maniac, what?? No. If we assume a naturalistic world, we can say with certainty that life of some kind has existed at some place and time elsewhere in the universe. We know you get organic molecules on asteroid/comets an in dust clouds around other stars, and we know they are neccesary for 'life as we know it' - we don't know how abiogenesis occurs (the first self-replicating cell, for example) - but we also know how likely lige is to evolve once abiogenesis has occured.

The chances of finding life entirely depend on whether it exists or not; but if it doesn't exist them we need to figure out why - based on what we know of evolution/cultural and technical development/abiogenesis...

Most scientists agree life definitely exists elsewhere in the universe - though it is possible that 'habitable' worlds like earth are only stable for a few hundred million years and nothing has had a chance to evolve as far as us.

Or that we've reached strict limits of technical development - like hitting the quantum limit for computer processors - Moore's law can't continue indefinitely, so what is the physical limit to transistor size and what other physical limits actually stop development in a given direction?

Are there similar physical limits in other places? Like preventing abiogenesis, or stopping evolution of intelligence, or stopping interstellar travel (yes to this one eith the speed of light) - if we assume life like us, we could send humans to near light speed and to other star systems, but our technology could also massively extend human life ( there are genes which double the life span of types of nemotoad ) i think that extending human life span almost indefinitely is much easier than interstellar travel. An teraforming the earth is much more possoble than teraforming anywhere else...

The only reason to establish a mars colony is to increase our chances of survival in case the earth is threatened by a local disaster ( eg asteroid impact / massive solar flare ) First, these things could also have wiped out intelligent life elsewhere. Second, a Mars colony doesn't protect use against a solar system wide event, though probably rarer we don't know how common they might be. A rogue neutron star passing through the solar system would effectively end all life in our area. But we've never seen such an event happen so we don't know how likely it is.

We also don't know how likely asteroid impacts are in other solar systems - we think Jupiter's gravity makes us safer from these kinds of impact, and earth magnetic field protects us from solar flares; so it is possible that having 'stability' on earth of millions of years is a rare thing overall. And that of those rare civilisations which do develop they only last a finite amount of time ( Rome lasted around 2,000 years, the Mayan empire collapsed, China likely considers itself the longest continuous cultural development, but most human civilisations have developed to a certain level of complexity and then broken down - entropy? )

I would suggest that intelligent life is rare and spaced out in time.
BaldOldGuy (74 DX)
06 Nov 15 UTC
YoYo "but given 15 billion years and trillions are decks to draw from, it will happen many many many times."

Look at the math on DNA. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1--tP49mOoE
Yoyoyozo (65 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
@BOG
Do you seriously think that aliens will use DNA as a basis for life? Chances are that the first life on Earth want even DNA based. It's too complex. Life will likely start out as a collection of loosely held together organic compounds that can take in light and make more organic compounds.
Espi (338 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
(+1)
@orathaic there is one thing we get from going to Mars, we develop technology needed to get to mars and continue to develop it afterwards to make it better, that is why mankind needs to go to space, to develop technology. It is the same effect we get from war, technology increases as the need increases.
orathaic (1009 D(B))
06 Nov 15 UTC
^ thumbs up to that, both the moon landing and CERN's LHC tried to do the (then) impossible, and developed jew technolgy as a result, 'the past 100 years' of technical development has come a long distance due to doing new things (as you rigthly point out, often in the name of war)
orathaic (1009 D(B))
06 Nov 15 UTC
And i can think of other reasons too... But i'm still happy with the overall thrust of my arguement!

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137 replies
maddotter (830 D)
08 Nov 15 UTC
Sunboat should start at 10:06a ET
The timer says Now, but I set the game to start in 30 min at 9:36 ET. http://webdiplomacy.net/board.php?gameID=169540
2 replies
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Octavious (2701 D)
08 Nov 15 UTC
(+1)
At the going down of the sun and in the morning, we will remember them.
"The whole earth is the tomb of heroic men, and their story is not graven only on stone over their clay, but abides everywhere without visible symbol woven into the stuff of other men's lives."
1 reply
Open
brainbomb (290 D)
07 Nov 15 UTC
Can you request..
NMR's to be removed if they were due to webdip server outage. I know it seems like a crazy thing to request but reputation does seem to matter quite a bit on here.
3 replies
Open
Jamiet99uk (808 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
(+3)
Facts based discussion on the Pyramids
Nobody denies that the pyramids exist. Now, however, it has emerged that one of the Republican party's leading candidates to run for president believes that the pyramids were built for storing grain. I know Diplomacy players are among the smartest people in the world. So I ask you – do the math. Show how the pyramids were not tombs, but granaries.
38 replies
Open
steephie22 (182 D(S))
07 Nov 15 UTC
Looking for boardgame playtesters
Dear all,
9 replies
Open
Sunysweets (0 DX)
07 Nov 15 UTC
Ancient Med
Would someone to play a quick game on the hour or two (map ancient med)
0 replies
Open
peterwiggin (15158 D)
07 Nov 15 UTC
Live game needs new England.
Good position. If I didn't have plans with my wife, I'd take it myself. http://webdiplomacy.net/board.php?gameID=169474
43 replies
Open
TheMinisterOfWar (553 D)
23 Oct 15 UTC
Last days for the Netherlands Diplomacy Championship
You can still register for the Netherlands Diplomacy Championship, we're getting at least three boards full, maybe four if you MAN UP and join :-)

http://bit.ly/nederdip2015
20 replies
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steephie22 (182 D(S))
06 Nov 15 UTC
If someone really wanted to piss you off...
...What superpower would they best give you?
0 replies
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VashtaNeurotic (2394 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
What is Your One Superpower?
Simple question, if you could have one superpower what would it be (cliche I know), and please get creative. One restriction though, your power can not give you other powers, that's cheating. With that being said, let's begin.
22 replies
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beniliusbob (0 DX)
30 Oct 15 UTC
(+1)
Dirty Orc Tricks
I can't be the only one here with polyhedral dice in my diplomatic pouch. Help me out with your down dirtiest orc tricks and know that you will have contributed to my D&D players' shame and humiliation next Saturday.
45 replies
Open
wildwolf (1214 D)
04 Nov 15 UTC
Winner Take All versus Points per cost centre
Does one game style produce less draws than the other.

Has there been any analysis done....
64 replies
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Ogion (3882 D)
03 Nov 15 UTC
So, what's your name all about?
I confess I'm kind of curious how you all chose your names.
110 replies
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denis (864 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
whats the least amount of units you have soloed with?
least amount units in comparison to largest number of final centers.
9 replies
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Spitnaz (496 D)
06 Nov 15 UTC
Cheating?
I'm in a gunboat game and in Autumn 1904 Austria was 2/2 in support moves for Italy and Italy was 1/1 in support moves for Austria. Perhaps they just guessed correctly what each person was doing, but how do I contact the admins to report my concerns?
3 replies
Open
ssorenn (0 DX)
05 Nov 15 UTC
new Italy needed
good position
7 replies
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Hannibal76 (100 D(B))
05 Nov 15 UTC
Join Me
Join me, ancient med
http://webdiplomacy.net/board.php?gameID=169349
0 replies
Open
wjessop (100 DX)
02 Nov 15 UTC
(+1)
Live Mafia
Message here for live mafia games.
334 replies
Open
brainbomb (290 D)
04 Nov 15 UTC
Best Opening moves : Italy (gunboat)
So this is my own curiousity. What opening do you see most often in gunboat by Italy?
7 replies
Open
wjessop (100 DX)
30 Oct 15 UTC
Mafia 13.5
Would anyone be interested in a mafia starting on Monday?

Limited capacity, ~10 players. Limited PRs, mostly vanilla town/mafia.
524 replies
Open
Valis2501 (2850 D(G))
04 Nov 15 UTC
Old CCGs
Picking up "dead" CCGs from the 90s/2000s is a bit of a hobby of mine. You can often get booster boxes or cases of starter decks for a fraction of MSRP.

3 replies
Open
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
03 Nov 15 UTC
(+1)
webDip YouTube Channel
Hello all,
I've had several people ask about the YouTube channel, so I just wanted to assure everyone that it is not dead. We were having some audio recording issues that were making the videos very time consuming to produce. Once I resolve that (hopefully very soon) I expect we will go back to a very frequent release schedule. Stay tuned!
0 replies
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Yoyoyozo (65 D)
31 Oct 15 UTC
Super High Stakes, high quality games?
I'm looking to blow 400-500 D and I wouldn't mind it being all in one game.
8 replies
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orathaic (1009 D(B))
31 Oct 15 UTC
Mafia, and other games...
Ok so i'm a big fan of (see inside)...
12 replies
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wjessop (100 DX)
03 Nov 15 UTC
ANNOUNCED: New Star Trek TV Series Coming 2017
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-34704082

After celebrating the 50th Anniversary, the new TV series will be released.
16 replies
Open
ckroberts (3548 D)
11 Sep 15 UTC
The Mountain is dead/Long live the Mountain
The Mountain Game 4 has ended, and sign-ups for Game 5 shall commence.
92 replies
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jaimejenny (0 DX)
02 Nov 15 UTC
Quality Best High novelty Passports,ID,Drivers License for
No spam on forum
5 replies
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Jamiet99uk (808 D)
31 Oct 15 UTC
(+1)
Nod Team Announcement
See inside.
13 replies
Open
big_dawg (100 D)
31 Oct 15 UTC
(+2)
New to the game
Any kewl tips u guys have? new 2 the game. heard great things XD
23 replies
Open
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