MAFIA 77: RETURN TO THE WEST [GAME THREAD] - [HIDDEN]

[Chaqa]

I vaguely remember scum!Damo as risk averse.

[bozotheclown]

I feel like Bozo is not properly considering the implication of the hammer vote in him.

With 6 of us left, does it take 3 to hammer, or 4?

There's only five of us left, so three.

Ah, thank you.

Okay, so at least one scum in Damo/Bozo. That helps a lot.

Considering the fact that damo hammered and apparently left, I think the probability that he is mafia is very high, with a slight possibility he did not realize how bad his play was as town. Since you, Chaqa, and rdrivera all posted with a short period of time, any other mafia combination would have had the chance to end the game.

##VOTE damo

[Chaqa]

There's only five of us left, so three.

Ah, thank you.

Okay, so at least one scum in Damo/Bozo. That helps a lot.

Considering the fact that damo hammered and apparently left, I think the probability that he is mafia is very high, with a slight possibility he did not realize how bad his play was as town. Since you, Chaqa, and rdrivera all posted with a short period of time, any other mafia combination would have had the chance to end the game.

##VOTE damo

Could you review my last few posts and run it through your algorithms or w/e you use? I feel like the optimal vote here is Balki since he's the likely partner for both of you.

[bozotheclown]

Ah, thank you.

Okay, so at least one scum in Damo/Bozo. That helps a lot.

Considering the fact that damo hammered and apparently left, I think the probability that he is mafia is very high, with a slight possibility he did not realize how bad his play was as town. Since you, Chaqa, and rdrivera all posted with a short period of time, any other mafia combination would have had the chance to end the game.

##VOTE damo

Could you review my last few posts and run it through your algorithms or w/e you use? I feel like the optimal vote here is Balki since he's the likely partner for both of you.

Based on your analysis, you and Balki are equally likely to be mafia.

[Balki Bartokomous]

This leaves:
Bozo-Chaqa
Bozo-Balki
Bozo-Rivera
Damo-Chaqa
Damo-Balki
Damo-Rivera

As the possible scumteams.

Someone check my work.

Nobody needs to check your work. You can look at my more succinct work up above.

At least one Scum in Bozo/Damo.

[Balki Bartokomous]

Ah, thank you.

Okay, so at least one scum in Damo/Bozo. That helps a lot.

Considering the fact that damo hammered and apparently left, I think the probability that he is mafia is very high, with a slight possibility he did not realize how bad his play was as town. Since you, Chaqa, and rdrivera all posted with a short period of time, any other mafia combination would have had the chance to end the game.

##VOTE damo

Could you review my last few posts and run it through your algorithms or w/e you use? I feel like the optimal vote here is Balki since he's the likely partner for both of you.

We know there is AT LEAST one scum in Bozo/Damo, so you want to vote for me?

[bozotheclown]

I do not think damo as town would incorrectly come to the conclusion that BunnyGo had indicated he had a scan on me, or that he would take the game into his own hands by hammering. damo must have thought that BunnyGo flipping tracker would make me look bad and thought he could get the mis-kill, and did not realize the implication of his end vote.

[Chaqa]

Considering the fact that damo hammered and apparently left, I think the probability that he is mafia is very high, with a slight possibility he did not realize how bad his play was as town. Since you, Chaqa, and rdrivera all posted with a short period of time, any other mafia combination would have had the chance to end the game.

##VOTE damo

Could you review my last few posts and run it through your algorithms or w/e you use? I feel like the optimal vote here is Balki since he's the likely partner for both of you.

We know there is AT LEAST one scum in Bozo/Damo, so you want to vote for me?

I'm town. I believe Rivera to be town. I don't believe Damo-Bozo makes sense as a pair based on voting patterns.

You are the partner either way.

[Chaqa]

I think anyone would be hard pressed to make a serious case for Chaqa-Damo or Chaqa-Balki pairings.

[Balki Bartokomous]

I think anyone would be hard pressed to make a serious case for Chaqa-Damo or Chaqa-Balki pairings.

How about Chaqa/Bozo?

[bozotheclown]

This leaves:
Bozo-Chaqa
Bozo-Balki
Bozo-Rivera
Damo-Chaqa
Damo-Balki
Damo-Rivera

As the possible scumteams.

Someone check my work.

Nobody needs to check your work. You can look at my more succinct work up above.

At least one Scum in Bozo/Damo.

Not that I think damo is town, but why are you discounting the possibility that 2 other mafia, Chaqa and rdrivera from your perspective, have not hammered yet because they can't be sure when the other will leave or damo will come back?

[Chaqa]

I think anyone would be hard pressed to make a serious case for Chaqa-Damo or Chaqa-Balki pairings.

How about Chaqa/Bozo?

I think that's a much more reasonable pairing.

[bozotheclown]

I really wish Balki hadn't made either of his suggestions.

My head aches.

I'll deal with no kill in a separate post.

With regard to the lock vote I haven't exhaustively gone through all possible sequences looking at optimal strategies and possibilities but on what have done I think it is advantageous to scum.

In fact I propose that game day tomorrow we agree that nobody will end vote and if anybody does we simply vote them .

Considering this post, damo would have understood the implications of his end vote. He has essentially forcibly implemented the exact thing he was supposedly strongly opposed to.

[Chaqa]

I really wish Balki hadn't made either of his suggestions.

My head aches.

I'll deal with no kill in a separate post.

With regard to the lock vote I haven't exhaustively gone through all possible sequences looking at optimal strategies and possibilities but on what have done I think it is advantageous to scum.

In fact I propose that game day tomorrow we agree that nobody will end vote and if anybody does we simply vote them .

Considering this post, damo would have understood the implications of his end vote. He has essentially forcibly implemented the exact thing he was supposedly strongly opposed to.

Man, Damo's jokes are much too advanced for me.

[Balki Bartokomous]

Okay, nobody do anything rash today please. The Bozo/Dame cross gives us still more info. Almost certainly one is Scum.

It almost looked to me like Bunny might have had a clean track on Damo (not sure about that). Obviously that wouldn’t be conclusive even if it’s true, as Scum!Damo would not have to make a visit. All the same, I am feeling pretty strong feelings that Bozo is a hit.

[Chaqa]

It would have had to be on Night 3 or 4. I'll look at it tomorrow.

[damo666]

##unend

[damo666]

Sorry, ending was a mistake. I was a bit pissed and didn't think it through and had forgotten my 'kill the ender' theory.

However, as the game is not finished I know Bozo is scum. I realise the other two townies don't, they just have to trust me.

Chaqa"s reaction looks quite town so I am kinda 85% Balki 13% Chaqa 2%rdr.

[damo666]

I also understand that from an outside pov it could be an elaborate ploy by me and Bozo but I'm not that good! I would need to have been bussing for days.

I am not moving my vote as I have a guilty.

[damo666]

Okay, nobody do anything rash today please. The Bozo/Dame cross gives us still more info. Almost certainly one is Scum.

It almost looked to me like Bunny might have had a clean track on Damo (not sure about that). Obviously that wouldn’t be conclusive even if it’s true, as Scum!Damo would not have to make a visit. All the same, I am feeling pretty strong feelings that Bozo is a hit.

Balki signalling to Bozo that he has no choice. He has to bus.