Alright, I've made up my mind. I'll order AEG-->EAS, CON-->AEG, SMY-->ANK, and BUL support-hold GRE. It seems most likely Italy will either move to EAS again, or else attack Greece. My orders work well against both of those possibilities. If Italy does move ION-->EAS, and my Aegean move bounces, I'd really prefer to get the Constantinople fleet down to Smyrna, so it can let out into EAS next turn. But: it's also possible Italy will order ION-->AEG, in which case it would not be good if I failed to block Aegean, especially on a turn when I'm leaving Constantinople open. These orders feel right to me. We'll see how it goes.DougJoe wrote: ↑Wed Sep 14, 2022 2:24 pmI like the idea of support holding Greece, although I'm not sure that's what Italy is after at the moment.Trigfea63 wrote: ↑Wed Sep 14, 2022 5:47 amObservations for Autumn '04: Italy not only ordered to EAS and ION, he also ordered F ADR-->ALB. This appears to set him up for an attack on Greece: ALB-->GRE supported by ION (or vice versa) and TRI-->SER. I don't want Italy capturing Greece. To thwart Italy, BUL will support-hold GRE. With the other units, I have a couple of options. One is: AEG-->EAS, CON-->AEG, SMY-->CON. If I do that, and it works, my units will be exactly where I want them. And there's a decent chance it will work: if Italy makes the attack on Greece, for example. On the other hand, if Italy orders ION-->EAS again, none of my units move anywhere (although I do block Italy from EAS again). Another possibility is: CON-->SMY, SMY-->ANK, ensuring some progress. It then takes one more turn to get the units all in position. For the Aegean fleet, AEG-->EAS blocks the potential ION-->EAS but leaves AEG vacant, while AEG support-hold BUL leaves EAS vacant. And is support-holding BUL really necessary?
One other option, if you're willing to risk letting Italy into EMS, is AEG C Smy-Con, Con-Smy. Not sure right now which of the three options I like best, although I'd probably lean towards AEG->EMS, Smy-Ank, Con-Smy.
Here are the Autumn '04 results. I'll comment on them later:
https://webdiplomacy.net/map.php?gameID ... Type=large