MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

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ghug
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6101 Post by ghug » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:10 am

Chaqa wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:06 am
President Eden wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:05 am
Also, at some point, Brian got the bomb.
I believe on Night 2, since we know Night 3 was spent shuffling vote tags.
Or on night one. Don't forget that possibility.
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6102 Post by Chaqa » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:14 am

ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:10 am
Chaqa wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:06 am
President Eden wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:05 am
Also, at some point, Brian got the bomb.
I believe on Night 2, since we know Night 3 was spent shuffling vote tags.
Or on night one. Don't forget that possibility.
That's only possible if Neon made up the flowers thing, which I hold at about a 1% chance.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6103 Post by ghug » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:15 am

Chaqa wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:14 am
ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:10 am
Chaqa wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:06 am


I believe on Night 2, since we know Night 3 was spent shuffling vote tags.
Or on night one. Don't forget that possibility.
That's only possible if Neon made up the flowers thing, which I hold at about a 1% chance.
No, Neon could have killed Darg.
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6104 Post by President Eden » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:18 am

ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:15 am
Chaqa wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:14 am
ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:10 am


Or on night one. Don’t forget that possibility.
That’s only possible if Neon made up the flowers thing, which I hold at about a 1% chance.
No, Neon could have killed Darg.
Still pretty remote (IMO anyway) that they wanted to get the bomb from Sabi, had two ways to do it—one of which is much more resilient to town tampering than the other—but they chose the less resilient path and then managed to get it back from their kill victim anyway.
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6105 Post by President Eden » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:20 am

I’m about ready to tap out on this lol. Here’s what I’m confident in.


Double Voter Realistic Starting Possibilities:

celaph
snowByz
ghug

If snowByz had it, he lost it N2.
If celaph or ghug had it, they lost it N3.


No Voter Realistic Starting Possibilities:

worcej

worcej lost it N2 or N3.
N2: Jamie, Rumi, Eden, Bona, celaph, Brian, Chaqa
N3: Bona, Rumi, celaph, Eden, bo


I make several assumptions to get this far, all of which I can explain if needed. But I can’t get any further, because there are enough ways for the bus driver to accomplish both required moves.
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6106 Post by ghug » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:25 am

President Eden wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:20 am
I’m about ready to tap out on this lol. Here’s what I’m confident in.


Double Voter Realistic Starting Possibilities:

celaph
snowByz
ghug

If snowByz had it, he lost it N2.
If celaph or ghug had it, they lost it N3.


No Voter Realistic Starting Possibilities:

worcej

worcej lost it N2 or N3.
N2: Jamie, Rumi, Eden, Bona, celaph, Brian, Chaqa
N3: Bona, Rumi, celaph, Eden, bo


I make several assumptions to get this far, all of which I can explain if needed. But I can’t get any further, because there are enough ways for the bus driver to accomplish both required moves.
Hold up, I lost my starting tag to Jamie N2.
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6107 Post by Chaqa » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:32 am

ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:15 am
Chaqa wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:14 am
ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:10 am


Or on night one. Don't forget that possibility.
That's only possible if Neon made up the flowers thing, which I hold at about a 1% chance.
No, Neon could have killed Darg.
fml

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6108 Post by Chaqa » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:34 am

I think Snowy made the N1 kill if I had to wager, and took the innocent tag from Damo's corpse.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6109 Post by Chaqa » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:34 am

Chaqa wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:34 am
I think Snowy made the N1 kill if I had to wager, and took the innocent tag from Damo's corpse.
Sorry, *Dargo's corpse

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6110 Post by Chaqa » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:35 am

I'm protecting ghug tonight.

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6111 Post by President Eden » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:51 am

ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:25 am
President Eden wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:20 am
I’m about ready to tap out on this lol. Here’s what I’m confident in.


Double Voter Realistic Starting Possibilities:

celaph
snowByz
ghug

If snowByz had it, he lost it N2.
If celaph or ghug had it, they lost it N3.


No Voter Realistic Starting Possibilities:

worcej

worcej lost it N2 or N3.
N2: Jamie, Rumi, Eden, Bona, celaph, Brian, Chaqa
N3: Bona, Rumi, celaph, Eden, bo


I make several assumptions to get this far, all of which I can explain if needed. But I can’t get any further, because there are enough ways for the bus driver to accomplish both required moves.
Hold up, I lost my starting tag to Jamie N2.
true. so only celaph could have had it til N3
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6112 Post by ghug » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:54 am

President Eden wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:51 am
ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:25 am
President Eden wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:20 am
I’m about ready to tap out on this lol. Here’s what I’m confident in.


Double Voter Realistic Starting Possibilities:

celaph
snowByz
ghug

If snowByz had it, he lost it N2.
If celaph or ghug had it, they lost it N3.


No Voter Realistic Starting Possibilities:

worcej

worcej lost it N2 or N3.
N2: Jamie, Rumi, Eden, Bona, celaph, Brian, Chaqa
N3: Bona, Rumi, celaph, Eden, bo


I make several assumptions to get this far, all of which I can explain if needed. But I can’t get any further, because there are enough ways for the bus driver to accomplish both required moves.
Hold up, I lost my starting tag to Jamie N2.
true. so only celaph could have had it til N3
I thought folks were saying I could have gotten it from Jamie.

If I was the original holder, the double vote went to Jamie, and then to his killer
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6113 Post by Chaqa » Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:58 am

This also means mafia wasn't using Hamilton for kills last night, which might be relevant

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6114 Post by Bonatogether » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:17 am

i made a post that solves the game but im submitting it to GT first so that it can be proofread by my elite team of townies waiting in the wings
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6115 Post by ghug » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:50 am

I'm kinda wondering if we should mass peek/claim at EoN while we have me+two PRs to catch people in inconsistencies.
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6116 Post by worcej » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:55 am

ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:04 am
worcej wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:00 am
ghug wrote:
Thu Aug 25, 2022 11:56 pm


What about worcej -> (Chaqa, Bona, Eden and Rumi) -> celaph Driver -> worcej?

There's also a doctor but let's not get into that.
Possible, but why did the scum want to take my 0 and potentially give me the +2?
To make you look bad? Because they knew celaph didn't have the 2? Hard to say, but ruling it out entirely seems unwise.
It isn’t totally ruled out in my eyes, it keeps the same group-ish of suspicion. I am trying to analyze the likelihood of each candidate to start to mechanically narrow potential BDs
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6117 Post by worcej » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:58 am

President Eden wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:20 am
I’m about ready to tap out on this lol. Here’s what I’m confident in.


Double Voter Realistic Starting Possibilities:

celaph
snowByz
ghug

If snowByz had it, he lost it N2.
If celaph or ghug had it, they lost it N3.


No Voter Realistic Starting Possibilities:

worcej

worcej lost it N2 or N3.
N2: Jamie, Rumi, Eden, Bona, celaph, Brian, Chaqa
N3: Bona, Rumi, celaph, Eden, bo


I make several assumptions to get this far, all of which I can explain if needed. But I can’t get any further, because there are enough ways for the bus driver to accomplish both required moves.
I know you don’t believe me, but snowbyz unlikely had the vote to start the game because why would scum move it off themselves?
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6118 Post by Chaqa » Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:58 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 1:17 am
i made a post that solves the game but im submitting it to GT first so that it can be proofread by my elite team of townies waiting in the wings
Bet

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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6119 Post by worcej » Fri Aug 26, 2022 2:00 am

ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:54 am
President Eden wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:51 am
ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:25 am


Hold up, I lost my starting tag to Jamie N2.
true. so only celaph could have had it til N3
I thought folks were saying I could have gotten it from Jamie.

If I was the original holder, the double vote went to Jamie, and then to his killer
I forgot this interaction. You must have never had it D1. Celaph or Vecna had it.
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Re: MAFIA 75: TROUBLE AT THE PRECINCT [HIDDEN]

#6120 Post by worcej » Fri Aug 26, 2022 2:00 am

worcej wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 2:00 am
ghug wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:54 am
President Eden wrote:
Fri Aug 26, 2022 12:51 am

true. so only celaph could have had it til N3
I thought folks were saying I could have gotten it from Jamie.

If I was the original holder, the double vote went to Jamie, and then to his killer
I forgot this interaction. You must have never had it D1. Celaph or Vecna had it.
You were scanned N2 and jamie didnt report a BD interaction
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