M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

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ghug
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2641 Post by ghug » Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:56 am

DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:35 am
ghug - can you walk me through how your read on snowy shifted yesterday? You start the day vaguely wanting to townread him, then go ->null->voting him - were there specific inflection points you can point out?
I was expecting him to suck less day two, cause that was the whole premise of his plan, and he didn't do that. All the apologizing for not being around, the finishing the day basically only scumreading one person (who I knew to be town), and the insulting everyone's intelligence when he wasn't giving anyone reason to townread him factored in.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2642 Post by DeathLlama8 » Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:56 am

Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sun Nov 21, 2021 10:49 pm
So the problem here is that the only people not currently on Bozo or Snowy are, um, Bozo and Snowy... and Darg, the latter of whom appears not to be here.
hm this feels proactively worried about a tie which seems town-indicative
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ghug
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2643 Post by ghug » Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:57 am

Squigs44 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:37 am
ghug wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:17 am
Squigs44 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 3:47 am


This might be the most I've disagreed with you this game. :o

I still think putting Sabi as locktown is a bad idea, especially if you're talking about potential Bozo connections. I'm not voting Sabi today, but leaving them out of a potential scumteam is restrictive imo.

I dont really get why you're excluding damo as a Bozo scum partner. To me, damo is one of the more likely Bozo partners. Really the only person damo couldn't be scum with is probably Sabi. No matter what angle I look at, damo seems to end up in my PoE, but never as a strong scumread.

Jamie looks more townie to me in the last day than at any other point in this game. I do think Jamie is a very capable busser as scum, but in this instance I don't think Jamie is scum based off of other posts.
Re Sabi: you haven't played with them yet. I have a very hard time believing that this game would be inside their scum range, and if they're teammates with bozo specifically, there's no fucking way there aren't two others. We should not be wasting our time on Sabi today.

Damo's D2 came off very townie to me (he's not good at faking the thing where he spams barely comprehensible thoughts on a bunch of pairs, and there were a few moments like the one where he said he had an idea and then determined it was a non-starter that I liked), and I think the bozo connection is especially unlikely. I'm not eliminating him totally in a bozo-as-town world, but I definitely don't think he's bozo's teammate.

What's making you lean towards town on Jamie?
According to Sabi:
BesharamSabi wrote:
Wed Nov 17, 2021 5:00 am
This is my third ever forum mafia game that isn't the board/card game version and I have been town so far, no idea tbh.
So I'm not sure how you've built up a meta to know this isn't scum Sabi. But I agree that Sabi should not be the focus today.

I think it would be easy for scum damo to replicate his scumpairings analysis thing and non-starters, so I'm gonna have to disagree with you there.

My townread on Jamie comes mostly from vibes in his more recent posts.
You get a pretty good idea of a person as a person from seeing them play as town. I don't think Sabi would be very good at mafia.

I can accept you'd think the latter two things, but I disagree with both.
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ghug
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2644 Post by ghug » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:01 am

DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:50 am
DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:35 am
ghug - can you walk me through how your read on snowy shifted yesterday? You start the day vaguely wanting to townread him, then go ->null->voting him - were there specific inflection points you can point out?
also do you think you were playing differently last game compared to this game because you were a PR?
I'm sure in some ways, but not in particularly obvious ways. Any differences this game are more likely a function of the divergent path this game is taking and RL factors.

What do you think of me this game compared to last game?
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2645 Post by DeathLlama8 » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:04 am

ghug wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:01 am
DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:50 am
DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:35 am
ghug - can you walk me through how your read on snowy shifted yesterday? You start the day vaguely wanting to townread him, then go ->null->voting him - were there specific inflection points you can point out?
also do you think you were playing differently last game compared to this game because you were a PR?
I'm sure in some ways, but not in particularly obvious ways. Any differences this game are more likely a function of the divergent path this game is taking and RL factors.

What do you think of me this game compared to last game?
On reread, you felt less directly engaged d1 compared to d1 last game when you were at least encouraging people onto jamiet/kakarroto. I think it's been picking up though
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2646 Post by bozotheclown » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:42 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:24 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 3:57 am
Bonatogether wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 3:32 am


that's not what i asked

are you capable of acting in a manner that can be interpreted in a good-faith way as scum, despite being town?
Apparently so.
so we agree people who scumread you are not inherently scum

are all people who are scum inherently scumreading you?
Not in general, pocketing is common, but a lot of players seemed to be scum reading me D2.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2647 Post by bozotheclown » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:43 am

DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:56 am
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sun Nov 21, 2021 10:49 pm
So the problem here is that the only people not currently on Bozo or Snowy are, um, Bozo and Snowy... and Darg, the latter of whom appears not to be here.
hm this feels proactively worried about a tie which seems town-indicative
I can guarantee you that the mafia did not want a tie D2.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2648 Post by ghug » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:45 am

Does anyone remember a post from D2 where somebody asked why snowy had chosen to reveal what he'd been doing after day 1 rather than let himself be suspected for longer?

I feel like it was early day 2 and directed at me but that might be my ego clouding my memory.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2649 Post by ghug » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:46 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:43 am
DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:56 am
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sun Nov 21, 2021 10:49 pm
So the problem here is that the only people not currently on Bozo or Snowy are, um, Bozo and Snowy... and Darg, the latter of whom appears not to be here.
hm this feels proactively worried about a tie which seems town-indicative
I can guarantee you that the mafia did not want a tie D2.
You don't think a tie is good for the majors when it's town v town?
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2650 Post by bozotheclown » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:47 am

ghug wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:46 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:43 am
DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:56 am


hm this feels proactively worried about a tie which seems town-indicative
I can guarantee you that the mafia did not want a tie D2.
You don't think a tie is good for the majors when it's town v town?
Major what?
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ghug
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2651 Post by ghug » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:50 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:47 am
ghug wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:46 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:43 am


I can guarantee you that the mafia did not want a tie D2.
You don't think a tie is good for the mafia when it's town v town?
Major what?
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2652 Post by DeathLlama8 » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:51 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:43 am
DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:56 am
Jamiet99uk wrote:
Sun Nov 21, 2021 10:49 pm
So the problem here is that the only people not currently on Bozo or Snowy are, um, Bozo and Snowy... and Darg, the latter of whom appears not to be here.
hm this feels proactively worried about a tie which seems town-indicative
I can guarantee you that the mafia did not want a tie D2.
I don't think mafia are as worried about a tie even if it's TvT (obviously, a tie is preferable to scum dying in TvS, and they would be more worried about getting T killed over S)
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2653 Post by DeathLlama8 » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:53 am

ghug wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:45 am
Does anyone remember a post from D2 where somebody asked why snowy had chosen to reveal what he'd been doing after day 1 rather than let himself be suspected for longer?

I feel like it was early day 2 and directed at me but that might be my ego clouding my memory.
darg?
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2654 Post by ghug » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:54 am

DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:51 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:43 am
DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 4:56 am


hm this feels proactively worried about a tie which seems town-indicative
I can guarantee you that the mafia did not want a tie D2.
I don't think mafia are as worried about a tie even if it's TvT (obviously, a tie is preferable to scum dying in TvS, and they would be more worried about getting T killed over S)
I think that tie avoidance is engrained enough in everyone's minds that it's not something we should be townreading people for. I've gotten major towncred as scum for preventing ties at the last second.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2655 Post by ghug » Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:55 am

DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:53 am
ghug wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:45 am
Does anyone remember a post from D2 where somebody asked why snowy had chosen to reveal what he'd been doing after day 1 rather than let himself be suspected for longer?

I feel like it was early day 2 and directed at me but that might be my ego clouding my memory.
darg?
No, not that one.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2656 Post by DeathLlama8 » Tue Nov 23, 2021 6:05 am

ghug wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:54 am
DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:51 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 5:43 am


I can guarantee you that the mafia did not want a tie D2.
I don't think mafia are as worried about a tie even if it's TvT (obviously, a tie is preferable to scum dying in TvS, and they would be more worried about getting T killed over S)
I think that tie avoidance is engrained enough in everyone's minds that it's not something we should be townreading people for. I've gotten major towncred as scum for preventing ties at the last second.
yeah I think it's just the way he was thinking ahead about it. I guess if bozo is scum he would've been doing that either way though
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2657 Post by DeathLlama8 » Tue Nov 23, 2021 6:24 am

saying it early bc we could be at KILO but I'll probably be on a plane at EOD
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2658 Post by ghug » Tue Nov 23, 2021 6:27 am

DeathLlama8 wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 6:24 am
saying it early bc we could be at KILO but I'll probably be on a plane at EOD
No you don't tell us that shit at KILO.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2659 Post by ghug » Tue Nov 23, 2021 8:16 am

I miss Vecna.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#2660 Post by Jamiet99uk » Tue Nov 23, 2021 9:55 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 2:03 am
ghug wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 2:00 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Tue Nov 23, 2021 1:46 am


What other option did I have? At that point you were the best chance of flipping scum, and even if you flipped town, there would be no difference in the town count if snowy or I had been the DK. If I were scum I could have just voted for snowy.
Why were you so confident snowy was town?
snowy would not have deliberately drawn suspicion D1 if he were scum.
"I knew Snowy was town because he was acting scummy"

Ugh I hate that this is right. Snowy, please stop playing like that when you are town.
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