M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1661 Post by ghug » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:00 am

celaph wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:45 pm
ghug wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:05 pm
Celaph, can you elaborate on your EoN reads a little?
Definitely.

ghug's apathy feels really scummy. Be really careful with this one.
I called ghug out in M67 for the way you were so willing to vote Chaqa off without any indication that you thought he was actually scum and purely because of a voiced distaste of his playing style. Feel free to read my original post:
celaph wrote:
Thu May 20, 2021 7:24 am
[Posting calling out scum ghug behavior]
The short version is that ghug's behavior is not only based on his dislike for his other players. In the above post, I highlighted how over a series of 8 games with both Chaqa and ghug, scum ghug always voted for Chaqa D1 while town ghug never voted for Chaqa D1. Another example would be comparing his attitude towards ND (another player ghug dislikes) between M62 and M63. Granted, ND's lack of participation in M63 weakens this comparison some, but town ghug in M62 demonstrated a belief that the person he was voting for was scum. Scum ghug in M63 did not. Now look at this game, ghug demonstrated no belief that he was killing scum. That's scum ghug.

My opinion of Snowy is still trending towards scum.
I spoke about this earlier in the night, but I was unimpressed with how Snowy in such an active EoD did virtually squat in the last 15 minutes. That suggests that he was equally content with either wagon dying which feels scummy.

I will add that I have sense read DL's EoD Notes and liked his comment on how Snowy townread his cws D1. That is a good point which I had not yet considered though I still have Snowy on the scummy end of things.
DeathLlama8 wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 10:02 pm
snowy townreading basically all his competing wagons and pushing for a new one is positive signal (unless it's specifically snowy/bona, which seems less likely given bona's EOD), although I'm not sure he genuinely felt threatened by the daykill which weakens this a little
Don't just kill Bozo because he is inactive.
I spoke about this in a comment on Sabi's post, but I think that there are a lot of scumreads going in Bozo's direction because of his inactivity without making great cases that he has been especially scummy. I'm fine with having him be null/someone who needs to be pressured. But I worry that town will default kill the inactive player because they can't argue for themselves and end up killing one of their own.

Still liking Squigs.
I think that there is certainly an argument that Bo was making that Squig's approach to my wagon was suspicious, but I don't rate the chance highly and either way I don't think that he makes a great kill today. I expressed the things I've liked about his play D1 and I also felt that he was looking good in his argument towards the end of the night with food.

I wouldn't personally push food that much as you plan to kill him as mafia, but then again I'm not good at maf so perhaps someone else should discuss whether Squigs looks good or back post food flip.

Anyone who kills Sabi is stupid.
Sabi is still my strongest townread. My opinion on that matter hasn't really changed much over night though I just wanted to express it again given how surprised I was to see her name being thrown around at EoD1.

DL/Jamie probably town.
This is most naturally split into two parts:

DL I rank as more town than Jamie. I think he has been both expressive of his opinions and has justified them well throughout the game. I feel like on the whole he has had good and unique takes. As I noted above, I hadn't read his eon post when I made mine, but his comments have made me feel even better about my read here.

Nothing about Jamie has felt off so far. I feel like he is unhappy with the game state currently and has been working to change that. I've liked a number of his takes so far (see his comment to Bona on Squigs crosspost, read on Snowy). General vibes feel right atm.
I'm torn on this. I've felt this meta was inaccurate since it first propped up, but there's no reason for you to think that necessarily, so my first instinct was to like the thought, but it also occurs to me that a piece of meta you've pointed out in the past is easy to fall back on, and my day as a whole doesn't really paint a picture of apathy, which I'd expect you to be looking into further if you were going to make this argument.

As for the meta itself, I think the ND game is actually a point against it, and that was the game when I started being conscious about voting out bad players early rather than anyone I wanted. You can also look at M1019 (lfischl), M70 kind of (I pushed Chaqa as an actual scumread but ended on worcej), M1018 (worcej), just for a few more examples. The games where I do develop scumreads day 1 and get them killed don't tend to work out well, which is why I didn't push you yesterday, for example. I also hold stronger antipathy towards bo than most people, because he's the worst.

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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1662 Post by Squigs44 » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:01 am

@ghug (or whoever else) - would a scum Bona kill foodcoats after foodcoats was sheeping and protecting Bona so blindly?

I try not to guess at night kill intentions, but Bona and food were passionately defending one another so its hard to ignore
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1663 Post by ghug » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:01 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:46 pm
snowy801 wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:38 pm
Who else did foodcoats scum read, bozo? Who would've been the attempt to town lock, if that's what happened?
foodcoats scum read me and Squigs and apparently town read those not in "celaph/ghug/snowy/Jamie/DeathLlama".
He townread me too, eventually.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1664 Post by bozotheclown » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:02 am

I was wrong about foodcoats, and I thought foodcoats might have voted for me near EOD to try to pull Jamie's vote off of snowy, so my suspicion of snowy is reduced. I do not see anything that would preclude a damo/ghug/Squigs scum team, though.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1665 Post by ghug » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:03 am

Squigs44 wrote:
Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:01 am
@ghug (or whoever else) - would a scum Bona kill foodcoats after foodcoats was sheeping and protecting Bona so blindly?

I try not to guess at night kill intentions, but Bona and food were passionately defending one another so its hard to ignore
Bona's not shy about doing crazy shit, and it's perhaps not even crazy depending on who the teammates are and the actual justification.

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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1666 Post by bozotheclown » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:04 am

ghug wrote:
Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:01 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:46 pm
snowy801 wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:38 pm
Who else did foodcoats scum read, bozo? Who would've been the attempt to town lock, if that's what happened?
foodcoats scum read me and Squigs and apparently town read those not in "celaph/ghug/snowy/Jamie/DeathLlama".
He townread me too, eventually.
Maybe he was wrong about both of us.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1667 Post by bozotheclown » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:11 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:39 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:36 pm
Bonatogether wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:29 pm

when was the last time people killed someone on d2 on the suspicions of the n1 kill?
That is a good question, I will look into that. In this game, there were no mafia concerns with PR hunting or trying to avoid a doc save. foodcoats is a good town player, but why not take out someone who at least suspected one of the mafia? I suppose foodcoats could have been town reading all of the scum team and they wanted to lock in his reads, but it seems more likely they would pick someone they suspected might cause them problems D2.
Armchair mafia theory means shit. Killing to get sus thrown on their reads hasn't happened with this group before, so it's not likely as an explanation now. No one has learned anything.

The last sentence is kind of the same idea, but I'm more somewhat more partial towards it. However, aren't scum more likely to flip longer-term threats (kgray, for example) than food? Food's good but it's a weird kill
I think foodcoats is one of the bigger long term threats to mafia, so that is possible.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1668 Post by bozotheclown » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:17 am

ghug wrote:
Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:01 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:46 pm
snowy801 wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:38 pm
Who else did foodcoats scum read, bozo? Who would've been the attempt to town lock, if that's what happened?
foodcoats scum read me and Squigs and apparently town read those not in "celaph/ghug/snowy/Jamie/DeathLlama".
He townread me too, eventually.
Looking at it again, foodcoats said he was town leaning you at the time of his long post, so I do not know why he list you second on his choices for the third scum.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1669 Post by BesharamSabi » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:17 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:22 pm
##VOTE Squigs

Although foodcoats was wrong about me, I suspect the mafia had a specific reason to want foodcoats eliminated.
Interesting conclusion you got there.

What posts from foodcoats that pinged you towards Squigs and not anyone else he scum read?

Do you think mafia killed him because he scumread one of them or because they think he's valuable to town?

I'm glad you are active again. Happy to see you engaging and what not.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1670 Post by bozotheclown » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:23 am

BesharamSabi wrote:
Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:17 am
bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:22 pm
##VOTE Squigs

Although foodcoats was wrong about me, I suspect the mafia had a specific reason to want foodcoats eliminated.
Interesting conclusion you got there.

What posts from foodcoats that pinged you towards Squigs and not anyone else he scum read?

Do you think mafia killed him because he scumread one of them or because they think he's valuable to town?

I'm glad you are active again. Happy to see you engaging and what not.
foodcoats only scum read me and Squigs, and I know I am town.

foodcoats is valuable to town, but getting rid of a player who might cause them problems D2 could have been the deciding factor in choosing foodcoats.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1671 Post by bozotheclown » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:24 am

Squigs44 wrote:
Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:01 am
@ghug (or whoever else) - would a scum Bona kill foodcoats after foodcoats was sheeping and protecting Bona so blindly?

I try not to guess at night kill intentions, but Bona and food were passionately defending one another so its hard to ignore
Potential pocketing warning.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1672 Post by snowy801 » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:38 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:24 am
Squigs44 wrote:
Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:01 am
@ghug (or whoever else) - would a scum Bona kill foodcoats after foodcoats was sheeping and protecting Bona so blindly?

I try not to guess at night kill intentions, but Bona and food were passionately defending one another so its hard to ignore
Potential pocketing warning.
Can you elaborate?

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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1673 Post by snowy801 » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:49 am

Alright lads I got 40 minutes AMA

Otherwise I'll work on my long awaited backlog probably

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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1674 Post by snowy801 » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:51 am

Hi Squigs

What's your overall mood and feeling regarding the nature of EoD1 (in the spectrum of happy/unhappy)?

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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1675 Post by Squigs44 » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:55 am

snowy801 wrote:
Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:51 am
Hi Squigs

What's your overall mood and feeling regarding the nature of EoD1 (in the spectrum of happy/unhappy)?
Mostly unhappy, but certainly not the worst EoD1 I've had. We at least had close wagons that could yield info after some flips.
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1676 Post by Bonatogether » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:55 am

ghug wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:40 pm
Bonatogether wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:39 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:36 pm


That is a good question, I will look into that. In this game, there were no mafia concerns with PR hunting or trying to avoid a doc save. foodcoats is a good town player, but why not take out someone who at least suspected one of the mafia? I suppose foodcoats could have been town reading all of the scum team and they wanted to lock in his reads, but it seems more likely they would pick someone they suspected might cause them problems D2.
Armchair mafia theory means shit. Killing to get sus thrown on their reads hasn't happened with this group before, so it's not likely as an explanation now. No one has learned anything.

The last sentence is kind of the same idea, but I'm more somewhat more partial towards it. However, aren't scum more likely to flip longer-term threats (kgray, for example) than food? Food's good but it's a weird kill
Why is kgray your example?
everyone in this game is ruthlessly incompetent

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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1677 Post by Squigs44 » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:55 am

Snowy I'm still not sure what your goal was day 1. Could you elaborate?
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1678 Post by Bonatogether » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:57 am

bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:48 pm
ghug wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:42 pm
Also I'm confused. bozo's arguing that food was killed by someone he scumread. Bona's arguing that we don't daykill people because the nightkill suspected them. Those aren't in opposition with each other.
I don't know that Bonatogether is arguing not to DK a player suspected by the NK, I thought he was pointing out that it does not typically happen.
this is the point i was trying to make

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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1679 Post by Squigs44 » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:57 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:55 am
ghug wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:40 pm
Bonatogether wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:39 pm

Armchair mafia theory means shit. Killing to get sus thrown on their reads hasn't happened with this group before, so it's not likely as an explanation now. No one has learned anything.

The last sentence is kind of the same idea, but I'm more somewhat more partial towards it. However, aren't scum more likely to flip longer-term threats (kgray, for example) than food? Food's good but it's a weird kill
Why is kgray your example?
everyone in this game is ruthlessly incompetent
Even as someone who "always reads like a conceited ass" I know this is rude
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Re: M1020 — Speed Run Mafia GAME THREAD [HIDDEN]

#1680 Post by ghug » Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:58 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Sat Nov 20, 2021 12:55 am
ghug wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:40 pm
Bonatogether wrote:
Fri Nov 19, 2021 11:39 pm

Armchair mafia theory means shit. Killing to get sus thrown on their reads hasn't happened with this group before, so it's not likely as an explanation now. No one has learned anything.

The last sentence is kind of the same idea, but I'm more somewhat more partial towards it. However, aren't scum more likely to flip longer-term threats (kgray, for example) than food? Food's good but it's a weird kill
Why is kgray your example?
everyone in this game is ruthlessly incompetent
You sure you didn't just forget she wasn't playing?
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