Election Night Thread

Any political discussion should go here. This subforum will be moderated differently than other forums.
Forum rules
1.) No personal threats.
2.) No doxxing/revealing personal information.
3.) No spam.
4.) No circumventing press restrictions.
5.) No racism, sexism, homophobia, or derogatory posts.
Message
Author
New England Fire Squad
Gold Donator
Gold Donator
Posts: 338
Joined: Thu Feb 08, 2018 3:54 am
Location: Connecticut
Karma: 252

Election Night Thread

#1 Post by New England Fire Squad » Tue Nov 03, 2020 12:17 pm

Just voted. Longest line by far that I have ever seen in my life. How about the rest of you?
1

Matticus13
Posts: 408
Joined: Wed Mar 20, 2019 2:21 am
Karma: 401

Re: Election Night Thread

#2 Post by Matticus13 » Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:38 pm

I voted a couple weeks ago and the line was non-existent (but I live in a small KS city of 15k). The US is on track to smash 2016's turn out.

Everybody go vote!

orathaic
Bronze Donator
Bronze Donator
Posts: 1037
Joined: Fri Sep 29, 2017 3:20 pm
Karma: 285

Re: Election Night Thread

#3 Post by orathaic » Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:16 am

Turnout in the last few decades has be abysmal, having looked it up a few days ago, I think it was 1968 since they managed to get over 60% of the electorate.

And that is for presidential elections.

I am interested to see if (with all the mail-in ballots, and early voting) they actually manage to break 60% during a pandemic...

Matticus13
Posts: 408
Joined: Wed Mar 20, 2019 2:21 am
Karma: 401

Re: Election Night Thread

#4 Post by Matticus13 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 1:29 am

Looks like Trump is going to carry Florida. Nate Silver says that ups Trump's chances of reelection from 1 in 10 to approx 1 in 3.

New England Fire Squad
Gold Donator
Gold Donator
Posts: 338
Joined: Thu Feb 08, 2018 3:54 am
Location: Connecticut
Karma: 252

Re: Election Night Thread

#5 Post by New England Fire Squad » Wed Nov 04, 2020 2:01 am

This doesn't look like Biden +10 like the polls said. This is close.

President Eden
Posts: 1664
Joined: Fri Oct 20, 2017 2:11 pm
Karma: 1549

Re: Election Night Thread

#6 Post by President Eden » Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:54 am

California will swing the popular vote back to Biden. It clearly won't be +10 at this point

New England Fire Squad
Gold Donator
Gold Donator
Posts: 338
Joined: Thu Feb 08, 2018 3:54 am
Location: Connecticut
Karma: 252

Re: Election Night Thread

#7 Post by New England Fire Squad » Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:57 am

President Eden wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:54 am
California will swing the popular vote back to Biden. It clearly won't be +10 at this point
Oh, definitely. It's just there's no way Biden is up by as much as the polls said if Trump is currently +7 in Ohio. Trump has a shot.

President Eden
Posts: 1664
Joined: Fri Oct 20, 2017 2:11 pm
Karma: 1549

Re: Election Night Thread

#8 Post by President Eden » Wed Nov 04, 2020 4:14 am

New England Fire Squad wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:57 am
President Eden wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:54 am
California will swing the popular vote back to Biden. It clearly won't be +10 at this point
Oh, definitely. It's just there's no way Biden is up by as much as the polls said if Trump is currently +7 in Ohio. Trump has a shot.
Polls are paid to create opinion, not reflect it
3

Matticus13
Posts: 408
Joined: Wed Mar 20, 2019 2:21 am
Karma: 401

Re: Election Night Thread

#9 Post by Matticus13 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 4:33 am

Certainly will be a nail biter. Comes down to AZ and Rust Belt. MI isn't looking great for Biden

jmo1121109
Developer
Developer
Posts: 1070
Joined: Fri Sep 29, 2017 4:20 pm
Karma: 2839
Contact:

Re: Election Night Thread

#10 Post by jmo1121109 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:08 am

Michigan has 3.6 million mail in ballots, which won't be counted entirely till November 6th. It's going to be insanely close, and those 300,000 ballots the postal service refused to send before 8pm despite a court order might be the deciding factor.

Penn is going Biden given it's 2.2 million absentee at a 3 to 1 Biden ratio.

This is going to be close. Welcome to Civil War 2.0.
1

RoganJosh
Silver Donator
Silver Donator
Posts: 538
Joined: Sun Dec 31, 2017 1:02 am
Location: Stockholm
Karma: 443
Contact:

Re: Election Night Thread

#11 Post by RoganJosh » Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:38 am

Looking forward to that electoral college tie..

Or maybe ranked choice voting in Maine will seal the deal.

RoganJosh
Silver Donator
Silver Donator
Posts: 538
Joined: Sun Dec 31, 2017 1:02 am
Location: Stockholm
Karma: 443
Contact:

Re: Election Night Thread

#12 Post by RoganJosh » Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:47 am

jmo1121109 wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:08 am
Michigan has 3.6 million mail in ballots, which won't be counted entirely till November 6th. It's going to be insanely close, and those 300,000 ballots the postal service refused to send before 8pm despite a court order might be the deciding factor.
I think only 6,000 of them where from MI?

flash2015
Gold Donator
Gold Donator
Posts: 2956
Joined: Fri Sep 29, 2017 7:55 pm
Location: Planet Earth
Karma: 1036

Re: Election Night Thread

#13 Post by flash2015 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:52 am

President Eden wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 4:14 am
New England Fire Squad wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:57 am
President Eden wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:54 am
California will swing the popular vote back to Biden. It clearly won't be +10 at this point
Oh, definitely. It's just there's no way Biden is up by as much as the polls said if Trump is currently +7 in Ohio. Trump has a shot.
Polls are paid to create opinion, not reflect it
That is nonsense.
2

flash2015
Gold Donator
Gold Donator
Posts: 2956
Joined: Fri Sep 29, 2017 7:55 pm
Location: Planet Earth
Karma: 1036

Re: Election Night Thread

#14 Post by flash2015 » Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:56 am

Happier than I was earlier in the night...when I thought Biden was gone. Arizona looks like it is a pickup for Biden and Minnesota is also likely (Fox has called both for Biden).

Georgia may also still be in play because little of the Atlanta vote has been counted. The rest (MI, WI and PA) will be waiting on the postal vote.

President Eden
Posts: 1664
Joined: Fri Oct 20, 2017 2:11 pm
Karma: 1549

Re: Election Night Thread

#15 Post by President Eden » Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:58 am

I think Georgia ends up going for Biden late tonight off the back of Atlanta. They still have over half a million ballots left to count in the Atlanta area, and the voting there so far is something like 70/30 Biden (napkin math averages of different county-by-county results). Trump has a sizable lead but Biden is definitely still in range.

I'm standing by all the rest of my picks from the map, but I think I got Georgia wrong, and Georgia is enough to flip the election to Biden. We will see what happens in Pennsylvania over the next few days!
1

TrPrado
Site Moderator
Site Moderator
Posts: 1904
Joined: Fri Sep 29, 2017 3:22 pm
Location: OOOOOOKLAHOMA WHERE THE WIND COMES SWEEPING DOWN THE PLAIN
Karma: 522
Contact:

Re: Election Night Thread

#16 Post by TrPrado » Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:02 am

Jim Inhofe for the thousandth term, wooo boy is that exciting!!

New England Fire Squad
Gold Donator
Gold Donator
Posts: 338
Joined: Thu Feb 08, 2018 3:54 am
Location: Connecticut
Karma: 252

Re: Election Night Thread

#17 Post by New England Fire Squad » Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:54 am

RoganJosh wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:38 am
Looking forward to that electoral college tie..

Or maybe ranked choice voting in Maine will seal the deal.
Ranked choice doesn't apply to potus votes.

New England Fire Squad
Gold Donator
Gold Donator
Posts: 338
Joined: Thu Feb 08, 2018 3:54 am
Location: Connecticut
Karma: 252

Re: Election Night Thread

#18 Post by New England Fire Squad » Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:54 am

President Eden wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:58 am
I think Georgia ends up going for Biden late tonight off the back of Atlanta. They still have over half a million ballots left to count in the Atlanta area, and the voting there so far is something like 70/30 Biden (napkin math averages of different county-by-county results). Trump has a sizable lead but Biden is definitely still in range.

I'm standing by all the rest of my picks from the map, but I think I got Georgia wrong, and Georgia is enough to flip the election to Biden. We will see what happens in Pennsylvania over the next few days!
It's close in Georgia, but it looks to me more like a closer version of Kemp-Abrams. We'll see.

RoganJosh
Silver Donator
Silver Donator
Posts: 538
Joined: Sun Dec 31, 2017 1:02 am
Location: Stockholm
Karma: 443
Contact:

Re: Election Night Thread

#19 Post by RoganJosh » Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:56 am

New England Fire Squad wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:54 am
Ranked choice doesn't apply to potus votes.
It does.

But unclear if it'll matter now...
1

TrPrado
Site Moderator
Site Moderator
Posts: 1904
Joined: Fri Sep 29, 2017 3:22 pm
Location: OOOOOOKLAHOMA WHERE THE WIND COMES SWEEPING DOWN THE PLAIN
Karma: 522
Contact:

Re: Election Night Thread

#20 Post by TrPrado » Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:14 am

It's gonna come down to the absentee votes in Michigan in Pennsylvania

Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests