MAFIA 79: The Price is Right! [GAME THREAD]

[Dousing]

This is basically my pool atm:
Bonatogether
Jamiet99uk
President Eden
rdrivera2005
sweetandcool

Where you think the mafia is?

Within that group. Sorry, to be clear I townread Damo, Bozo, Snowy, and you.

WOOOT

[Dousing]

To be clear I'm still not 100% on Chaqa but I think it was a mistake to put them in 10th place on my list

[President Eden]

Eden look an eggroll from Chili's

gonna need a value add to fall for this one, you got any hoes from south florida to throw in there?

I'll even throw in a $50 PC sheeeeet

lmfao lost

[Chaqa]

The Bannisters send their regards, Eden.

[Dousing]

Then again, I wouldn't townread Bozo at this point tbh...

Their post's on Jamie were really good, I probably should've put them higher on the list too but they still weirdly in the background. They might just be Mafia playing a long game maybe?

[Dousing]

Ok, I'm outta here. I'll almost definitely be back for EoN though.

[President Eden]

i'm not doing full rgb coloring on this one because there's not enough hard info yet to remove anyone from the pool except ourselves

but right now, from least to most suspect:

dousing
bozo
bona
sweetandcool
---
jamie
---
damo/rdr
rdr/damo
---
snowy
chaqa

unsure how to really represent jamie... he's noticeably behind the first four in my mind but also noticeably ahead of the last four.

damo/rdr are nulls to me rn and i'm mostly concerned with figuring out whether either makes sense as a partner to snowy+chaqa

if i'm wrong about one or both of snowy/chaqa then i have no idea what's going on here and i assume the new guys are balling out as scum

[sweetandcool]

I don't want to screw up like last time and say nothing for EoN, since I'm confident I won't be available.

Townie:

Damo (insightful when they post, clearly town)
Bona (self-explanatory)

Neutral-Positive:

Dousing (constantly tunneling, easy to manipulate, yet obviously sincere)
Jamiet (good vibes)
Bozo (insightful, but not enough posts to get a great read)

Neutral/Null:

Rdr

Negative:

President Eden (I just don't trust them, they seem to be pocketing)
Mafia:

Snowy (kind of seems like they got more active because of criticism of coasting, but I could be wrong here).
Chaqa (seems like it must be true)

[President Eden]

I don't want to screw up like last time and say nothing for EoN, since I'm confident I won't be available.

Townie:

Damo (insightful when they post, clearly town)
Bona (self-explanatory)

Neutral-Positive:

Dousing (constantly tunneling, easy to manipulate, yet obviously sincere)
Jamiet (good vibes)
Bozo (insightful, but not enough posts to get a great read)

Neutral/Null:

Rdr

Negative:

President Eden (I just don't trust them, they seem to be pocketing)
Mafia:

Snowy (kind of seems like they got more active because of criticism of coasting, but I could be wrong here).
Chaqa (seems like it must be true)

I'm not asking this to criticize you but to let you develop this a bit further.

How likely do you think it is that the mafia team is exactly snowy, Chaqa, and me?

[sweetandcool]

I don't want to screw up like last time and say nothing for EoN, since I'm confident I won't be available.

Townie:

Damo (insightful when they post, clearly town)
Bona (self-explanatory)

Neutral-Positive:

Dousing (constantly tunneling, easy to manipulate, yet obviously sincere)
Jamiet (good vibes)
Bozo (insightful, but not enough posts to get a great read)

Neutral/Null:

Rdr

Negative:

President Eden (I just don't trust them, they seem to be pocketing)
Mafia:

Snowy (kind of seems like they got more active because of criticism of coasting, but I could be wrong here).
Chaqa (seems like it must be true)

I'm not asking this to criticize you but to let you develop this a bit further.

How likely do you think it is that the mafia team is exactly snowy, Chaqa, and me?

Since I'm not familiar with y'all, it's hard for me to be able to find much reason to believe or disbelieve the possibility of a particular team combo.

I also don't recall any of you bussing each other much. And honestly, even then it doesn't mean much. Dousing and I could be mafia and committed to hard bussing each other

But honestly, I'm most confident about Chaqa. Their voting pattern has been extremely suspicious.

[Bonatogether]

After this night its gonna be
5 town
3 mafia

A little scary because town loses if we vote wrong D3 yeah?

true

[sweetandcool]

I don't want to screw up like last time and say nothing for EoN, since I'm confident I won't be available.

Townie:

Damo (insightful when they post, clearly town)
Bona (self-explanatory)

Neutral-Positive:

Dousing (constantly tunneling, easy to manipulate, yet obviously sincere)
Jamiet (good vibes)
Bozo (insightful, but not enough posts to get a great read)

Neutral/Null:

Rdr

Negative:

President Eden (I just don't trust them, they seem to be pocketing)
Mafia:

Snowy (kind of seems like they got more active because of criticism of coasting, but I could be wrong here).
Chaqa (seems like it must be true)

I'm not asking this to criticize you but to let you develop this a bit further.

How likely do you think it is that the mafia team is exactly snowy, Chaqa, and me?

President Eden, are you a teacher IRL? Just getting that vibe.

[snowy801]

I don't want to screw up like last time and say nothing for EoN, since I'm confident I won't be available.

Townie:

Damo (insightful when they post, clearly town)
Bona (self-explanatory)

Neutral-Positive:

Dousing (constantly tunneling, easy to manipulate, yet obviously sincere)
Jamiet (good vibes)
Bozo (insightful, but not enough posts to get a great read)

Neutral/Null:

Rdr

Negative:

President Eden (I just don't trust them, they seem to be pocketing)
Mafia:

Snowy (kind of seems like they got more active because of criticism of coasting, but I could be wrong here).
Chaqa (seems like it must be true)

I'm not asking this to criticize you but to let you develop this a bit further.

How likely do you think it is that the mafia team is exactly snowy, Chaqa, and me?

President Eden, are you a teacher IRL? Just getting that vibe.

Nothing nearly so noble
He's a lawyer

[sweetandcool]

I'm not asking this to criticize you but to let you develop this a bit further.

How likely do you think it is that the mafia team is exactly snowy, Chaqa, and me?

President Eden, are you a teacher IRL? Just getting that vibe.

Nothing nearly so noble
He's a lawyer

Ah okay, I see where the vibe is coming from. I was getting an "academia" vibe. Lots of school to become a lawyer.

[President Eden]

I don't want to screw up like last time and say nothing for EoN, since I'm confident I won't be available.

Townie:

Damo (insightful when they post, clearly town)
Bona (self-explanatory)

Neutral-Positive:

Dousing (constantly tunneling, easy to manipulate, yet obviously sincere)
Jamiet (good vibes)
Bozo (insightful, but not enough posts to get a great read)

Neutral/Null:

Rdr

Negative:

President Eden (I just don't trust them, they seem to be pocketing)
Mafia:

Snowy (kind of seems like they got more active because of criticism of coasting, but I could be wrong here).
Chaqa (seems like it must be true)

I'm not asking this to criticize you but to let you develop this a bit further.

How likely do you think it is that the mafia team is exactly snowy, Chaqa, and me?

President Eden, are you a teacher IRL? Just getting that vibe.

I wanted to be one once, if that counts! And I expect my midlife crisis pivot to be teaching law instead of practicing it

Since I'm not familiar with y'all, it's hard for me to be able to find much reason to believe or disbelieve the possibility of a particular team combo.

I also don't recall any of you bussing each other much. And honestly, even then it doesn't mean much. Dousing and I could be mafia and committed to hard bussing each other

But honestly, I'm most confident about Chaqa. Their voting pattern has been extremely suspicious.

Sure, you wouldn't know anything about our tendencies as players or as potential teammates. But based on what you've put together about the incentives mafia might have to do certain things - whatever you may have put together so far - does the behavior of snowy, Chaqa, and me toward each other reflect the possibility of us being teammates?

Regarding the underlined - I would say I've pushed Chaqa reasonably strongly, Chaqa has pushed back (though I think less strongly), and snowy has at least tried to keep me as a potential daykill. Do you agree with that assessment, and why or why not?

[President Eden]

President Eden, are you a teacher IRL? Just getting that vibe.

Nothing nearly so noble
He's a lawyer

Ah okay, I see where the vibe is coming from. I was getting an "academia" vibe. Lots of school to become a lawyer.

I'm actually a horrible student compared to my potential
But being out in the real world with actual stakes has been great for me.
I think my not-chatty writing is more formal and obnoxious because I spend five days a week writing briefs behind a screen

[sweetandcool]

I'm not asking this to criticize you but to let you develop this a bit further.

How likely do you think it is that the mafia team is exactly snowy, Chaqa, and me?

President Eden, are you a teacher IRL? Just getting that vibe.

I wanted to be one once, if that counts! And I expect my midlife crisis pivot to be teaching law instead of practicing it

Since I'm not familiar with y'all, it's hard for me to be able to find much reason to believe or disbelieve the possibility of a particular team combo.

I also don't recall any of you bussing each other much. And honestly, even then it doesn't mean much. Dousing and I could be mafia and committed to hard bussing each other

But honestly, I'm most confident about Chaqa. Their voting pattern has been extremely suspicious.

Sure, you wouldn't know anything about our tendencies as players or as potential teammates. But based on what you've put together about the incentives mafia might have to do certain things - whatever you may have put together so far - does the behavior of snowy, Chaqa, and me toward each other reflect the possibility of us being teammates?

Regarding the underlined - I would say I've pushed Chaqa reasonably strongly, Chaqa has pushed back (though I think less strongly), and snowy has at least tried to keep me as a potential daykill. Do you agree with that assessment, and why or why not?

I'm annoyed at the homework, so I'll confess I didn't do the most thorough job.

I agree that you've pushed Chaqa reasonably and Chaqa has kind of pushed back. Snowy might be keeping you as a potential daykill, but honestly I get the impression that their votes for you have been more of a matter of seeing what happens rather than being all that serious.

I also don't find this a convincing reason to say you all can't be teammates (although I really think 2 out of the 3 of you is the reasonable possibility). None of you have really ever been in danger, and I think that's thanks to the obvious focus on Fox and Koala in day 1 and 2.

I think (and could be wrong), that good mafia play is to act 'normal' and attempt to try to make sure that town is divided or at least fighting each other. If Mafia busses Mafia that just adds to the chaos, and isn't that dangerous when it's taking a sideline to a Town v Town fight (Fox/sweetandcool , Koala/sweetandcool, etc.).

[damo666]

After this night its gonna be
5 town
3 mafia

A little scary because town loses if we vote wrong D3 yeah?

true

Not true. And stop giving away free info.

[damo666]

Well at least Jamie and Chaqa come out with some credit.

I just don't get Koala.

Why? I'm only looking at the final count, but considering the landslide it seems likely that at least one mafia would have been clever enough to vote away from Koala.

I will look closer at the lead up to EoD to get a better understanding of what happened, but that's my preliminary conclusion.

You may have a point.

I've thought about this some more. If Eden is scum I very much doubt Chaqa or Jamie is.

Current thinking Eden plus 2 from {sweet, Bona, X} where X is one of {Dousing, bozo, rdr, snowy}

OR

3 from {sweet, Bona, Y} where Y is X plus Jamie and Chaqa.

I think tomorrow should be between Eden Bona and sweet assuming they all survive the night (I expect the NK to be me, rdr, bozo or possibly Dousing).

[damo666]

Could be 2 Ys in second set.