Mafia XXXV - The WebDip Class Reunion

[Pouncy Silverkitten]

I haven't received a response from DemonRHK about my nametag yet. But when I subbed in he did say I had and lost a gun some I'm probably the GUAK

[thamrick]

Darg too

[bozotheclown]

Everyone here (excludes bo_sox) except Pouncy has claimed to have checked their nametag, and we know Pouncy was GUAK on D1:

1. xorxes claims KRELLIN, checked D3.
2. Foxcastle revealed as WJESSOP beginning of D4 (previously claimed DD, checked D1).
3. bozo claims FLUMINATOR, checked D1.
4. rdrivera claims PETERLUND, checked D4.
5. dargorygel claims CAPTAINMEME, checked D4.
6. Ezio claims PETERLUND, checked D4.
7. thamrick claims TEACON7, checked D4.

[bozotheclown]

dargorygel claimed a known nametag with two player left to claim, so he is likely town.

BO_SOX was not revealed, and no one claimed DD (obviously) or EZIO. It is possible bo_sox is one of these three, but we know at least 2 scum made up there nametag, and probsbly all three, since one of the scum or bo_sox (or bo_sox as scum) must be BO_SOX.

[bozotheclown]

xorxes would have been taking a chance claiming a fake nametag early, but considering the pressure he was under, it would have been worth the risk if he is scum.

[bozotheclown]

We know rdrivera or Ezio is scum, but it is possible they both are scum claiming the same nametag, trying to clear the one that does not get lynched first.

[thamrick]

dargorygel claimed a known nametag with two player left to claim, so he is likely town.

BO_SOX was not revealed, and no one claimed DD (obviously) or EZIO. It is possible bo_sox is one of these three, but we know at least 2 scum made up there nametag, and probsbly all three, since one of the scum or bo_sox (or bo_sox as scum) must be BO_SOX.

Vashta was EZIO

[thamrick]

We know rdrivera or Ezio is scum, but it is possible they both are scum claiming the same nametag, trying to clear the one that does not get lynched first.

That would be crazy and I'd give them serious props.

[bozotheclown]

Sorry, I forgot about Vashta turning out to be EZIO. It is still unlikely the scum risked getting their real nametags considering BO_SOX is not accounted for.

[dargorygel]

I left my fancy chart about 'self' postings at the office. I will retrieve and and post tomorrow. It is not all THAT indicative, but it does add some nuance.
For instance, bo is the MOST self-posting...

This double claim is worth looking at.

It is possible that they both claimed the same. At this point, with scum ahead in the count, they might risk it for an implied clear.

[thamrick]

@Darg - if you were scum, at what point would you peek?

[dargorygel]

... and bozo gets town points for noting it first.

[bozotheclown]

The mafia could not have expected to end up with the DD tag, so by kidnapping a town, they would have expected to have 3 of 7 votes that count today. That would give them a lot of power to direct today's lynch away from scum, with only one mislynch needed to win. For this reason, I think they were more likely to kidnap a town member. It does not really matter today since bo_sox is not here, but I think we need to assume that there are three scum votes today. Also, only the mafia know which of their votes does not count.

[dargorygel]

@tham... I would have peeked earlier if town, and later if scum. As I was reading the game as it played out, I was muttering that town should peek soon. More information usually benefits town.
The BOSOX tag would give scum reason to peek later, preferably AFTER that tag has been found.

I liked, therefore, the one (I don't recall as I write) who claimed to look D1. That is what I would have done.

If scum, I still would have not peeked.

How about you?

[dargorygel]

Would this waste a day?
What if we all spread our votes out... won't the actual vote count then show us (perhaps) who the DD presently is?
At best, we can work it as a no lynch... make sure it ties... No, I have NOT become Ezio. But in this case an effective no lynch might be ok.

[dargorygel]

In and out today, btw... I will try to follow up on this issue.
Is this a stupid idea?

Tomorrow is my busy day, always. But I will attempt to be on, especially at EoD.

[bozotheclown]

I think we could afford a no lynch, but with the scum knowing which vote does not count, they could be setting up a town lynch when we think it is tied.

[dargorygel]

If we all voted for the next person on the list... there would be no tie to ruin.
and anyone who doubled up would reveal themselves as scum.

[bozotheclown]

I think we should lynch rdrivera or Ezio today and everyone should state which one, if either, they believe and why. I think either rdrivera is scum and Ezio is town or they are both scum, so I am voting for rdrivera. My reasons are that I have found rdrivera suspicious all game, and I think it less likely than the two alternatives that a scum Ezio would claim a nametag that a town had already claimed.

[bozotheclown]

@dargorygel: I am not sure I follow your suggestion, but the vote count is not corrected for DD until after EOD, so if we mislynch today, it will be too late for identifying DD to help.