MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

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Bonatogether
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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5921 Post by Bonatogether » Sun May 02, 2021 11:48 pm

Macca573 wrote:
Sun May 02, 2021 11:43 pm
Bonatogether wrote:
Sun May 02, 2021 4:09 pm
I was trying to be coy about it >:(

Being blatant means scum wouldn't have believed me.
But you were so coy, that scum probably missed it.
Then scum evidently haven't been reading the thread, since multiple people asked if I was softing cop (and I selectively did not respond to those messages, or edited out the parts that were asking about that)

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5922 Post by TheMadMonarch » Mon May 03, 2021 12:07 am

@bona
Bonatogether wrote:
Thu Apr 29, 2021 8:34 pm
dargorygel wrote:
Thu Apr 29, 2021 8:31 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Thu Apr 29, 2021 8:28 pm
I'm thinking back to Day 1, and RHK voting for Kak over Hamilton combined with Hamilton's weird hedging is reasonably solid evidence...

Macca *has* been a bit better today.

@Darg - what do you think? Macca, Maniac, Hamilton?
I am voting for Ham.

I distrust Macca and Maniac.

Bona, despite your argument, continues to seem scum to me. Probably some annoyance OMGUS. But I'm looking for a fake claim for him, set up by the suggestion in here that he is still doubting because he is going to claim cop.

My order of preference today is Ham, maniac, macca.
I don't plan on claiming cop


??

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5923 Post by Bonatogether » Mon May 03, 2021 12:17 am

Macca573 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 12:07 am
@bona
Bonatogether wrote:
Thu Apr 29, 2021 8:34 pm
dargorygel wrote:
Thu Apr 29, 2021 8:31 pm


I am voting for Ham.

I distrust Macca and Maniac.

Bona, despite your argument, continues to seem scum to me. Probably some annoyance OMGUS. But I'm looking for a fake claim for him, set up by the suggestion in here that he is still doubting because he is going to claim cop.

My order of preference today is Ham, maniac, macca.
I don't plan on claiming cop


??
It's subtle dammit. I'm leaving open the possibility that I actually am cop.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5924 Post by TheMadMonarch » Mon May 03, 2021 12:19 am

Also Bona,

The bigger problem for me is that I trusted you because of what I perceived to be our mutual distrust of darg. Without that, I go back to the way I was reading you before, which wasn't great, plus all the things food has dredged up.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5925 Post by Bonatogether » Mon May 03, 2021 1:02 am

Macca573 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 12:19 am
Also Bona,

The bigger problem for me is that I trusted you because of what I perceived to be our mutual distrust of darg. Without that, I go back to the way I was reading you before, which wasn't great, plus all the things food has dredged up.
Why would you townread me off of a shared read in the first place? That seems like a crappy reason.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5926 Post by TheMadMonarch » Mon May 03, 2021 2:26 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 1:02 am
Macca573 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 12:19 am
Also Bona,

The bigger problem for me is that I trusted you because of what I perceived to be our mutual distrust of darg. Without that, I go back to the way I was reading you before, which wasn't great, plus all the things food has dredged up.
Why would you townread me off of a shared read in the first place? That seems like a crappy reason.
As I said to food. You were going quite strongly against the grain, which seemed very townie to me.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5927 Post by Bonatogether » Mon May 03, 2021 2:30 am

Macca573 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 2:26 am
Bonatogether wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 1:02 am
Macca573 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 12:19 am
Also Bona,

The bigger problem for me is that I trusted you because of what I perceived to be our mutual distrust of darg. Without that, I go back to the way I was reading you before, which wasn't great, plus all the things food has dredged up.
Why would you townread me off of a shared read in the first place? That seems like a crappy reason.
As I said to food. You were going quite strongly against the grain, which seemed very townie to me.
I must have missed it when you said that. That's not alignment-indicative for me.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5928 Post by dargorygel » Mon May 03, 2021 2:32 am

Bonatogether wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 2:30 am
Macca573 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 2:26 am
Bonatogether wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 1:02 am


Why would you townread me off of a shared read in the first place? That seems like a crappy reason.
As I said to food. You were going quite strongly against the grain, which seemed very townie to me.
I must have missed it when you said that. That's not alignment-indicative for me.
What is alignment indicative for you? What are your tells that you try to avoid?

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5929 Post by Bonatogether » Mon May 03, 2021 3:16 am

dargorygel wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 2:32 am
Bonatogether wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 2:30 am
Macca573 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 2:26 am


As I said to food. You were going quite strongly against the grain, which seemed very townie to me.
I must have missed it when you said that. That's not alignment-indicative for me.
What is alignment indicative for you? What are your tells that you try to avoid?
I suppose you should take this with a grain of salt, but here's the most obvious thing, to me:
m62, posts/days alive: 28.42 (vt, outlier due to being shy in my first game)
m63: posts/days alive: 58.8 (vt)
m64: posts/days alive: 126.17 (scum)
m1016: posts/days alive: 25.5 (vt)
m65: posts/days alive: 97 (pr)
m66: posts/days alive: 77.2 ( 8-) )

As vanilla town I generally post in the 50-80 messages/day range, as town PR I post in the 80-100(?) posts/day range, and as scum I generally post anywhere above that.

I will concede that this is a small sample size for scum and town PR, but the vt evidence is very indicative, imo.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5930 Post by damo666 » Mon May 03, 2021 9:32 am

damo666 wrote:
Sun May 02, 2021 10:53 pm
celaph wrote:
Sun May 02, 2021 10:41 pm
rdrivera2005 wrote:
Sun May 02, 2021 9:29 pm


Jamie is likely town for the way he handled HB try, plus he has less chance to be scum, so he shouldn't be in this pool.
I agree with rdr on this point and I think he looks good for trying to narrow a pool that he's also in.
So did I
Assuming rdr is town this makes my assumed town group [ darg Jamie rdr celaph kgray] . I'm tending to believe Bona as well.

This leaves me with Food Chaqa Yav Macca as the scumteam.

Opinions sort from my town group on which of these you consider town and who you would replace with.

Actually everybody provide there best guess scumteam. This might prove illuminating.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5931 Post by rdrivera2005 » Mon May 03, 2021 9:38 am

damo666 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 9:32 am
damo666 wrote:
Sun May 02, 2021 10:53 pm
celaph wrote:
Sun May 02, 2021 10:41 pm

I agree with rdr on this point and I think he looks good for trying to narrow a pool that he's also in.
So did I
Assuming rdr is town this makes my assumed town group [ darg Jamie rdr celaph kgray] . I'm tending to believe Bona as well.

This leaves me with Food Chaqa Yav Macca as the scumteam.

Opinions sort from my town group on which of these you consider town and who you would replace with.

Actually everybody provide there best guess scumteam. This might prove illuminating.
I don't think we should do this at night. Scum already have the upper hand and giving them info on who to push for a misskill isn't great.
They need only two town to vote wrong to win.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5932 Post by damo666 » Mon May 03, 2021 9:46 am

rdrivera2005 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 9:38 am
damo666 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 9:32 am
damo666 wrote:
Sun May 02, 2021 10:53 pm


So did I
Assuming rdr is town this makes my assumed town group [ darg Jamie rdr celaph kgray] . I'm tending to believe Bona as well.

This leaves me with Food Chaqa Yav Macca as the scumteam.

Opinions sort from my town group on which of these you consider town and who you would replace with.

Actually everybody provide there best guess scumteam. This might prove illuminating.
I don't think we should do this at night. Scum already have the upper hand and giving them info on who to push for a misskill isn't great.
They need only two town to vote wrong to win.
I take your point but we will have input from the NK.

I think at least J and darg should have a shout.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5933 Post by damo666 » Mon May 03, 2021 9:52 am

Roughly speaking I think town have about a 1/16 chance of winning this.

I would make he market

Mafia 1-20
Town 12-1


It would be a great performance from Town to grab victory from the jaws of defeat.
Let's keep trying.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5934 Post by Jamiet99uk » Mon May 03, 2021 11:54 am

I might die soon so I'll post my final thoughts before EoN.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5935 Post by foodcoats » Mon May 03, 2021 12:02 pm

damo666 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 9:32 am
damo666 wrote:
Sun May 02, 2021 10:53 pm
celaph wrote:
Sun May 02, 2021 10:41 pm

I agree with rdr on this point and I think he looks good for trying to narrow a pool that he's also in.
So did I
Assuming rdr is town this makes my assumed town group [ darg Jamie rdr celaph kgray] . I'm tending to believe Bona as well.

This leaves me with Food Chaqa Yav Macca as the scumteam.

Opinions sort from my town group on which of these you consider town and who you would replace with.

Actually everybody provide there best guess scumteam. This might prove illuminating.
Why are you excluding kgray from possible scum teams?

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5936 Post by foodcoats » Mon May 03, 2021 12:03 pm

Is damo normally this bad? Maybe scum did claim the RB.

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5937 Post by damo666 » Mon May 03, 2021 12:29 pm

foodcoats wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 12:02 pm
damo666 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 9:32 am
damo666 wrote:
Sun May 02, 2021 10:53 pm


So did I
Assuming rdr is town this makes my assumed town group [ darg Jamie rdr celaph kgray] . I'm tending to believe Bona as well.

This leaves me with Food Chaqa Yav Macca as the scumteam.

Opinions sort from my town group on which of these you consider town and who you would replace with.

Actually everybody provide there best guess scumteam. This might prove illuminating.
Why are you excluding kgray from possible scum teams?
I'm very confident she would not have bussed at the stage she voted D1

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5938 Post by foodcoats » Mon May 03, 2021 12:32 pm

Macca573 wrote:
Tue Apr 20, 2021 12:17 pm
Ooh, mustn't forget. I need a vote.

So far, I'm not a big Ghug or Bona fan. Considering Bona already has a vote (and that I don't think anyone agrees with the ghug bit) ##VOTE Bona .

I'm towning kgray and bb, but I do that every game, so take little notice.
Macca, I think you were addressing this above in your conversation with Bona, but I am curious to know, since you obviously have more experience playing with Bona than I do:

What was it that made you vote Bona on D1?

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5939 Post by foodcoats » Mon May 03, 2021 12:33 pm

damo666 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 12:29 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 12:02 pm
damo666 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 9:32 am


Assuming rdr is town this makes my assumed town group [ darg Jamie rdr celaph kgray] . I'm tending to believe Bona as well.

This leaves me with Food Chaqa Yav Macca as the scumteam.

Opinions sort from my town group on which of these you consider town and who you would replace with.

Actually everybody provide there best guess scumteam. This might prove illuminating.
Why are you excluding kgray from possible scum teams?
I'm very confident she would not have bussed at the stage she voted D1
Can you explain what the differences are between "my" hypothetical bus, a hypothetical kgray bus, and a hypothetical Bona bus?

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Re: MAFIA 66: The Battle for Olympus - Game Thread [hidden]

#5940 Post by foodcoats » Mon May 03, 2021 12:33 pm

foodcoats wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 12:33 pm
damo666 wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 12:29 pm
foodcoats wrote:
Mon May 03, 2021 12:02 pm


Why are you excluding kgray from possible scum teams?
I'm very confident she would not have bussed at the stage she voted D1
Can you explain what the differences are between "my" hypothetical bus, a hypothetical kgray bus, and a hypothetical Bona bus?
Put celaph in there, too.

What are the qualitative differences?

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