On D4, flash made 2 posts that stand out to me:
flash2015 wrote: ↑Fri Jul 26, 2019 3:20 pmIn reading through the past few pages, I don't understand how we think it could be MYLO today even in the worst possible circumstances. We are 9-5 currently.
If we lynch a townie today it is MYLO tomorrow.
If we lynch a mafia that is the cow, we will be down to 7-4 tomorrow. The only thing the cow will do is it could potentially change a MYLO day into a LYLO day (if we hit the cow today, and mislynch tomorrow it means LYLO instead of MYLO day 6). That's it. I don't think we should be obsessing about it so much.
We now just need to make a choice between EP/darg and stick with it. If it was me I would probably choose darg...but I will leave it up to the townclears to make the final decision.
The first post indicates flash was not accounting for the double vote, which is the same thing I was doing until xorxes brought up the double vote D4. The second post pointed out a mistake I made about the case of dargorygel getting lynched as the cow with Espresso as his target. This indicates that flash was taking the time to consider all possibilities, even cases where dargorygel was the cow. These posts seem very unlikely for scum to fake, so I think flash is town.flash2015 wrote: ↑Fri Jul 26, 2019 8:19 pmEven in that worst case scenario it would be 8-4 after lynching and 6-4 after EON. We would be still OK for at least one more day even if that happens.worcej wrote: ↑Fri Jul 26, 2019 7:39 pmYes, we'e both on the same page right now about just jumping into the EP or Darg wagons. We shouldn't due it at this exact moment.bozotheclown wrote: ↑Fri Jul 26, 2019 7:36 pmIt is possible dargorygel counterclaimed Espresso because Espresso is his cow target. If that is the case, and Chaqa is town, and the mafia have the double vote, the mafia would win if dargorygel gets lynched with Espresso on his wagon.