Bonatogether wrote: ↑Fri Mar 12, 2021 6:38 pm
bona's thoughts on the d1 voting
The first half of d1 is notable in that no major wagons (>=3 votes) formed until quite late, at T-25:52. Before then, the lead wagon osscilated between lfischl, ghug, vecna, bob, and macca, with me being the voter pushing them into the lead in 3 of those 5 cases. I don't think anything can be read into this early part of the day.
For most of the remaining time (until T-7:04), Jamie's wagon was in the lead. From what people posted, it does not seem as if it was anything more than 1 or 2 people scumread him but anyways, the wagon went up to 4 votes at T-21:57, slid down one due to me three-way tying the vote, and then back up to 5 T-12:24. This early Jamie wagon (as distinguished from the late Jamie wagon) was stagnant and had no momentum, driving force, or central argument.
The wagon on me was comprised of Bob, Bunny, and jasnah, who all have scumread me since d1 but only recently been able to convince people about it. It's quite interesting to read how people who now eagerly hop on my wagon now were indifferent to it then (damo) or considered that all I was doing was "white noise" (jamie), which doesn't reflect well on damo especially.
Chaqa's wagon never collapsed throughout the day, like Jamie's did, which leads me to believe that there was at least 2 scum on it (but probably no more) It was started by Vecna as a response to Chaqa saying "comedy", with Jamie quoting Vecna's post and voting Chaqa. I gave it a third vote, tying it with my and Jamie's wagon. The main impetus behind the wagon seemed to be punishing lurking and meta-strategies, which is an easy way for scum to hide.
jasnah's wagon was started because Chaqa thought jasnah was a jerk. Second vote was damo (
). I gave it the 3rd vote as a response to foxcastle seemingly ignoring it (although he was the 4th voter for jasnah's wagon right afterwards). It collapsed towards the end due to people not wanting to be caught off the main two wagons once it became apparent that Jamie and Chaqa would be the final two. There are 3 categories of jasnah voters - Chaqa/fox, me, and then celaph, damo, emc, ghug. These are split by where they end up. Chaqa and fox were apparently afk and didn't move. I went to Jamie. celaph/damo/emc/ghug went to chaqa.
Jamie's lategame wagon (which has to be treated as a distinct wagon) was kickstarted by bunny for pushing for alienhunting and not scumhunting more generally. He also then picked up votes from HR and me. (moving from my wagon, first vote, and moving from jasnah)
Chaqa's wagon, meanwhile, picked up 4 votes from the collapse of jasnah's wagon, while Jamie only picked up 1. This total stampede over to Chaqa makes me believe that any scum in that group chose Chaqa over Jamie. This indicates that they either a) believed that Chaqa was being targeted by town/it was easier to hide on that wagon or b) Jamie is scum and they were trying to protect him.
tl;dr
damo sus
2+ scum among ghug, jamie, jasnah, lfischl, and vecna (people who sat on the chaqa wagon for a long time)
1+ scum among celaph, damo, emc, ghug (people who moved to chaqa over jamie)
3+ scum on chaqa wagon at EoD
more scum on chaqa than on jamie