M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

If you have a game you want to play on the forum, you can do so here.
Forum rules
This is an area for forum games. Please note that to support mafia games players cannot edit their own posts in this forum. Off Topic threads will be relocated or deleted. Issues taking place in forum games should be dealt with by respective game GMs and escalated to the moderators only if absolutely necessary.
Message
Author
snowy801
Posts: 5435
Joined: Sat Sep 30, 2017 1:47 am
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10101 Post by snowy801 » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:20 pm

Why are only the clears here this is lame

Durga
Posts: 9486
Joined: Fri Sep 29, 2017 6:01 pm
Location: Canada
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10102 Post by Durga » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:22 pm

I think we need to operate under the assumption that only one scum is dead

President Eden
Posts: 6908
Joined: Fri Oct 20, 2017 2:11 pm
Location: possibly Britain
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10103 Post by President Eden » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:24 pm

worcej wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:12 pm
Bonatogether wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 2:00 am
President Eden wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 1:56 am
Anyway, everyone except snowy and Vecna have posted, so unless they make this day phase spicier than the cooking back home, I'm gonna end vote on Tom
Where did worcej go?
At the time this was posted I was smoking a cigar with my father-in-law and drinking an Old Fashioned discussing the Seahawks Victory and why the University of Washington football team blows and needs to fire their coach.
bet that my team both wins a title and fires the title-winning coach faster

President Eden
Posts: 6908
Joined: Fri Oct 20, 2017 2:11 pm
Location: possibly Britain
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10104 Post by President Eden » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:26 pm

anyway, Vec weighed in and did not cc, which was anticipated

##END

kgray
Site Moderator
Site Moderator
Posts: 7667
Joined: Tue Nov 27, 2018 5:34 pm
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10105 Post by kgray » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:29 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:15 pm
Anyway based on the previous people I've mentioned wanting to scan I think if the Godfather theory is correct is has to be Snowy, Kgray, or Rivera.
It was my theory, smh

And why isn’t ghug on your list?

BunnyGo
Posts: 14137
Joined: Thu Jul 18, 2019 12:21 am
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10106 Post by BunnyGo » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:32 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:15 pm
Anyway based on the previous people I've mentioned wanting to scan I think if the Godfather theory is correct is has to be Snowy, Kgray, or Rivera.
If you get off another scan, then a "not-guilty" result is only bayesian, not 100%.

It's a bit tricky to calculate the exact bayesian factor to be applied (since we don't know if bozo was the GF). I could work it out if anybody cared...but I don't. Just keep in mind that a "not-guilty" is only a signal on par with a fakeable townslip (is it a townslip?).

BunnyGo
Posts: 14137
Joined: Thu Jul 18, 2019 12:21 am
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10107 Post by BunnyGo » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:33 pm

snowy801 wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:20 pm
Why are only the clears here this is lame
You and Durga are here. And Vecna.

BunnyGo
Posts: 14137
Joined: Thu Jul 18, 2019 12:21 am
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10108 Post by BunnyGo » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:33 pm

BunnyGo wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:33 pm
snowy801 wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:20 pm
Why are only the clears here this is lame
You and Durga are here. And Vecna.
Is this a scum slip?

User avatar
Chaqa
Bronze Donator
Bronze Donator
Posts: 13710
Joined: Fri Sep 29, 2017 7:33 pm
Location: Allentown, PA, USA
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10109 Post by Chaqa » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:36 pm

Durga wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:22 pm
I think we need to operate under the assumption that only one scum is dead
Yeah, I think that's safe. I think jasnah or Jamie could have been one, but there's no guarantee. Tom is definitely #2 at least, though.

snowy801
Posts: 5435
Joined: Sat Sep 30, 2017 1:47 am
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10110 Post by snowy801 » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:36 pm

Yeah you got me end me tomorrow fam
BunnyGo wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:32 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:15 pm
Anyway based on the previous people I've mentioned wanting to scan I think if the Godfather theory is correct is has to be Snowy, Kgray, or Rivera.
If you get off another scan, then a "not-guilty" result is only bayesian, not 100%.

It's a bit tricky to calculate the exact bayesian factor to be applied (since we don't know if bozo was the GF). I could work it out if anybody cared...but I don't. Just keep in mind that a "not-guilty" is only a signal on par with a fakeable townslip (is it a townslip?).
Wasn't someone here an actuary? I could probably work it out too if anybody cared but uh, yeah

User avatar
Doom427
Posts: 813
Joined: Fri Jan 18, 2019 6:54 am
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10111 Post by Doom427 » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:37 pm

President Eden wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:26 pm
anyway, Vec weighed in and did not cc, which was anticipated

##END
Oh, was that the only person we were waiting for? Cool

##END

President Eden
Posts: 6908
Joined: Fri Oct 20, 2017 2:11 pm
Location: possibly Britain
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10112 Post by President Eden » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:37 pm

snowy801 wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:36 pm
Yeah you got me end me tomorrow fam
BunnyGo wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:32 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:15 pm
Anyway based on the previous people I've mentioned wanting to scan I think if the Godfather theory is correct is has to be Snowy, Kgray, or Rivera.
If you get off another scan, then a "not-guilty" result is only bayesian, not 100%.

It's a bit tricky to calculate the exact bayesian factor to be applied (since we don't know if bozo was the GF). I could work it out if anybody cared...but I don't. Just keep in mind that a "not-guilty" is only a signal on par with a fakeable townslip (is it a townslip?).
Wasn't someone here an actuary? I could probably work it out too if anybody cared but uh, yeah
Aaron :( he should be playing this one

User avatar
Chaqa
Bronze Donator
Bronze Donator
Posts: 13710
Joined: Fri Sep 29, 2017 7:33 pm
Location: Allentown, PA, USA
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10113 Post by Chaqa » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:38 pm

kgray wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:29 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:15 pm
Anyway based on the previous people I've mentioned wanting to scan I think if the Godfather theory is correct is has to be Snowy, Kgray, or Rivera.
It was my theory, smh

And why isn’t ghug on your list?
I'm the one who theorized they thought I would scan Snowy, but it doesn't matter really.

As for ghug... reasons

snowy801
Posts: 5435
Joined: Sat Sep 30, 2017 1:47 am
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10114 Post by snowy801 » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:38 pm

Is that the Aarodactyl guy?

snowy801
Posts: 5435
Joined: Sat Sep 30, 2017 1:47 am
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10115 Post by snowy801 » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:38 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:38 pm
kgray wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:29 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:15 pm
Anyway based on the previous people I've mentioned wanting to scan I think if the Godfather theory is correct is has to be Snowy, Kgray, or Rivera.
It was my theory, smh

And why isn’t ghug on your list?
I'm the one who theorized they thought I would scan Snowy, but it doesn't matter really.

As for ghug... reasons
I distinctly remember you saying you'd scan kgray or something

User avatar
Chaqa
Bronze Donator
Bronze Donator
Posts: 13710
Joined: Fri Sep 29, 2017 7:33 pm
Location: Allentown, PA, USA
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10116 Post by Chaqa » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:39 pm

snowy801 wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:38 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:38 pm
kgray wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:29 pm


It was my theory, smh

And why isn’t ghug on your list?
I'm the one who theorized they thought I would scan Snowy, but it doesn't matter really.

As for ghug... reasons
I distinctly remember you saying you'd scan kgray or something
Depends on the night. I've mentioned both of you as attempted scans and also TFB. I think someone looking at my reads generally would assume my scan would go on you or Kgray, though.

User avatar
Chaqa
Bronze Donator
Bronze Donator
Posts: 13710
Joined: Fri Sep 29, 2017 7:33 pm
Location: Allentown, PA, USA
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10117 Post by Chaqa » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:40 pm

One more end vote. No rush as long as we end before 6 PM

BunnyGo
Posts: 14137
Joined: Thu Jul 18, 2019 12:21 am
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10118 Post by BunnyGo » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:40 pm

snowy801 wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:36 pm
Yeah you got me end me tomorrow fam
BunnyGo wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:32 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:15 pm
Anyway based on the previous people I've mentioned wanting to scan I think if the Godfather theory is correct is has to be Snowy, Kgray, or Rivera.
If you get off another scan, then a "not-guilty" result is only bayesian, not 100%.

It's a bit tricky to calculate the exact bayesian factor to be applied (since we don't know if bozo was the GF). I could work it out if anybody cared...but I don't. Just keep in mind that a "not-guilty" is only a signal on par with a fakeable townslip (is it a townslip?).
Wasn't someone here an actuary? I could probably work it out too if anybody cared but uh, yeah
Yeah...I'm a mathematician too. But this is particularly tricky because your bayesian factor has to itself assume things about the number of non-GF scum left and whether GF is alive. There's a reason Bayesian analysis isn't used with non-simple distributions: it's a bitch to calculate.

The actuary answer would be: meh...let's just load enough caution to make sure we make a profit but not too big a profit to be fined and be done.

The physicist would just have a computer do it and call it a proof.

The mathematician would disappear for a couple years to prove a new theorem that not only can the 10th decimal place be calculated, but that it relates to a strange conjecture on coloring graphs.

BunnyGo
Posts: 14137
Joined: Thu Jul 18, 2019 12:21 am
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10119 Post by BunnyGo » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:41 pm

snowy801 wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:38 pm
Is that the Aarodactyl guy?
He and damo are actuaries too.

kgray
Site Moderator
Site Moderator
Posts: 7667
Joined: Tue Nov 27, 2018 5:34 pm
Contact:

Re: M70 - THE BASKIN-ROBBINS CONSPIRACY [HIDDEN]

#10120 Post by kgray » Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:42 pm

Chaqa wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:38 pm
kgray wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:29 pm
Chaqa wrote:
Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:15 pm
Anyway based on the previous people I've mentioned wanting to scan I think if the Godfather theory is correct is has to be Snowy, Kgray, or Rivera.
It was my theory, smh

And why isn’t ghug on your list?
I'm the one who theorized they thought I would scan Snowy, but it doesn't matter really.

As for ghug... reasons
God you're annoying.

##vote Tom
##end

Post Reply