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A place to discuss topics/games with other webDiplomacy players.
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Condescension (10 D X)
26 Aug 17 UTC
(+1)
Liberals are even worse than conservatives
The left should be focused on abolishing nationhood and class. Not microaggressions and compromises like minimum wage.
38 replies
Open
Jeff Kuta (2066 D)
26 Aug 17 UTC
Arpaio Pardoned
So sad.
3 replies
Open
Deeply_Dippy (410 D)
25 Aug 17 UTC
Diplomacy-Related Question Thread
Ask your questions!

Someone's bound to know the answer.
0 replies
Open
JamesYanik (548 D)
24 Aug 17 UTC
Yellen Speaks on Friday
Is our low inflation transitory or not? Is Yellen in touch with advancements in monetary policy? Is this exactly what the protocols of the elders of Zion predicted??? (Probably)

All that and more coming out of the one place on earth you associate with global banking: Jackson Hole, Wyoming
JamesYanik (548 D)
24 Aug 17 UTC
Just putting this thread up now so I don't forget to check things out tomorrow. There's also a question to whether or not Yellen is going to have Trump on her side or not once everything is said and done
Randomizer (100 D)
25 Aug 17 UTC
Current inflation rate is a fraud made by changing the measurements to keep it artificially low. Especially when you use the version that leaves out food and energy because people don't need to eat and travel.
JamesYanik (548 D)
25 Aug 17 UTC
i think the bond bubble is underestimated by too many, but also i feel like this low inflation isn't just temporary, but rather technology driving down prices and changing demographics are really keeping us below that 2% mark
Tom Bombadil (4134 D (G))
25 Aug 17 UTC
Any link to back up what you are saying Randomizer? I'm intrigued.

Yanik, why do you think the 'bond bubble' is being underestimated?
JamesYanik (548 D)
25 Aug 17 UTC
@Tom

not currently underestimated, but it has been for the last 5-6 years. people were predicting inflation coming on at any point, but instead it hasn't happened, and all the focus that should have been spent trying to identify overvaluation in different markets that could explain some of this stuff, didn't really unfold.

last 12 months though there has been a lot more attention on it though
Randomizer (100 D)
25 Aug 17 UTC
Explanation of how it's calculated:
https://www.bls.gov/cpi/questions-and-answers.htm

The key paragraphs are here:

Will the CPI be updated or revised in the future?
Yes. The CPI will need revisions as long as there are significant changes in consumer buying habits or shifts in population distribution or demographics. By developing annual Consumer Expenditure Surveys and Point-of-Purchase Surveys, the Bureau has the flexibility to monitor changing buying habits in a timely and cost-efficient manner. In addition, the census conducted every 10 years by the Census Bureau provides information that enables the Bureau of Labor Statistics to reselect a new geographic sample that accurately reflects the current population distribution and other demographic factors

As a matter of policy, BLS is continually researching improved statistical methods. Thus, even between major revisions, improvements to the CPI are made.


The "Improvements" are changes in the baskets of goods where the government assumes that when one or more items increase significantly in price, that consumers will substitute cheaper "equivalent" items there by lowering the inflation numbers. So the different inflation indices aren't true comparisons from year to year. We aren't talking about buying a store generic over a name brand, but buying the cheapest type of meat instead of the one in the last sample.
eturnage (601 D (B))
25 Aug 17 UTC
shadow government statistics: http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/inflation-charts
Tom Bombadil (4134 D (G))
25 Aug 17 UTC
I sort of misunderstood both of you.

I agree with you Random that the CPI isn't really all that good at putting an actual number on inflation, but really the important part isn't the number, but the trend. And inflation has been pretty slow and steady for quite some time. Do you think inflation has been increasing more than normal recently?

Tr - I fall into the camp that believes that a "bond bubble" isn't really a thing. Its what folks say to scare people into watching their shows on tv and reading their columns. Overvaluing bonds enough to create a bubble is incredibly hard to do because they have concrete value as long as they are held to maturity. You always have the option to hold bonds until maturity, and if you do that, the price and value of the bond is irrelevant - at that point only the yield matters, and the yield cannot be impacted by what happens in the markets.
That isn't the sort of substitution that is commonly used in CPI, Randomizer. It's more often "Oh, people don't used CD players any more. Maybe we should take it out" or "Wow, the price of this TV has plummeted 70%, maybe we should switch to a newer model"

This is also why economists don't use CPI, but rather use PCE figures. I'm not remembering the precise differences right now, but it's a more reliable figure. Also, energy and food prices are excluded because they're highly variable. These figures are produced so you can compare them to the past. If you have energy and food prices wildly fluctuating, the dataset becomes less meaningful. In traditional economic analysis and models, these factors are broken out into separate variables.


9 replies
Maltir (125 D)
25 Aug 17 UTC
Yet Another Rules Question
Am I able to move Edinburgh to Kiel via North Sea and Denmark?
3 replies
Open
Heywood Jablowme (13 D)
25 Aug 17 UTC
American Empire IV map - another move question
I move a fleet from Arctic Ocean into Nunavut. Can I then move from Nunavut to Manitoba. (There doesn't appear to be any coastal restrictions in Nunavut but I wanted to be sure before I committed to the move - Thanks
1 reply
Open
MangoDude (100 D)
22 Aug 17 UTC
Remove Diplomacy phase as a variant
The reason I want a variant without the diplomacy phase is because we already have very long phases, most being a day, and I find the extra diplomacy time is a bit excessive.
15 replies
Open
bo_sox48 (4849 D Mod (G))
21 Aug 17 UTC
Eclipse Day
I'm in the middle of nowhere in Kentucky but NASA is set up across the road from me so I assume I'm in a good spot. Anyone else have plans?
58 replies
Open
Gezirah (107 D)
25 Aug 17 UTC
How to start the game without it canceling
So I've been waiting for five days with six players to start a game, and as soon as it starts, I refresh and it says it's been canceled. Says I did not reach the limit of seven players. How do we actually start playing, after the waiting period is over?
2 replies
Open
bo_sox48 (4849 D Mod (G))
23 Aug 17 UTC
(+1)
Mod Team Announcement
We are happy to announce that dargorygel is now a moderator. Please join me in wishing him your condolences, or even congratulations if you prefer.
22 replies
Open
Maltir (125 D)
24 Aug 17 UTC
Save vs Ready
What is the difference between "save" and "ready?" What are the advantages and disadvantages of both?
7 replies
Open
Heywood Jablowme (13 D)
24 Aug 17 UTC
Question about moves in game - Fall of the American Empire IV
Sorry for being a newbie, but as a fan of Diplomacy, I was really happy to find this site. My questions about movement - Is there an app or software so you can set up these variant maps locally and model moves/situations? Immediate question for my current game: On the Fall of the American Empire IV map, can I move a fleet from Manawut to Ungawa?
4 replies
Open
Maltir (125 D)
24 Aug 17 UTC
Ska -> Bal
How many seasons does it take to get a fleet from Skagerrack to the Baltic Sea?
12 replies
Open
Heffomite (153 D)
24 Aug 17 UTC
(+1)
GBHigh29
I'm reluctant to accuse anyone of multi-account shenanigans or outside communication, but something seems a bit amiss in this game. It's full gunboat, no messaging at all, but somehow one player just convoyed another player's army across the North Sea.That's a hell of a guess.
4 replies
Open
Heywood Jablowme (13 D)
23 Aug 17 UTC
Civil Disorder?
What does it mean when a player goes into civil disorder? Obviously happens when they don't play a turn, but does anything happen or is it just to notify the group that the player missed a turn?
18 replies
Open
steephie22 (182 D (S))
21 Aug 17 UTC
Second Opinion on company name
Hey guys,
My company is called Broad Expert and someone recently asked me if a native English speaker would initially associate Broad with 'wide' in a literal sense, rather than the intended association with a broad expertise. The question of whether the name is proper use of English was also brought up.
Thoughts?
26 replies
Open
Fluminator (496 D)
23 Aug 17 UTC
Can someone read this article for me
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2017/08/american-totality-eclipse-race/537318/
7 replies
Open
Hellenic Riot (1619 D (G))
10 May 17 UTC
(+1)
The Official Spring 2017 1v1 Champions League
Now that 1v1 ELO has been up for a while, it's time to put the best to the test. See inside for details!
301 replies
Open
Live gunboat!
http://webdiplomacy.net/board.php?gameID=205130
0 replies
Open
ubercacher16 (259 D)
23 Aug 17 UTC
Live World?
http://www.webdiplomacy.net/board.php?gameID=205098
7 replies
Open
Ogion (4375 D)
16 Aug 17 UTC
(+6)
It is not OK to punch even Nazis
Look, the question of justifiable violence has been a profound and difficult problem in moral philosophy for ages.
I posit that violence is not justified as a political tool ever
344 replies
Open
Maltir (125 D)
22 Aug 17 UTC
Juggernaut
I know the dictionary definition, but what is this in game? How to you create one/deal with one that has been created?
28 replies
Open
michael_b (192 D)
20 Aug 17 UTC
Planned Parenthood's "Monthly Abortion Quotas"
I welcome all fellow Pro-Lifers and all all Pro-Choicers alike to discuss their reactions/thoughts about this interview with a Ex-Exec from PP in a CIVILISED AND RESPECTFUL MANNER. Is this the right direction? If not, what is to be done? I know its Fox News, but its what she says that matters.

Video: https://youtu.be/KUy7zugBMa4
19 replies
Open
dargorygel (591 D Mod (G))
21 Aug 17 UTC
(+2)
The Eclipse is over... and the Apocaclypse didn't happen!
Just saying...
5 replies
Open
Would I get banned if I supported a teammate in an Anonymous/no-chat game?
just wondering I'm in a tactical spot to do so but it seems super suspect and unfair almost
2 replies
Open
goldfinger0303 (3110 D)
14 Aug 17 UTC
WebDip World Cup Results
The last game is in the books and we have a winner!
73 replies
Open
chluke (8515 D (G))
22 Aug 17 UTC
2015 Gunboat tournament results?
Who ran the 2015 Gunboat tournament? Would love to see the final scoring table here:

http://tournaments.webdiplomacy.net/gunboat-tournament
10 replies
Open
brainbomb (474 D)
20 Aug 17 UTC
(+2)
Steaks Diplomacy Game
Would anyone be interested in a -whoever wins grills- steaks diplomacy game? The notion is that we'd all have a potluck some amount of roasted veggies on a grill, and some ribeyes. We go to a ftf party, then get naked.
6 replies
Open
Maltir (125 D)
22 Aug 17 UTC
Length of Time
What is the average amount of rounds/years of one game of Diplomacy?
13 replies
Open
Maltir (125 D)
22 Aug 17 UTC
Bounce vs DMZ
What are the advantages and disadvantages of a bounce? Same question with a DMZ.
15 replies
Open
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