Ah, what the heck. Who am I kidding? I love EOGs. I guess I just won't get much sleep tonight.
A nice, high-caliber game and I draw Austria. I hate playing Austria. Might as well get down to work. I believe succeeding as A takes a hell of a lot of diplomatic work. My initial goals are to secure an alliance with R or T against the other, and most importantly to form a rock-solid alliance with Italy, which in most cases is going to mean a preference for RA vs. T. But we'll see...
S01. Negotiations go well all around. Italy appears sincere and proposes a Blue Water Lepanto. T wants me to go Bud-Rum while he does NOT contest Bla AND he gets Gre. Seriously? This makes my decision easy, I'm anti-T if I can get R on board. I offer R both Rum and support into Bul if he'll go RA vs. T. Once T is dead, the long-term scenario is that he gets all of the T centers and I get Rum and Bul. Tempting for him, but R reasonably asks how Italy fits in. I say if Italy helps out, he gets a T center (but he may not, such as if Italy moves on France). R is fine with that and we agree to DMZ Gal. My real plan is to kill T first with IR assistance, then to go after R with G assistance. AIG agree to a CPA. I feel good about Italy, time will tell with G since many German players promise CPA early out of convenience and lose interest later.
I like Italy's BWL idea, but I propose a modification (which Italy thinks is standard BWL anyway): instead of Tri-Adr, which no one will believe is a legit attack on Italy, I will move Tri-Alb. However, in the autumn I will move Alb-Ion, Bud-Ser, Ser-Gre and assume T will not contest Ser or Gre against an obvious Ser S Alb-Gre. This will set up the BWL when Italy forces me into a forward retreat into Aeg or EMed in S02. To set it up, AI agree to DMZ Ven and Tri. I also promise to never build a fleet, and we intend to destroy my one fleet when convenient so Italy can rule the Med. Press with EF is vanilla.
Things go perfectly when S01 moves process. T is in bad shape. My allies IR followed through with their promises. I can't tell what's going on with EFG yet. R asks for Bud S Ukr-Rum which is reasonable but doesn't work with my modified BWL plan. I eventually spill the secret plan to him (after conferring with Italy), which appears to buy me some good trust. S01 might even have gone too well, as people notice the favorable outcome for A and may start worrying about me more than I'd like.
A01. The BWL is set up with me in Ion. I still have the flexibility to screw Italy, such as if F built F Mar and Italy moved west. That's not my intent, though. I want to kill T. T plays conservatively in A01, bouncing in Arm. As a result, he misses out on Arm-Sev AND he doesn't advance his Con fleet into the Med. After S01 went poorly, I think T had to take a gamble there and hope he lucked out. He didn't, and now he is very vulnerable. I still don't know if G is fighting E or F or both or neither. IMO, G's value to the CPA is to be on the winning side of the EFG triangle, then kill off his first ally with Italian help while in turn helping Austria kill off Russia. This G swears he is committed to the CPA but he seems wishy-washy on the EFG dynamic. My move of Alb-Ion confuses some people, others guess it must be some kind of BWL.
Builds as expected except for A Ber. That threatens War (not that I mind, since I'm CPA-oriented). I receive R's blessing for Bud-Gal.
S02. Italy knocks me out of Ion as planned. I support R into Bul as agreed. I also advance into Boh and Gal at his request. Boh upsets G, who is frustrated he can't get one of EF to side with him against the other. There's some buzz about a possible WT. The CPA idea is waning because G is not holding up his end of the bargain. Perhaps once T is dead, I'll help R against G instead of vice versa. Italy doesn't like the idea of a IAR eastern triple.
A02. Mixed bag. F is fighting Italy, while EG are fighting R. Nobody is attacking me, which is good, while both my allies IR are being weakened. The problem is that we haven't killed T yet. I need T dead before I can turn around and choose where I'm going next. AI try a convoy to Syr and T blocks it. I stay in Boh, but don't attack G. G doesn't like me there. He seems really frustrated because he can't get make a productive alliance happen (other than the nominal CPA which is doing nothing for him plus I'm in Boh). G swears there's no WT. T swears there is, since it's his best hope of staying alive. AI priority is in keeping T bottled up. R seems grateful I'm sticking with him and helping him defend War. Meanwhile, T has changed his tune and claims I'm about to get hit by an RT, which I don't buy at all -- not that it matters, since I'm still trying to kill him. Surprise! G invades Bur, which now makes me believe that there is no WT and that G does want a CPA.
S03. F switches gears to punish G, freeing up Italy. Wait, he's attacking both EG at the same time? Seems overly aggressive, but they are definitely vulnerable. F must really trust Italy. AI are back to trying for convoys. Meanwhile, R is getting shredded by EG. And G abandons Bur, leaving Hol and Den wide open? What is going on here? R flip flops on me. Now he's siding with T, and trying to make peace with EG, who want to shift west against F. Very chaotic turn. About the only constant is me trying to kill T, a task now made more difficult by R.
A03. Fun turn, lots of fighting all over the board. I take Sev. R looks in bad shape. The War region is hotly contested. Italy gets his fleet in place for the attack on T (finally!).
S04. This is the setup turn for the ascension of AI. Italy convoys into Gre at my suggestion. I swap Sev for Rum. Now things are ready to go. Next turn, Gre will support Ser-Rum, Aeg will cut Con, and I'll save Rum by ordering a double support of Rum-Gal to counter R's anticipated double support of Gal-Rum. Also, I'll advance EMed-Syr with Ion-Syr, banking on T not bouncing in Syr.
A04. Perfect! We guessed exactly right and Italy did as promised. Except somehow, my orders were botched. I really, really swear they were properly entered but instead it's a total clusterfuck. I lose Rum, I'm down a unit from Gre, and we don't get into Syr because I didn't move there. It's a disaster for Austria, and now I'm paranoid Italy will turn on me. This botch has set back the AI effort 2+ years. But I keep fighting. I spin the botched orders to T as a deliberate move to keep him alive so that he will help me against IR. He seems to buy it, but is reluctant to move against R.
1905. T won't move against R, so I redouble my efforts to flip R instead. R agrees to renew the RA alliance and turn on EG. He offers me Rum and a chance to destroy the E unit in Ukr. Amusingly, right before deadline of A05, E contacts me and suggests I order Gal-Ukr because it will thwart R. E is really screwing with me because he thinks Gal-Ukr will expose me to concerted RE action, but really R is about to turn on him. At the last second, I tell E I agree to Gal-Ukr and I do it. Per the R plan, Gal-Ukr succeeds and the E army is destroyed. Now we're rolling and T is a dead man.
1906. Italy stabs R in Turkey. It was the AI plan all along, and R knew it was coming, but I wouldn't agree to act to stop it. Italy captures all of Turkey and we finally have gotten to the place that AI envisoned back in S01, with him owning all of T and me with no fleets. I still want Gre back, but I am in position to take it anytime. Now I just have to get Italy to throw everything at F by sea.
Since I don't get to have fleets, I want no fleets in Ionian or points east. I try to convince R to disband his Bla fleet and instead rebuild in StP. I'm pleased to see he does it, because that means he will not be able to oppose my armies. Plus, if I am to have any solo shot in this game, I'm going to need some fleet help in the north. G was supposed to get War, but botched his own order.
1907. Italy moves on F. I help out G against R. It's looking like the original CPA idea. The problem is, once F is dead, who is going to oppose E's fleets? If Italy gets that far north, he'll be a serious solo threat.
R loses his northern fleets, making him useless to me. F and R are soon to be eliminated. AI are choosing whether it will be an AIE or AIG. I'm still hoping for a solo. There's a lot of talk about EGA vs. Italy, which may give me the best solo hope. G's builds are pivotal in shaping the remainder of the game. If he builds two fleets and takes on E, then we either end AIG or I have a nice opportunity to overrun him with my armies. If he builds two armies and takes on me, then E can eat him up on the coast. If he splits one and one, he mildly offends both EA. G builds one and one with my blessing, but that apparently upsets Italy. EG want me to attack Italy straightaway, but I ask for another turn delay so I can finish off R first.
1908. I take Mos and am ready to potentially move on Italy. I want to be able to vacate Tri for a fleet build, which will be fueled by stealing Gre from Italy. I also can steal War from G with R's dying assistance. G complicates things by moving Mun-Tyr. I need to decide if I'm going after Italy now. I decide no, largely because I don't like G in Tyr. Italy supports Tri into Tyrolia while I take War. If EG are still willing to attack Italy, then I'm willing to build a fleet and go after him too. Instead, EG insist on a 4wd, and a 5wd including F if AI don't agree to the 4wd. With little choice, AI agree to the 4wd and I build two armies instead of a fleet. The remaining turns are just wrap up to finish off F.
I enjoyed this game. I had a strong, game-long alliance with Italy, lots of good communication until the last few years when I think he got RL-busy. I managed a 4wd as Austria, which is acceptable against this competition for a power I dislike playing. I would have liked a 3wd, but oh well. My botched orders in A04 really hurt me. AI should have been able to beat RT much sooner, which would have changed the game dynamic. T got the short end of the stick, since I never wavered from my original anti-T position after making that decision in S01 (although I did continue to talk to T open and kept alive the possibility I might flip). On the whole, I didn't exchange much press with F or E.