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A place to discuss topics/games with other webDiplomacy players.
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Flameofarnor (306 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
30 Minutes Left
Classic Diplomacy game with all of the traditional rules. 12 hour turn intervals. Join up now! gameID=73891
0 replies
Open
tboin4 (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Linear Algebra Help
Hey guys, I'm studying for my linear algebra class and I'm having some problems with notation.
75 replies
Open
Putin33 (111 D)
01 Dec 11 UTC
The Federal Reserve Balance Sheet
Can someone explain the difference between Quantitative Easing & Credit Easing? I'm not getting it. I get that QE is pumping money into circulation by buying large numbers of treasury bonds, but how is the process different with this "credit easing"? It's still expanding the balance sheet, is it not?
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Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
@Fulhamish: the bank is not for-profit in the sense that its income is not distributed to member banks and its decisions are not motivated by profit maximization. Instead, all earnings are turned over to the treasury.

from http://www.federalreserve.gov/pf/pdf/pf_complete.pdf,


The income of the Federal Reserve System is derived primarily from
the interest on U.S. government securities that it has acquired through
open market operations. Other major sources of income are the interest
on foreign currency investments held by the System; interest on loans to
depository institutions; and fees received for services provided to depository institutions, such as check clearing, funds transfers, and automated
clearinghouse operations.
After it pays its expenses, the Federal Reserve turns the rest of its earnings over to the U.S. Treasury. About 95 percent of the Reserve Banks’
net earnings have been paid into the Treasury since the Federal Reserve
System began operations in 1914. (Income and expenses of the Federal
Reserve Banks from 1914 to the present are included in the Annual Report
of the Board of Governors.) In 2003, the Federal Reserve paid approximately $22 billion to the Treasur
fulhamish (4134 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
@ Frank. have you finished your response?
Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
If you are specifically concerned about the 6% dividend, that is just compensation for the fact that member banks are required to hold capital at their fed branch and they don't earn a competitive rate of interest on that capital.

I don't really understand your overlapping shareholdings comment, but I'm pretty sure any institution can only be a member bank at one Fed branch. Also, each member bank just gets one vote regardless of how many shares they own. Its not at all like being a shareholder of a fully private organization.

With respect to your accountancy firm points, I really have no idea. I don't know a lot about accounting or auditing.
Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
and yes, finished my response.
fulhamish (4134 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
@ Frank 6 % guaranteed, year in and year out, isn't a bad return you know. Don't sniff at it many of our larger coporations would be happy to earn this return on their activities.

The devil however lies in the detail. I believe that the Fed(s) creates money by issuing interest-bearing debt is that true? And if so is this a profitable for the member banks?

On the accountancy firms, if a citation is supplied then one should, if interested, examine the authorship of that reference. You supplied, with some enthusiasm, the ''audit'' of the Federal Reserve. In that context the nature of the auditing firm who supplied the report is highly relevant.
fulhamish (4134 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Furthermore
@ Frank taking this remark at face value and assumng that you have chosen a mean year for your example:

''About 95 percent of the Reserve Banks’
net earnings have been paid into the Treasury since the Federal Reserve
System began operations in 1914. (Income and expenses of the Federal
Reserve Banks from 1914 to the present are included in the Annual Report
of the Board of Governors.) In 2003, the Federal Reserve paid approximately $22 billion to the Treasur''


The missing 5 % over 97 years actually amoumts to 5/100*22*97 = 107 billion of your US dollars. Nice work if you can get it.
fulhamish (4134 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
At face value this snippet is obscene:

''The Federal Reserve Bank of New York shaped Washington’s response to the financial crisis late last year, which buoyed Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and other Wall Street firms. Goldman received speedy approval to become a bank holding company in September and a $10 billion capital injection soon after.''........................

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York shaped Washington’s response to the financial crisis late last year, which buoyed Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and other Wall Street firms. Goldman received speedy approval to become a bank holding company in September and a $10 billion capital injection soon after.

''During that time, the New York Fed’s chairman, Stephen Friedman, sat on Goldman’s board and had a large holding in Goldman stock, which because of Goldman’s new status as a bank holding company was a violation of Federal Reserve policy.

The New York Fed asked for a waiver, which, after about 2½ months, the Fed granted. While it was weighing the request, Mr. Friedman bought 37,300 more Goldman shares in December. They’ve since risen $1.7 million in value.''

http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2009/05/conflict-of-interest-is-not-conflict-of.html

One of the comments on the story uses the term ''ethical nihilism''. Very appropriate I think.
Frank (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Sorry, I don't want to get drawn into some wacky conspiracy theory debate. I just thought that Lando, Putin and others might find it interesting to see the balance sheet of such a huge organization. I also am interested in how central banks work. But I'm not very interested in discussing these weird theories about cartels and theft and perpetual interest and all this crap.
Tom Bombadil (4023 D(G))
02 Dec 11 UTC
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PTUY16CkS-k

This is all that needs to be known ;)

Don't know if someone already posted this, but I didn't see it in any of the comments.
fulhamish (4134 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
@ Frank I am sorry that you have withdrawn from the discussion. You will note that the original article on Friedman was in the Wall St. Journal. Sticking your fingers in your ears won't make it go away. Ditto your refusal to answer a straightforward question on the issuing of money by the US central bank and your refusal to discuss the practices of the large accountancy firms, meant to be guardians of our system.
fulhamish (4134 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
@ Tom yep that is what is all about debase the currency so that the debts can be paid off. Very funny indeed.
Tom Bombadil (4023 D(G))
02 Dec 11 UTC
I'll have to read this thread in greater detail. I'm an econ guy, but busy atm. Looks like a solid discussion went down though.
Putin33 (111 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
It was a solid discussion before Fulham plowed in here trying to start a flame war.
Putin33 (111 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
"The missing 5 % over 97 years actually amoumts to 5/100*22*97 = 107 billion of your US dollars. Nice work if you can get it."

Fulham what part of the fed being a profit center don't you understand? You're whining that the fed doesn't generate 100% profits for the US treasury? What is it supposed to do, operate via volunteers with no expenses whatsoever?
Putin33 (111 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
Did your report note that Friedman resigned from the NY Fed soon after the waiver was granted?
Putin33 (111 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
"And if so is this a profitable for the member banks? "

This can be clearly gleaned by looking at the balance sheet.

Distribution of comprehensive income: 2010 2009 (millions of dollars)
Dividends paid to member banks $ 1,583 $ 1,428
Transferred to surplus and change in accumulated other comprehensive loss 884 4,564
Payments to Treasury as interest on Federal Reserve notes 79,268 47,431
Total distribution $ 81,735

Member banks get 1.5 billion, Treasury gets 80 billion.
In 2009 the Fed got a plurality of its income from interest on treasuries. In 2010 most of it came from mortgage-backed securities.
Putin33 (111 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
Total distribution for 2009 - > 53,423
fulhamish (4134 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
''Fulham what part of the fed being a profit center don't you understand? You're whining that the fed doesn't generate 100% profits for the US treasury? What is it supposed to do, operate via volunteers with no expenses whatsoever?''

I don't normally bother to respond to Putinisms, but it is on occasions such as this that I am pleased that I don't use the mute button (even for him). The complete ignorance that he displays on profit, which is in reality calculated after the deduction of expenses is a pure gem. Yes, as he says, economics is so devilishly complicated, especially for us mere natural scientists. Great Saturday morning entertainment, sets up the day nicely :-)
ulytau (541 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
"Frank 6 % guaranteed, year in and year out, isn't a bad return you know. Don't sniff at it many of our larger coporations would be happy to earn this return on their activities..."

You do realize that a 6% dividend share is in fact 6% ROE for the member banks since the shares are not tradeable, right? In that case, you might want to look at this graph: http://images.flatworldknowledge.com/wright/wright-fig10_005.jpg?sessionGUID=4c7c7834-27c6-30b8-7cc8-20ce134a5dbc&webSyncID=7168c318-390a-61a8-322 D-2e92d166b680&sessionGUID=4c7c7834-27c6-30b8-7cc8-20ce134a5dbc

from Money and Banking by Robert E. Wright and Vincenzo Quadrini - http://www.flatworldknowledge.com/node/29300#

Then this graph: http://federalreserve.gov/pubs/Bulletin/2009/articles/bankprofit/chart/fig1.gif

As you can see, such a ROE was not surpassed by industrial average only seldom in the 1935-2008 timespan. In 2010, it was back to 7% again. A long-term 6% ROE is nothing any bank would take pride in. Even with tightened regulatory framework, the banks will outperform 6% ROE with ease even though it won't be business-as-usual 10%+.
fulhamish (4134 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
@ ulytau,out of interest what is the current bank rate?
ulytau (541 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
If you mean primary credit discount rate, then 0,75%.
fulhamish (4134 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
And these guys are still getting 6 % on their money guaranteed year in and year out? (Bank rate is a UK expression, my apologies). The Italians are in trouble because they now have to pay 6-7 % on their debt because they are viewed as a bad credit risk and these guys are still getting 6 % on their money guaranteed year in and year out.

But lets not worry too much about that, the devil lies in the detail and the 6 % is comparatively small beer. By the way if you and three friends of yours would like to please sell me some treasury bonds next week I will even tell you all what I am prepared to pay for them now, in advance. How's that for a deal?
fulhamish (4134 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
And then the guys who work for me will go and work for you next year and, you never know, I will employ some of your guys at my office. Then they will all sit on a remuneration committee to work out a fair rate of pay for one another's jobs. Lovely jubbly.

No man it is a racket from A-Z, I am afraid.
ulytau (541 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
No, you are not afraid. You took it for granted before this thread even began and no amount of evidence would persuade you to change the opinion so goodbye.
fulhamish (4134 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
OK goodbye to you too then. Newcastle v. Chelsea is a cracking game. If you can get it where you are then I recommend that you tune in.


55 replies
Yellowjacket (835 D(B))
03 Dec 11 UTC
Why Not?
An idea of a way to retool replacements.
17 replies
Open
P-man (494 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
So I think I found a bug...
either that or I don't know the rules correctly...
gameID=73804
In Autumn 1908 I moved Pie-Ven via convoy. The convoy failed, yet the army still moved. Should this have happened?
20 replies
Open
Moderator (100 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
Test
Please feel free to disregard.

abge
2 replies
Open
Catsglove (199 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
breaking suport
Galacia suported Ukrain into Warsaw, while Warsaw attacked Galacia, it is my understanding that this should have prevented ukrain taking warsaw.but warsaw was taken as suport should have been broken.
1 reply
Open
jmo1121109 (3812 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Ghostratings...
Anyone have any updates about how soon we'll be able to see the new rankings? Thanks.
3 replies
Open
Mujus (1495 D(B))
02 Dec 11 UTC
Statesmen or Robbers?
I'd never heard of this reporter until today and was shocked by the video. Apparently he's a regular for the BBC and other British media. What does everyone think about the truth of this information??
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-8187301869971500776
15 replies
Open
abgemacht (1076 D(G))
01 Dec 11 UTC
The 10,000 Year Clock
Thoughts? A modern Wonder or a waste of time and money?

http://longnow.org/clock/
58 replies
Open
jmeyersd (4240 D)
03 Dec 11 UTC
50CC-005-2 EOG
3 replies
Open
Haitian Revolution...
I've got a seminar on the Haitian revolution due next week. Anyone know anything about it?
5 replies
Open
Jacob (2711 D)
01 Dec 11 UTC
The Second-Largest Power
Many people have observed that the largest power becomes a target for alliances to take down. This makes the second-largest power a desirable position to hold as it often can become the winning power. Builds can be withheld or centers not taken in order to achieve this position. Discuss below.
17 replies
Open
AzygousWolf (100 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
is the enemy of my enemies enemy, my friend or my enemy...
What things do you to keep track of whats going on in a game, from a diplomacy perspective... to work out the likelihood someone is going to "stab" (a phrase I am becoming quickly accustom with) you a few turns in advance.

is it wise to have a separate word doc open to keep track of whats going on with each country?
8 replies
Open
fulhamish (4134 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Academic Publishing Scam
George Monibot has this to say: http://www.monbiot.com/2011/08/29/the-lairds-of-learning/. I thoroughly agree with him.
0 replies
Open
Thucydides (864 D(B))
02 Dec 11 UTC
Hi hi hi
How are you guys. What is happening blah blah blah

What is TC doing he is posting about smoking pot or someshit i dunno. Did anyone get banned etc. Can I have mod back now k thx
4 replies
Open
Tettleton's Chew (0 DX)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Pot makes driving safer
Here is a research article that is intriguing.
Medical Marijuana Laws, Traffic Fatalities, and Alcohol Consumption
by D. Mark Anderson, Daniel I. Rees (November 2011)
22 replies
Open
Invictus (240 D)
02 Dec 11 UTC
Favorite Whiskies
As suggested in the beer thread, post your whiskey recommendations here.
20 replies
Open
2ndWhiteLine (2736 D(B))
30 Nov 11 UTC
Favorite Beers
Post beer recommendations: national brands, regional craft beers, etc.
55 replies
Open
mr.crispy (0 DX)
01 Dec 11 UTC
Diplochatness
So I clicked my name today and noticed I talk a decent amount in diplomacy games but never thought I spoke this much. How many chat messages do YOU have under your belt?

Game messages: 4112
48 replies
Open
Tettleton's Chew (0 DX)
30 Nov 11 UTC
Job Creation
If you owned a company and someone said they would cut your costs to hire an employ for the next six months, but after that they would raise the costs tremendously why would you hire anyone based on a six month cut? This is exactly President Obama's payroll tax reduction plan.
18 replies
Open
Gobbledydook (1389 D(B))
02 Dec 11 UTC
The Gobbledydook Challenge V2
Hm I do not have any more active games.
Seeing there is a lack of quality games open...here goes.

Post here to indicate interest!
0 replies
Open
Geofram (130 D(B))
01 Dec 11 UTC
Anyone else notice?
http://webdiplomacy.net/rules.php
=)
29 replies
Open
Octavious (2802 D)
01 Dec 11 UTC
The UK Public Sector Strikes
Yesterday, so we are told, 2 million UK public sector workers sacrificed a day's pay and caused the rest of us great inconvenience in order to make a point. But I can't help feel they're missing a trick...
34 replies
Open
thatonekid (0 DX)
30 Nov 11 UTC
Is this going to get me in Trouble?
My brother(The Man Who Can't Be Moved) without my knowing, decided to joing some daily games that I was in without telling me, 2 of which I believe are Anonymous, this will not compromise how I play the game but it is certainly aggrivating that I could get banned when uses my Laptop, is there anyway I can avoid being under scrutany for this or should I simply avoid it in the future?
14 replies
Open
yebellz (729 D(G))
01 Dec 11 UTC
test thread
Blah
8 replies
Open
Spartan22 (344 D)
01 Dec 11 UTC
Fast World Game?
Is anyone interested in a fast (say 12-14 hours) world game, full press?
0 replies
Open
taos (281 D)
01 Dec 11 UTC
world aids day
share your tougths
7 replies
Open
Sargmacher (0 DX)
01 Dec 11 UTC
Culture and Imperialism-3
WTA Anon Gunboat, 25 hour phase, 300 D (roughly), passworded invitational.

Please post your interest here and I will set up and send out passwords in the next few days.
12 replies
Open
King Atom (100 D)
01 Dec 11 UTC
Hey everyone, guess who's back for the holidays?
I'm guessing more than 50% of you will get that question wrong.
0 replies
Open
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