France really screwed up with that NMR. Either he is unfortunate for missing the turn due to unavoidable circumstances or he is an idiot for abandoning a game that he incorrectly believe was lost. I can't wait to hear the reason why he left.
The southern position is a stalemate. Turkey has a numerical advantage in terms of fleets, however France could have fell back into a stalemate position, with his fleets in Tun, Spa(sc), WMS, and NaF. He also needs to get that army in Pic down to Gas, but he would have time to do that before you could get a fleet into GoL to possibly threaten Mar. Then the orders are just three straightforward support holds
NaF S Tun, Spa(sc) S WMS, Gas S Mar
As for the North, France easily could have secured Norway last turn to at ensure a draw. Then moving forward, the best case for Turkey would be to see Livonia be destroyed. Now, assume that Turkey is able to pull that off and end up with armies in Fin, Lin, StP, and Mos, while France has fleets in Nor, Swe, StP, and Bal (which has been sitting there to protect Berlin). The destroyed army from Liv and the build from Livonia gives France another two units to work with. He uses one of those builds as an army and moves it into Ruhr (via the roundabout path through Pic and Bel since he can't risk Munich). That would free up Kie to protect Ber, and Bal can nowo move into GoB, where it can threaten Fin. Finland will get destroyed and France would be able to bring 4 units against StP. Game over, France wins.
I think I did the above analysis correctly (please correct me if I'm wrong). I'm describing the most cautious approach, preventing any derailments, so France is able to force the win.
I really want to hear from diplomancer83 as to why he left.