wait, my version has precisely one winner, and it occurs in 1902 when italy chooses to king the alliance which is closest to 18..
does that mean austria/turkey try to kill italy asap to prevent a foreign victory? or does france puppet itlay asap?
it can be assumes the germany does not take bel, and sweden is bounced by russia, leaving holland and den (possible for england to bounce) meanwhile rum is austria/turkish, as is serbia and bul.
That leaves ger +2, turk + aus, plus 3 balkans. (with italy maybe bouncing greece) GAT is on 14 in 1901.
EFR meanwhile, hopefully takes norway, guarentees bel or bounces hol? keeps warsaw by holding ground there, does not secure rum, and has options for spain and portugal, but can't really afford the troops which france need to use on germany right away.
FER is on Eng + 1, Fra + 1, Rus + 0 = 12.
Ita is meanwhile on 4. Which is enough to swing it to 18 right away when he joins someone GAT.
but that's only 1901, and italy doesn't join until 1902...
i think we should try this out.