MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

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bozotheclown
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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3661 Post by bozotheclown » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:49 pm

FlaviusAetius wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:36 pm
under bozo's scenario if everything goes perfect, we are in LYLO TWICE
I am not sure what you mean by that, but if we lynch the last Moriarty today, and "everything goes perfect", meaning no town NKs, we will win easily.

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3662 Post by FlaviusAetius » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:49 pm

FlaviusAetius wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:48 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:47 pm
FlaviusAetius wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:43 pm
I told you exactly why mafia are incentivized to do so. we arent going to prevent a jack win anymore, they have too. that means they can either let jack win, or have a chance at winning.
in your scenario you flip it with the honus being on us
Even if that was our best chance of winning, we would have to differentiate between the remaining mafia and the SK and not lynch the SK. If the mafia think they know who the SK is, they could just try to get him lynched.
good point, but we already know who we are killing, no? yavu or bionic
also in my scenario we still have two town clears, and btw in your scenario that is truee too, but hyde has to die at one point, no? are we going to indefinitely find excuse snot too?

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3663 Post by FlaviusAetius » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:50 pm

FlaviusAetius wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:22 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:13 pm
FlaviusAetius wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:07 pm
mafia Team B will be focused on trying to eliminate jack with their kill, and tom will be RBed as per usual
Again, here is the worse case if we lynch ND today:

D5: 9-3-1-1, lynch Jekyll
N5: 2 town NKed
D6: 6-3-1-1, lynch team 1 mafia
N6: 2 town NKed
D7: 4-3-1, lynch SK
N7: 1 town NKed
D8: 3-3
town loses

If we do not lynch the SK, as you say, it does not get any better.

Do you really think our best chance to win is to count on the SK and mafia targeting each other?
If we kill yavu or Bionic today and we assume the one we kill is moriarty, not town(aka the 'best case' scenario)

D5: 9-3-1, lynch last moriarty[NOT CERTAIN]
N5: 7-3-1, 2 town die(tom dies, likely)
D6: 7-3-1, we lynch mafia team B[NT CERTAIN]
N6: 5-2-1, 2 town die
D7: 5-2-1, we lynch SK?[NOT CERTAIN]
N7: 4-2-0, 1 town dies
D8: 3-2-0, LYLO [NOT CERTAIN]

If we kill Jekyll today

D5: 8-3-1-1, jekyll dies
N5: 8-2-0-1,(100% possible jack and a mafia member dies)
N5: 6-3-1-1,(not at all likely)
N5: 7-2-1-1,(possible)
N5: 7-3-0-1(possible jack dies, and not mafia)
bump, look at this bozo

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3664 Post by ND » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:50 pm

##VOTE BIONIC

Got it. Well, Bionic is a decent choice. But at the same time we need to put people like Cmdr, Purple, Bionic, etc up to win this.

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3665 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:50 pm

ND wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:47 pm
Wow really behind how much longer do we have this phase ##call gm
GM NOTE

10 minutes remain.
2

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3666 Post by bozotheclown » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:50 pm

FlaviusAetius wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:48 pm
ND wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:47 pm
Wow really behind how much longer do we have this phase ##call gm
12 mintues, we are debating whether to kill you or not
Yes, you did say you support lynching yourself. Do you still believe that is the best option today?

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3667 Post by FlaviusAetius » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:52 pm

sighhhh, ##vote yavu another failed push

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3668 Post by FlaviusAetius » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:52 pm

well have successful in the beginning i did what yavu to die

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3669 Post by ND » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:52 pm

I guess

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3670 Post by ND » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:53 pm

but town should be voting for Bionic not Yav.

or Cmdr, or PurpleCow, or Darg.

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3671 Post by bozotheclown » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:53 pm

FlaviusAetius wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:50 pm
FlaviusAetius wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:22 pm
bozotheclown wrote:
Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:13 pm


Again, here is the worse case if we lynch ND today:

D5: 9-3-1-1, lynch Jekyll
N5: 2 town NKed
D6: 6-3-1-1, lynch team 1 mafia
N6: 2 town NKed
D7: 4-3-1, lynch SK
N7: 1 town NKed
D8: 3-3
town loses

If we do not lynch the SK, as you say, it does not get any better.

Do you really think our best chance to win is to count on the SK and mafia targeting each other?
If we kill yavu or Bionic today and we assume the one we kill is moriarty, not town(aka the 'best case' scenario)

D5: 9-3-1, lynch last moriarty[NOT CERTAIN]
N5: 7-3-1, 2 town die(tom dies, likely)
D6: 7-3-1, we lynch mafia team B[NT CERTAIN]
N6: 5-2-1, 2 town die
D7: 5-2-1, we lynch SK?[NOT CERTAIN]
N7: 4-2-0, 1 town dies
D8: 3-2-0, LYLO [NOT CERTAIN]

If we kill Jekyll today

D5: 8-3-1-1, jekyll dies
N5: 8-2-0-1,(100% possible jack and a mafia member dies)
N5: 6-3-1-1,(not at all likely)
N5: 7-2-1-1,(possible)
N5: 7-3-0-1(possible jack dies, and not mafia)
bump, look at this bozo
Yes, but having 2 town NKs tonight would not be everything going perfectly. You assume if we lynch Jekyll there will be no town NKs, but if we lynch the last Moriarty, there will be 2 town NKs.

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3672 Post by bozotheclown » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:54 pm

5 minutes and no emc.

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3673 Post by Temasek22 » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:55 pm

I think Bionic is more likely to be last moriathy than yavu, but whatever

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3674 Post by Jamiet99uk » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:55 pm

YAVUZOVIC is set to be lynched.

EMC must vote.

5 minutes remain.
2

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3675 Post by Vecna » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:55 pm

##vote bionic mole

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3676 Post by purplecow » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:55 pm

Okay ND I'll follow you then.
##Vote Bio

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3677 Post by Temasek22 » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:55 pm

Emc you there?

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3678 Post by ND » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:56 pm

Anyway, it looks like this is headed towards another failure. I don't think Yav is scum.

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3679 Post by ND » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:56 pm

Cool, that's good thanks peeps.

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#3680 Post by bozotheclown » Sat Dec 07, 2019 10:57 pm

BionicMole is up by one vote.

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