MAFIA 52: You Can't Take The Sky From Me [HIDDEN]

[xorxes]

Interesting idea. I would have thought that was a higher priority target too.

Like I said, Damo would have been my first second and third target. Did we ever figure out what happened with the extra night till the reavers were full strength?

Most likely they tried to recruit teacon, rivera, or a potential Bunny commutee N1 (you don't need to tell us yet if you have one or two commutes left). Outside chance they tried to recruit bozo N3.

Not recruit but kill. If they successfully recruited N! and N2, then they had to try to kill bozo N3. Highly unlikely, since reducing the VT pool was not something Reaver Prime wanted to do.

So they must have failed to recruit N1.

[BunnyGo]

Interesting idea. I would have thought that was a higher priority target too.

Like I said, Damo would have been my first second and third target. Did we ever figure out what happened with the extra night till the reavers were full strength?

Most likely they tried to recruit teacon, rivera, or a potential Bunny commutee N1 (you don't need to tell us yet if you have one or two commutes left). Outside chance they tried to recruit bozo N3.

You think they missed N1? Maybe. I dunno why they’d go for the unclaimed PRs when it was too likely they’d hit a PR who couldn’t then provide proof.

[BunnyGo]

Like I said, Damo would have been my first second and third target. Did we ever figure out what happened with the extra night till the reavers were full strength?

Most likely they tried to recruit teacon, rivera, or a potential Bunny commutee N1 (you don't need to tell us yet if you have one or two commutes left). Outside chance they tried to recruit bozo N3.

You think they missed N1? Maybe. I dunno why they’d go for the unclaimed PRs when it was too likely they’d hit a PR who couldn’t then provide proof.

If Tom hadn’t already died showing non-convert I would have thought she was ideal target after being shot.

[xorxes]

Like I said, Damo would have been my first second and third target. Did we ever figure out what happened with the extra night till the reavers were full strength?

Most likely they tried to recruit teacon, rivera, or a potential Bunny commutee N1 (you don't need to tell us yet if you have one or two commutes left). Outside chance they tried to recruit bozo N3.

You think they missed N1? Maybe. I dunno why they’d go for the unclaimed PRs when it was too likely they’d hit a PR who couldn’t then provide proof.

So what do you suggest happened? I suppose they could have held N1. But It's unlikely that they failed to recruit N2 or N3.

[xorxes]

Most likely they tried to recruit teacon, rivera, or a potential Bunny commutee N1 (you don't need to tell us yet if you have one or two commutes left). Outside chance they tried to recruit bozo N3.

You think they missed N1? Maybe. I dunno why they’d go for the unclaimed PRs when it was too likely they’d hit a PR who couldn’t then provide proof.

If Tom hadn’t already died showing non-convert I would have thought she was ideal target after being shot.

Teacon had crumbed Reader. That's a likely explanation why Mafia may have tried to kill him N1, and it could also explain why RP may have tried to recruit him N1.

[BunnyGo]

You think they missed N1? Maybe. I dunno why they’d go for the unclaimed PRs when it was too likely they’d hit a PR who couldn’t then provide proof.

If Tom hadn’t already died showing non-convert I would have thought she was ideal target after being shot.

Teacon had crumbed Reader. That's a likely explanation why Mafia may have tried to kill him N1, and it could also explain why RP may have tried to recruit him N1.

Yeah. The WIFOM there was pretty thick though.

Did our doctor ever report saving? I think that’s a likely case. IIRC (on phone) they did one night. But yeah, with 0 deaths night 2, you’re probably correct they fell for the crumb.

I may have commuted a likely target one night too. Who knows, maybe I didn’t.

[xorxes]

The people who posted between EON3 and the GM's first Level 1 Violation announcement of D4, and who are not dead or clear, are:

peterlund
Chaqa
Jamiet
dargo

I believe dargo is "almost" clear, as I have already explained. Tem asking Mafia to shoot him supports this as well. Notably neither Tem nor teacon posted in that interval (and neither had posted at all during the whole of N3).

So, assuming that the level 1 violation occurs because of doing something, rather than because of NOT doing something, I think our top three Reaver3 suspects have to be peter/Chaqa/Jamiet. Teacon remains my top Reaver2 suspect.

[Chaqa]

I’m reasonably sure the Reavers are in: teacon, peter, Jamie

[xorxes]

If Tom hadn’t already died showing non-convert I would have thought she was ideal target after being shot.

Teacon had crumbed Reader. That's a likely explanation why Mafia may have tried to kill him N1, and it could also explain why RP may have tried to recruit him N1.

Yeah. The WIFOM there was pretty thick though.

Did our doctor ever report saving? I think that’s a likely case. IIRC (on phone) they did one night. But yeah, with 0 deaths night 2, you’re probably correct they fell for the crumb.

I may have commuted a likely target one night too. Who knows, maybe I didn’t.

Jamie saved dargo N2, and he reported dargo suffered a single attack. GM confirmed that he would have known if dargo had suffered two attacks. So there's very little chance a recruitment failed N2, unless you commuted someone that night.

[BunnyGo]

Teacon had crumbed Reader. That's a likely explanation why Mafia may have tried to kill him N1, and it could also explain why RP may have tried to recruit him N1.

Yeah. The WIFOM there was pretty thick though.

Did our doctor ever report saving? I think that’s a likely case. IIRC (on phone) they did one night. But yeah, with 0 deaths night 2, you’re probably correct they fell for the crumb.

I may have commuted a likely target one night too. Who knows, maybe I didn’t.

Jamie saved dargo N2, and he reported dargo suffered a single attack. GM confirmed that he would have known if dargo had suffered two attacks. So there's very little chance a recruitment failed N2, unless you commuted someone that night.

Not confirming nor denying anything (unless you really want me to...then I'll consider it).

[BunnyGo]

I’m reasonably sure the Reavers are in: teacon, peter, Jamie

OK...I'll take a look at their posts and cross reference with Tem's to hypothesis hunt tonight. Did we get full compliance with my ##unvote hypothesis? I'd like everyone to do it tomorrow (doesn't count at night clearly).

[BunnyGo]

I’m reasonably sure the Reavers are in: teacon, peter, Jamie

oh...and you...

[BunnyGo]

no news on the scan yet? Is there a reason to not report early?

[xorxes]

All of peter/Chaqa/Jamiet/dargo, as well as Tem, Bunny, Fox, emc and damo, posted between the first and the second level 1 violation announcements of D4. So we can't use that to narrow it down without more info. Notably teacon did not post D4 before the announcements.

[xorxes]

I’m reasonably sure the Reavers are in: teacon, peter, Jamie

OK...I'll take a look at their posts and cross reference with Tem's to hypothesis hunt tonight. Did we get full compliance with my ##unvote hypothesis? I'd like everyone to do it tomorrow (doesn't count at night clearly).

Include Chaqa in your research. He is not especially suspect, but he is one of the four people that posted between EON3 and the first level 1 violation report of D4.

[xorxes]

no news on the scan yet? Is there a reason to not report early?

He should report as soon as possible, so we have time to make the best decision.

[BunnyGo]

I’m reasonably sure the Reavers are in: teacon, peter, Jamie

OK...I'll take a look at their posts and cross reference with Tem's to hypothesis hunt tonight. Did we get full compliance with my ##unvote hypothesis? I'd like everyone to do it tomorrow (doesn't count at night clearly).

Include Chaqa in your research. He is not especially suspect, but he is one of the four people that posted between EON3 and the first level 1 violation report of D4.

yes...realized that after reading your post again...

[Chaqa]

That’s fair. If there’s anything you want me to post let me know.

Waiting on damo’s scan.

[xorxes]

##vote Goldie

This was peter's only post between EON3 and the Violation announcement.

I don't really see how that could possibly "break an existing pattern".

[xorxes]

When I hit Google translate in Vietnamese on my phone, that reads as "Ah it I'm not Reaver /s" or something like that

Yeah, me too.
Smh chaqa

This was dargo's only post...