MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

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FlaviusAetius
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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4141 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:06 pm

Demon's barely paying attention, he's a sitting duck doing nothing, smh, talk with people demon, investigate be a town leaderrrrrrrrrrrr, if your lucky it'll be the thing to get you killed and then you can go off and play call of duty

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4142 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:09 pm

Assuming cmdr is mafia
ND-->Hyde+Jekyll
Demon-->Traveller
bozo,purple-->male VT
yavu-->female VT

vecna,me,kalel and tema, with two female VT's in between us...and two mafia

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4143 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:12 pm

FlaviusAetius wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:09 pm
Assuming cmdr is mafia
ND-->Hyde+Jekyll
Demon-->Traveller
bozo,purple-->male VT
yavu-->female VT

vecna,me,kalel and tema, with two female VT's in between us...and two mafia
if both hyde and mafia kill someone(probably townclears)

that leaves out of 5 we have cleared ND+2 town cleared(assuming ND doesnt get lucky again)
that means...
5 town versus 2 mafia, plus we still need to lynch ND
obv we dont lynch ND tomorrow, assuming we get another mafia
4 town versus 1 mafia
we then lynch ND
2 town versus 1 mafia
dang we have to be perfect, or ND has to save us again

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4144 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:14 pm

that is why @cmdr making a town clear is very very important, but it also might be important to NOT make the town clear because then they can kill someone who can make stuff clearer, instead of our town clears Im not sure :? :?

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4145 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:24 pm

a lot depends on ND saving the right person, if we dont make people town clear, he has a better chance to save people, if we make people town clear, he has clearer options, but so do mafia+hyde

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4146 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:35 pm

if we killed yavu instead of darg, darg likely would of hit a mafia, and we'd be in the money with one jack and one mafia left. I'm not sure if we would of found the jack though, that was pure luck imo

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4147 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:37 pm

likely we would have though, because then that would of cleared cmdr, purple is already cleared, bozo is clearly next mafia, and then we kill bozo, cancel out another NK.(although hyde still kills, but ND as shown blocks it)
then we find jack, and then we kill ND, and we win with massive town victory

but nope, now we are going to be facing a LYLO

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4148 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:40 pm

ANYWAYS

##vote yavu anyone want to lynch him? it'd clear cmdr by default, and then we can lynch bozo

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4149 Post by bozotheclown » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:44 pm

DemonRHK wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 8:15 pm
Bottom text
Welcome back.

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4150 Post by bozotheclown » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:44 pm

I am going to be on the road at EOD. I will try to check in on mobile.

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4151 Post by CmdrLikely » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:45 pm

FlaviusAetius wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:40 pm
ANYWAYS

##vote yavu anyone want to lynch him? it'd clear cmdr by default, and then we can lynch bozo
wait what? Why are you voting Yavu? I know you are saying it's 50/50 me and Yavu, but I don't understand why.

Anyways, not like it will matter because there isn't enough activity... nobody is going to even be online, let alone read these posts, let alone change their votes :'(

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4152 Post by bozotheclown » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:46 pm

FlaviusAetius wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:37 pm
likely we would have though, because then that would of cleared cmdr, purple is already cleared, bozo is clearly next mafia, and then we kill bozo, cancel out another NK.(although hyde still kills, but ND as shown blocks it)
then we find jack, and then we kill ND, and we win with massive town victory

but nope, now we are going to be facing a LYLO
I do not follow your logic.

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4153 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:47 pm

CmdrLikely wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:45 pm
FlaviusAetius wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:40 pm
ANYWAYS

##vote yavu anyone want to lynch him? it'd clear cmdr by default, and then we can lynch bozo
wait what? Why are you voting Yavu? I know you are saying it's 50/50 me and Yavu, but I don't understand why.

Anyways, not like it will matter because there isn't enough activity... nobody is going to even be online, let alone read these posts, let alone change their votes :'(
no no no I didnt say its 50/50 you versus yavu
and you havent made your case one bit your a big baloney of nothingness, I'm doing all the work for you, its honestly ridiculous
go away
##vote cmdr
And idc about your no true scottsman fallacy, you arent a scottsman, end of story

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4154 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:47 pm

bozotheclown wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:46 pm
FlaviusAetius wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:37 pm
likely we would have though, because then that would of cleared cmdr, purple is already cleared, bozo is clearly next mafia, and then we kill bozo, cancel out another NK.(although hyde still kills, but ND as shown blocks it)
then we find jack, and then we kill ND, and we win with massive town victory

but nope, now we are going to be facing a LYLO
I do not follow your logic.
read everything i posted then?

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4155 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:56 pm

I honestly don’t think you care if you die or not cmdr this performance has been pitiful absolutely pitiful

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4156 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 9:57 pm

I really wanted to believe that yavu was mafia, but I kept relenting because there was always someone better. And now we’re here your mafia and yavu isn’t

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4157 Post by CmdrLikely » Fri Dec 13, 2019 10:02 pm

Calm down, sir. You're not making any sense right now.


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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4159 Post by purplecow » Fri Dec 13, 2019 10:12 pm

CmdrLikely wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 8:11 pm
FlaviusAetius, evidently you know you are currently voting on Bozo. I'm down with your thought process, but at the moment I think me vs Vecna is the scenario whose resolution is going to give us the best fighting chance. I don't actually know what Bozo is, but I feel more confident that he's bad versus my confidence in Purple being good. For the rest of you, it's a 1/3 chance. Vecna vs Cmdr is a 1/2 chance.

I want to avoid the scenario that we kill a town today in the 1/3 pool (purple, bozo, cmdr) and then we still have to scum hunt tomorrow. If for example we lynch Vecna or I, then it's more clear who are the liars the last couple days. If I'm confirmed town, we still don't know for sure who is the mafia between bozo and purple, but at least that's a 50-50 and most players seemed to have a medium to strong opinion on that already.

Oh I just thought of something:
Which is more likely?
Cmdr is Maf, therefore Vecna, Purple and Bozo are all town.
- or -
Cmdr is town, therefore Vecna is mafia and either Bozo or Purple are also mafia.

Actually I'm not sure if that helps or not. At this point, the odds shouldn't be at the forefront of our decision making. We should have better information, to avoid taking unnecessary chances.
I don't understand the difference between lynching in the male VT group and you and Vecna because most of us are voting for you anyways so why would it matter?
FlaviusAetius wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 8:20 pm
CmdrLikely wrote:
Fri Dec 13, 2019 8:11 pm
FlaviusAetius, evidently you know you are currently voting on Bozo. I'm down with your thought process, but at the moment I think me vs Vecna is the scenario whose resolution is going to give us the best fighting chance. I don't actually know what Bozo is, but I feel more confident that he's bad versus my confidence in Purple being good. For the rest of you, it's a 1/3 chance. Vecna vs Cmdr is a 1/2 chance.

I want to avoid the scenario that we kill a town today in the 1/3 pool (purple, bozo, cmdr) and then we still have to scum hunt tomorrow. If for example we lynch Vecna or I, then it's more clear who are the liars the last couple days. If I'm confirmed town, we still don't know for sure who is the mafia between bozo and purple, but at least that's a 50-50 and most players seemed to have a medium to strong opinion on that already.

Oh I just thought of something:
Which is more likely?
Cmdr is Maf, therefore Vecna, Purple and Bozo are all town.
- or -
Cmdr is town, therefore Vecna is mafia and either Bozo or Purple are also mafia.

Actually I'm not sure if that helps or not. At this point, the odds shouldn't be at the forefront of our decision making. We should have better information, to avoid taking unnecessary chances.
You are the one who first made the argument we should lynch in the pool of three
I think my case was already made cleaar but to have it in one spot;
I think yavu is scum(for lots of different reasons)
I think if yavu is scum, you cant be scum
I want to lynch in this pool of three,
I dont think purple is scum
that leaves bozo
Why exactly is cmdr not scum if yavu is?

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Re: MAFIA 51 - LONDON BY GASLIGHT [HIDDEN]

#4160 Post by FlaviusAetius » Fri Dec 13, 2019 10:19 pm

I already explained this @purple me and Vecna had a discussion about it but;
ComputerGenius=yavu
CmdrLikely voted for computeegenius and parked his vote there
On a guy who would be modkilled
Anyone who did this would by definition not do it to their mafia teammate, and since he not only voted for him, advocated for lynch and never moved it off, he is the perfect person to not be yavu’s teammate

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