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Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:39 pm
by Vecna
i should probably re-evaluate in my mind why im thinking tom B is obv-town while I have no good reasoning for that whatsoever.
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:39 pm
by BunnyGo
Vecna wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:29 pm
kgray wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:20 pm
Vecna wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:16 pm
Probably not. Town probably wants to give me more chances to obvtown, and for scum.... they probably dont wanna tackle that fish yet, and they might think
miskill me could get progressively easier the longer im alive and people become suspicious over me not having died yet.
Why draw attention to yourself now. I have a feeling that only one of the 3 wagons we have now is scum.
You think only one might be scum because you scumread prado and townread the other two? Or just based on how the wagons have stayed pretty consistent? Or something else?
The level 1 logic argument would be......both bunny and prado are voting for Seth, so they could very well be scum together with another dodgy bugger like damo. The seth wagon is filled with big questionmarks.
The bunny wagon is filled with people that could be scum if scum did a great job bussing, or that just generally look slightly better on the surface than the people on the Seth wagon. Theres 2 "obvtown's" on there as compared to only 1 on the Seth wagon.
The prado wagon consists of people that I think are all pretty solidly town (well, flash is being flash).
Now, my actual feeling is that the scumteam is most likely not just all voting together here. Theyre probably spread out over the seth wagon, and on whichever is town of bunny and prado. I really have no good reasoning for thinking this, besides "thats how it usually goes".
I have no strong reasons to scumread either Bunny or Prado. Occam's razor, we managed to run up one of the people that actually avoided the summit wagon, the scum is spread out over the other two.
The traitor might change all of this.
Loads of random thoughts in there. I cant really back up the statement with much more concrete stuff. Like I said, mostly a feeling.
Wow. This is like what i posted. Just more eloquent. Who are you and what have you done with Vecna?
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:40 pm
by ghug
kgray wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:39 pm
Vecna wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:38 pm
kgray wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:37 pm
Who's obvtown to you on the seth wagon? And just for clarity, which 2 on the Bunny wagon?
MF on Seth
You and Ghug on bunny
Cool, that's what I think too. The Prado wagon is pretty townie to me overall, but Prado is my last choice of these 3.
Is Bunny your first choice or are you there just because?
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:41 pm
by kgray
Vecna wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:39 pm
i should probably re-evaluate in my mind why im thinking tom B is obv-town while I have no good reasoning for that whatsoever.
Yeah I think he just defaults to town for me...
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:41 pm
by Chaqa
Jailing player 420 could also be pretty good
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:41 pm
by kgray
ghug wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:40 pm
kgray wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:39 pm
Vecna wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:38 pm
MF on Seth
You and Ghug on bunny
Cool, that's what I think too. The Prado wagon is pretty townie to me overall, but Prado is my last choice of these 3.
Is Bunny your first choice or are you there just because?
Bunny is my first choice
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:41 pm
by Vecna
kgray wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:39 pm
Vecna wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:38 pm
kgray wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:37 pm
Who's obvtown to you on the seth wagon? And just for clarity, which 2 on the Bunny wagon?
MF on Seth
You and Ghug on bunny
Cool, that's what I think too. The Prado wagon is pretty townie to me overall, but Prado is my last choice of these 3.
The thing with Prado, when he's town he always has a few standout posts that i can just identify as obv-town and I stick with that gut reading throughout the game.
Im missing those posts this game. All of his stuff is just meh. I can see where he's coming from with a bunch of them, but im mostly worried that this is just what he can muster as scum. I do feel he has slightly improved, and -maybe- I can read some genuineness in the way he's been reading me if I try read hard, but its all just meh.
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:42 pm
by ghug
Chaqa wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:41 pm
Jailing player 420 could also be pretty good
Ok come on we all know that's me
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:42 pm
by Vecna
BunnyGo wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:39 pm
Vecna wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:29 pm
kgray wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:20 pm
You think only one might be scum because you scumread prado and townread the other two? Or just based on how the wagons have stayed pretty consistent? Or something else?
The level 1 logic argument would be......both bunny and prado are voting for Seth, so they could very well be scum together with another dodgy bugger like damo. The seth wagon is filled with big questionmarks.
The bunny wagon is filled with people that could be scum if scum did a great job bussing, or that just generally look slightly better on the surface than the people on the Seth wagon. Theres 2 "obvtown's" on there as compared to only 1 on the Seth wagon.
The prado wagon consists of people that I think are all pretty solidly town (well, flash is being flash).
Now, my actual feeling is that the scumteam is most likely not just all voting together here. Theyre probably spread out over the seth wagon, and on whichever is town of bunny and prado. I really have no good reasoning for thinking this, besides "thats how it usually goes".
I have no strong reasons to scumread either Bunny or Prado. Occam's razor, we managed to run up one of the people that actually avoided the summit wagon, the scum is spread out over the other two.
The traitor might change all of this.
Loads of random thoughts in there. I cant really back up the statement with much more concrete stuff. Like I said, mostly a feeling.
Wow. This is like what i posted. Just more eloquent. Who are you and what have you done with Vecna?
man, you are seriously creeping me out with all this lathering me up
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:43 pm
by ghug
kgray wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:41 pm
ghug wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:40 pm
kgray wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:39 pm
Cool, that's what I think too. The Prado wagon is pretty townie to me overall, but Prado is my last choice of these 3.
Is Bunny your first choice or are you there just because?
Bunny is my first choice
I think I probably prefer Seth, but it's close.
Why do you prefer Bunny?
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:43 pm
by Chaqa
Does anyone else think we should all refrain from posting at night so mafia and riddler don’t know who might be in jail?
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:44 pm
by ghug
Chaqa wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:43 pm
Does anyone else think we should all refrain from posting at night so mafia and riddler don’t know who might be in jail?
Oh probably.
How will I entertain myself all night?
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:45 pm
by Tom Bombadil
When Prado is town he pushed wagons pretty aggressively. The fact that I don’t off the top of my head know his reads is really concerning to me. And it’s not like he’s been that absent - he has posted a decent amount.
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:48 pm
by Chaqa
I’d like to point out that the Prado wagon is the only one completely made up of the “safe” group. I don’t think that’s a coincidence. We should be voting Prado today.
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:48 pm
by BunnyGo
Vecna wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:42 pm
BunnyGo wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:39 pm
Vecna wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:29 pm
The level 1 logic argument would be......both bunny and prado are voting for Seth, so they could very well be scum together with another dodgy bugger like damo. The seth wagon is filled with big questionmarks.
The bunny wagon is filled with people that could be scum if scum did a great job bussing, or that just generally look slightly better on the surface than the people on the Seth wagon. Theres 2 "obvtown's" on there as compared to only 1 on the Seth wagon.
The prado wagon consists of people that I think are all pretty solidly town (well, flash is being flash).
Now, my actual feeling is that the scumteam is most likely not just all voting together here. Theyre probably spread out over the seth wagon, and on whichever is town of bunny and prado. I really have no good reasoning for thinking this, besides "thats how it usually goes".
I have no strong reasons to scumread either Bunny or Prado. Occam's razor, we managed to run up one of the people that actually avoided the summit wagon, the scum is spread out over the other two.
The traitor might change all of this.
Loads of random thoughts in there. I cant really back up the statement with much more concrete stuff. Like I said, mostly a feeling.
Wow. This is like what i posted. Just more eloquent. Who are you and what have you done with Vecna?
man, you are seriously creeping me out with all this lathering me up
Go find my post we’re I do wagon analysis and vote for Seth. You’re creeping ME out.
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:49 pm
by Vecna
I mean, my post is pretty much advocating against voting seth?
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:49 pm
by BunnyGo
Chaqa wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:43 pm
Does anyone else think we should all refrain from posting at night so mafia and riddler don’t know who might be in jail?
Yes. I made exactly this case last game. It was closer then when we still had all our PRs. But it was why I was particularly disappointed in myself for talking last night. I really hadn’t been paying attention.
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:50 pm
by Vecna
what happened to HR coming in here and telling us he was going to be playing until EoD.
I feel snubbed
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:50 pm
by BunnyGo
Vecna wrote: ↑Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:49 pm
I mean, my post is pretty much advocating against voting seth?
Just on wagon analysis I agree with you.
Re: M60 - Duck Season? (Director's Cut) - Game Thread
Posted: Sun Sep 27, 2020 8:51 pm
by Tom Bombadil
As much hoopla as I raised about bunny’s fake crumbs, I probably prefer Seth to him as the other option. It’s plausible Bunny was patting himself on the back for his attempted clever play to try to draw the NK. Seth looks bad via vote count and I don’t care for how he has reacted to pressure - a combination of playing it really cool and being absent for stretches hoping the wagon to dissipate or another wagon to appear.
Bunny still def not a townread of mine though